All Blacks v Wallabies at Eden Park.
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@nostrildamus said in All Blacks v Wallabies at Eden Park.:
@Rancid-Schnitzel I note commentators always rave on about BBBR's engine but Whitelock is just as fit and energetic. He doesn't stand out as much but I rate him very very highly.
Absolutely agree. Sam is not as prominent in the loose, but has a huge engine and is a massive contributor.
Made that key lineout steal in the QF as well. Critical.
That, and he's the modern skinny lock. At 115kg. FML.
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The Wallabies haven't won at Eden Park for 30 years and combined with such form poor, they are paying $10 to beat the All Blacks, who are at $1.03.
I tend to think that if things go to script then we'll win by 15-20 points - could blow out, but I suspect the Aussies are actually the best team we're going to play this year.
Playing the Argies, when Moody got yellow carded, we were on the back foot and under pressure. I'm wondering how much of a penalty would make this an even-stevens game and thinking a first half red card would certainly do it. If I were an Aussie I'd definitely want a piece of those $10 odds.
Meanwhile that quote comes from a stuff article about some guy who put $100K on the ABs to win all their games this year....at $1.50.
He's either rich enough not to worry or bought himself a fair amount of stress.
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I agree Chris. Think this will be tougher than previousky and tougher than many are thinking.
The fact that they have some height in the loosies, some starch in the second row and a front row that isn't hopeless creates a different dynamic.
I'm less concerned about their backs. But I'm a terible analyst so they'll probably tear it up ...
Anyway, I'm picking an AB win. But they'll have to work.
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@booboo said in All Blacks v Wallabies at Eden Park.:
But I'm a terible analyst so they'll probably tear it up
Anyway, I'm picking an AB win. But they'll have to work.The problem with picking scores in rugby is that you can get all sorts of different dynamics in a match depending on who gets a lucky break at the start and the way the game ebbs and flows. Plenty of scope to be made to look like a plonker!
The ABs could really run away with this if they get early points and the Aussies lose confidence in their systems, or it could be tight as, if the Aussies manage to get an early lead and the ABs start to see their streak being broken.
I'm not really sure what I think about those odds. On one hand it seems crazy that the Aussies are paying $10 in a two horse race - on the other hand, short of us getting multiple yellows or a red I can't see them winning. If we played the game 10 times (independent of each other) - I'd really expect us to win all of them, so the $10 odds are probably realistic - most likely they're not particularly generous.
I don't want any part of the $1.03 odds though. I guess there's people putting $100 on to make $3, but those odds seem a bit dubious.
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@Stargazer said in All Blacks v Wallabies at Eden Park.:
Holy Shitballs. Haven't seen any All Black leading the haka as good as TJP in recent times.
Yeah - he does a fking good haka. I reckon that was actually one of his worst, but it was still good.
