CWC Semi-final 1: India v New Zealand
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Pleased we got India. Even if we can't win the whole thing, knocking India out would be down right hilarious. We have nothing to lose, just like the ABs against Ireland..
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The theory of this tournament has been to bat first, put a huge total on the board and watch the batting side collapse under the pressure.
Until unfortunately we played Pakistan...
I still however think it's the right way to go, pressure has much more dramatic effects on a batting team than a bowling one (and by that I mean you make one mistake as a batsman and your out, whereas a bowler you go for 4/6).
Wont be the end of the world if we bowl first as our batsmen are in much better form than our bowling attack. Though I would say to win a chase we will need some luck or some bad Indian fielding
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@KiwiMurph said in CWC Semi-final 1: India v New Zealand:
Gut feeling says we are better off chasing - we couldn't even defend 400 when we batted first vs Pakistan.
Still think that we could have won that if weather hadn't intervened. They needed 200 at a good clip.
We royally fucked it up against SA by choosing to chase as well (and SA are shit at chasing, so who knows why Latham did that).
Conversely, we probably would have run down the Aussies if Henry hadn't given them a 14 run head start (off zero balls effectively) by not knowing how long a cricket pitch is. One no ball I might have forgiven (even for seven runs) but 2 consecutively FFS. We lost by 5. Thanks Matt.
There was a stat a week or two back that 70% of WC games this year had been won by the team that lost the toss. So losing the toss is a good start to winning. That might have been when they were all paranoid about dew that wasn't going to happen and bowling first though.
Upshot of all that? No idea.
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@Snowy said in CWC Semi-final 1: India v New Zealand:
@KiwiMurph said in CWC Semi-final 1: India v New Zealand:
Gut feeling says we are better off chasing - we couldn't even defend 400 when we batted first vs Pakistan.
Still think that we could have won that if weather hadn't intervened. They needed 200 at a good clip.
We royally fucked it up against SA by choosing to chase as well (and SA are shit at chasing, so who knows why Latham did that).
Conversely, we probably would have run down the Aussies if Henry hadn't given them a 14 run head start (off zero balls effectively) by not knowing how long a cricket pitch is. One no ball I might have forgiven (even for seven runs) but 2 consecutively FFS. We lost by 5. Thanks Matt.
There was a stat a week or two back that 70% of WC games this year had been won by the team that lost the toss. So losing the toss is a good start to winning. That might have been when they were all paranoid about dew that wasn't going to happen and bowling first though.
Upshot of all that? No idea.
Worse we dropped 3 catches in the last 10 overs that cost us at least 30 runs.
you can not win any game dropping set batsmen in the last 10 overs. -
I think we are in with a great chance. That's NZ's best top order that we've seen for some time, it only takes two of them to fire and we are in with a good shout of making a large total.
It's all really down to the performance of our bowlers. Bowl well against this in form Indian lineup, and we are definitely in the hunt.
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@booboo said in CWC Semi-final 1: India v New Zealand:
Unfortunately I can't shake the feeling we're the Argentina of this group of Semi-finalists.
Seems there's not much in the way of weakness in that Indian team, but they're not unbeatable.
So how do we beat them?
That's a fair assessment. India is by some distance the best team at this World Cup.
But, the best team doesn't always win.
I wouldn't mind if they bat first because there's always the chance that they think they need to score more than they really do and push too hard. e.g. us vs Oz in 2015.
One small weakness is their success so far. Jadeja will bat at 7 for them and he's only faced 96 balls in this whole Cup - and the four guys below him have collectively only faced 49 balls. So IF we can make inroads on their top order, their lower order might fall over for us.
Big IF.
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@booboo said in CWC Semi-final 1: India v New Zealand:
NZ's seventh successive Semi-final apparently
Is this correct?
The 6th out the last 7 tournaments would have been South Africa 2003, and didn't we miss the semis because we didn't go to Nairobi?
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@Canes4life said in CWC Semi-final 1: India v New Zealand:
I think we are in with a great chance. That's NZ's best top order that we've seen for some time, it only takes two of them to fire and we are in with a good shout of making a large total.
