All Blacks v BI Lions Test #3
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@Baron-Silas-Greenback I'm not inherently negative but I'm sympathetic to @Crazy-Horse 's points. I've noticed some of those same trends.
I can't remember a time ... well maybe early 00s v Aus (and even then ...) ... when I wasn't convinced that if both teams played at their full capacity thst the ABs wouldn't win because we were just better. Especially the forwards.
In recent years there have been games when we've started badly but I've been convinced with possession and persistence we'd roll over the top. And we usually have.
It's just i think we're at parity with these guys. I don't see the dominance I expected or usually expect. So I'm nervous on a 50:50 level. Haven't been this uncertain about a game since gee I don't know. (Maybe France in France in 1990 ... and we ended up smoking them in those two tests).
I was nervous about the 2011 semifinal (utterly overconfident about the final
) but convinced we just had to play to our potential. This one ... eeek.Having said that I think we got our tactics wrong in Wellington. When we were using the inside ball in Auckland we were making ground and looking good. And we had moments in Wellington when we stretched them ... then kicked the ball away. Perhaps we had developed a belief that the only way to beat the rush defence is to kick? Pick the right tactics, keep the ball in hand on attack and maybe my fears are baseless. Hopefully.
Convince me why we're going to win people. And don't give historical bullshit about Eden Park's record. That's been a consequence of us being better not a reason for winning. Tell me why we're better on Saturdsy.
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i remain worried that our forwards will be a couple of % off after the last 2 weeks efforts, particularly the 7 man game. efforts like those from cane, read, retallick, whitelock take it out of you. mentally they'll be up for it i'm sure, and usually that is enough for us to prove very hard to beat following a defeat - but the margins here are small and i think those guys may be a bit more fatigued than their opposites.
lineout as mentioned has looked far less secure without coles. will cost us at some point in a tight game.
backs will have to wait and see who we go with. davies and williams have been the 2 guys giving us problems really. would feel more secure with ben smith and crotty back. the biggest tactical thing is just for us to stop kicking the damn ball away and be content to build pressure rather than try hail marys. -
“There’s been a bit of edge there,” said Kaino, who is so worked up that he had to be told to cool it in the team’s training session on Tuesday morning.
Angry All Blacks still trying to get Wellington out of their minds | Andy Bull
While the Lions are having some fun in Queenstown, New Zealand are talking a good game but can’t seem to move on from their defeat in the second Test
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@Tim a bit of niggle and feeling at training, love it.
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@ACT-Crusader I feel a can of whoopass being readied to be opened this Saturday
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@reprobate said in All Blacks v BI Lions Test #3:
@Crucial ugh, league.
Yep, that's the conclusion I'm heading to as well.
I know that most rugby laws are applied on a 'clearly transgressing' basis but the key thing when using judgement especially with the TMO is 'clear and obvious'.
all I am suggesting is that the question is turned around and you must be clearly onside rather than clearly offside. Just as a tackler must clearly release the ball carrier before contesting or you must clearly move away from the wrong side.
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@Crucial said in All Blacks v BI Lions Test #3:
Angry Jerome and angry BBBR.
Could get interesting.
I think TJP may need some Prozac pre game though or he may fly into the distance.
Angry forwards = good (no make decision. Leave brain stuff to backs. Run forward. Lots)
Angry backs = overstressed midgets prone to bad decisions -
@reprobate The Lions forwards have had a tougher schedule than ours. They have effectively had to play four Test match standard games in a row and are coming off a long and grueling season. Some of our guys have hardly played at all this year. I wouldn't be too worried, they will be fine.
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@Tim said in All Blacks v BI Lions Test #3:
“There’s been a bit of edge there,” said Kaino, who is so worked up that he had to be told to cool it in the team’s training session on Tuesday morning.
Angry All Blacks still trying to get Wellington out of their minds | Andy Bull
While the Lions are having some fun in Queenstown, New Zealand are talking a good game but can’t seem to move on from their defeat in the second Test
Assume SBW was on the receiveing end of a lot of Kaino's "anger".
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@Crucial yeah i get your point, but i do think it would encourage battering rams, especially when close to the try line. i think we just need to get better at dealing with it - the rush defence has been the best way to beat the all blacks since the late 80s, basically ever since i've been capable of analysis - and i think because of that we tend to worry about the offside line more than most - just about every game we've lost there will have been complaints about opposition living offside. that's largely because our outside backs have been a relative strength that whole time, and a rush defence is a good way to prevent them getting the ball.
it's a simple game though, if the opposition is up quick, you just have to adjust and make play closer in - get momentum and they can't rush and will either be flat-footed or obviously offside and pinged. once you have them on the back foot, go wide fast, skip passes to get around the midfield, and you'll find space. test 1 i think we actually showed how to deal with it pretty well, minus kicking the ball away a few times. -
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@reprobate said in All Blacks v BI Lions Test #3:
@akan004 agree on the schedule, but if you look at the rotation of the front row (same as ours) they're not playing 80, their locks have changed a bit with kruis/lawes/awj/itoje. warburton hasn't played a huge amount because of injury...
Guessing Marler may start with Vunipola on the bench this week as well. Furlong and George will stay.
Jamie George has had such a good series I can't see Hartley remaining England captain for much longer.
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@Crucial said in All Blacks v BI Lions Test #3:
@reprobate said in All Blacks v BI Lions Test #3:
@akan004 agree on the schedule, but if you look at the rotation of the front row (same as ours) they're not playing 80, their locks have changed a bit with kruis/lawes/awj/itoje. warburton hasn't played a huge amount because of injury...
Guessing Marler may start with Vunipola on the bench this week as well. Furlong and George will stay.
Jamie George has had such a good series I can't see Hartley remaining England captain for much longer.
Possible re Marler but McGrath is the man in situ and hasn't done (poorly) enough (IMO) to warrant Marler being picked over him.
I'd guess pretty much the same squad with the possibility of Halfpenny on the bench for Nowell. Vunipola to bench and McGrath starting. I'd be surprised if there was anything much more than that.
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@reprobate said in All Blacks v BI Lions Test #3:
@Crucial yeah i get your point, but i do think it would encourage battering rams, especially when close to the try line. i think we just need to get better at dealing with it - the rush defence has been the best way to beat the all blacks since the late 80s, basically ever since i've been capable of analysis - and i think because of that we tend to worry about the offside line more than most - just about every game we've lost there will have been complaints about opposition living offside. that's largely because our outside backs have been a relative strength that whole time, and a rush defence is a good way to prevent them getting the ball.
it's a simple game though, if the opposition is up quick, you just have to adjust and make play closer in - get momentum and they can't rush and will either be flat-footed or obviously offside and pinged. once you have them on the back foot, go wide fast, skip passes to get around the midfield, and you'll find space. test 1 i think we actually showed how to deal with it pretty well, minus kicking the ball away a few times.Watch old tapes of Gregan.
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@No-Quarter Billy Son Williams....
Genuine question does anyone know if the suspension prohibits him training with the team?
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@booboo said in All Blacks v BI Lions Test #3:
@kev said in All Blacks v BI Lions Test #3:
@Stargazer some comments in the media that Laumape was found out on defence...so it could be that they don't see him as starter. Would take a bit of a review to work that out.
That was "analysis" from Will Greenwood.
The media guys are fans just like us. Any influence they think they can exert they will.
He thinks if he can put pressure on Laumape by putting out that kind of bullshit he will, hoping that Laumape reads it and gets in his head that he was "found out" that he believes it.
I was listening this arvo on the web to Devlin talking to Chris Jones who was desparately trying to put the story out there that the ABs are under soooooo much pressure that they'll be hated forever ... jeez it wasn't even subtle.
The media are just as much trying to i nfluence the officials as we are.
But Laumape was at fault for both of the tries. Not in isolation - the first try he was sucked in by the decoy with ALB and Rieko - but he was involved in of the defensive lapses.
I don't want to scapegoat the guy, I just think it's important to recognise that he's somewhat lacking in experience and playing the most defensively challenging part of the field. Of course, the opposition will be looking to exploit him.
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@junior probably a big reason why they have brought Fekitoa back into the fray. He and ALB have a combination and I quite like ALB defending at 12 and Fekitoa is a genuine centre.
Laumape is an impact option at this stage.
I'm not sure of the answer, but how can we keep Barrett at 1st 5 longer? I know this might set Nepia and Crucial's knight in shining armour alerts off, and it's not meant to be a slight on Cruden, but I prefer Barrett to be at 10 in both attack and defence. Sure he didn't have a great test last weekend, but I felt we lost shape when he shifted.
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@ACT-Crusader said in All Blacks v BI Lions Test #3:
@junior probably a big reason why they have brought Fekitoa back into the fray. He and ALB have a combination and I quite like ALB defending at 12 and Fekitoa is a genuine centre.
Laumape is an impact option at this stage.
I'm not sure of the answer, but how can we keep Barrett at 1st 5 longer? I know this might set Nepia and Crucial's knight in shining armour alerts off, and it's not meant to be a slight on Cruden, but I prefer Barrett to be at 10 in both attack and defence. Sure he didn't have a great test last weekend, but I felt we lost shape when he shifted.
Not have all the other backs get injured/carded?