It's all really down to the performance of our bowlers. Bowl well against this in form Indian lineup, and we are definitely in the hunt.
It really is. We don’t even miss Rossco, outstanding player that he was.
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Whilst our top order has in form and quality batsmen, this Indian ODI bowling lineup is about as good as I’ve seen from any Indian team in my lifetime. Good mix of pace, spin and slower ball bowling.
Big challenge for our top order.
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@ACT-Crusader said in CWC Semi-final 1: India v New Zealand:
Whilst our top order has in form and quality batsmen, this Indian ODI bowling lineup is about as good as I’ve seen from any Indian team in my lifetime. Good mix of pace, spin and slower ball bowling.
Big challenge for our top order.
Good to see a country as obsessed with the game as they are has finally caught up with the rest of the world.
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@MN5 said in CWC Semi-final 1: India v New Zealand:
@ACT-Crusader said in CWC Semi-final 1: India v New Zealand:
Whilst our top order has in form and quality batsmen, this Indian ODI bowling lineup is about as good as I’ve seen from any Indian team in my lifetime. Good mix of pace, spin and slower ball bowling.
Big challenge for our top order.
Good to see a country as obsessed with the game as they are has finally caught up with the rest of the world.
Thanks to Dennis Lille and then Craig McDermott having pace bowling academies in 4 main cities for a number of years,
Craig still brings some young quicks over to play in the club system.
Last season we had a 6ft8 young quick for 3 months he was clocking about 145ks but is was the bounce of a short length that was very hard to combat, -
@Chris this is what's impressed me about the current Indian setup. They seem to have a production line of talent. Such a far cry from the old amateur efforts
By comparison, and from the outside, Australia's seems to have fallen back a bit. Sheffield shield not what it was? Pitches look more similar than they used to.
You're the expert, keen on your opinion
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@nzzp said in CWC Semi-final 1: India v New Zealand:
@Chris this is what's impressed me about the current Indian setup. They seem to have a production line of talent. Such a far cry from the old amateur efforts
By comparison, and from the outside, Australia's seems to have fallen back a bit. Sheffield shield not what it was? Pitches look more similar than they used to.
You're the expert, keen on your opinion
Well as I said they are obsessed and spend a fucken fortune so they should be good.
I suppose being a big hostile fiery pace bowler doesn’t come naturally to a lot of diminutive Indians to be fair.
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@nzzp said in CWC Semi-final 1: India v New Zealand:
@Chris this is what's impressed me about the current Indian setup. They seem to have a production line of talent. Such a far cry from the old amateur efforts
By comparison, and from the outside, Australia's seems to have fallen back a bit. Sheffield shield not what it was? Pitches look more similar than they used to.
You're the expert, keen on your opinion.
Yes the Sheffield Shield is weaker the Australian players don’t play in it anymore.
So that weakens it somewhat.There is a real fix here in identifying 13/14 years olds and sticking with them through the youth system,which means some potential players slip through the system and get picked up by AFL.
We had a young quick 5 years back who had massive potential was bowling quick for his age but could not break in to the Qld under age teams,he got frustrated after good performances and AFL grabbed him up on a $80,000 contract he now plays AFL for The Brisbane Lions,
I was one of the Qld u/19 coaches and still could not get him in to the system.
But in saying that the volume of cricketers playing in Australia they will always have a gun 30 odd to pick from. -
The scary thing about the Indian system it is corrupt,
Money gets you everywhere and selected in the first class and under age teams.
if it was based on just ability the Indian teams would be unstoppable,I have spent time coaching in a couple of Craig McDermotts academies in India over the last 6 years.
I have seen some very interesting selection practices. -
If the reports of India requesting a slow pitch with all the grass shaved off is correct that will make our bowlers work very hard,The Indian batsmen are going to be able get forward or play from the back crease trusting the bounce and be able to wait for the ball.
Miss line or length and it's over or into the boundary.From a bowling point of view bowling 2nd would be best for NZ hoping to get some movement with the dew if it falls.And a slightly quicker pitch which will help with variations in length and pace.
