All Blacks 2025
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what i see looking at those stats is we were rotating through five different guys at blindside during that period and none of them got more than 3 games in a row to bed down, all during covid disruptions when lots of guys we'rent their best
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what's hilarious about "we lost games so that player should get fucked" is Ardie Savea started every one of those games as well. Jordan, Reiko. Jordie Barrett. A long list of guys who will be walk up starts this year.
we lost four times last year FFS and it won't cost anyone their spots.
Fact is, i think to our detriment, once you are in the team you get a very long leash, but the newbies and fringe players need to either star early, or you are gone. Actually it's not even that, you can't have any drop in your standards or you're gone.
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Blaming one player for losses to the best teams in the world is the height of absurdity.
There are people that just cannot seem to grasp the concept of a player improving over time, despite high profile examples like Nonu and Kaino (a 6!) who both clearly had the talent but started very slowly before becoming the worlds best (and arguably the best ever for those two).
The fact is Akira had come of age as a player. He had added bulk, tightened his game right up, and spent the last year of Super bitch slapping every other loosie in NZ around, including the Super final. The difference between him and Kaino is Kaino was persisted with by the coaches, and became the worlds best. Akira was not even considered for selection due to a personal beef / bias from our current coaches, so who knows what he could have achieved?
We are a small country with limited resources, it is incredibly frustrating that our coaches have just snubbed someone NZR has invested so much in over the years when they finally reach their potential. I am really surprised people aren't more up in arms about it, it's a ridiculous waste of a special talent.
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@No-Quarter I think the luxury of having a period with several all time greats and consequently an unparalleled winning record led to our coaches thinking a bit too highly of themselves and ignoring players they didn't like. I believe they called them "dickheads", as defined by themselves of course.
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@No-Quarter dont get me wrong....i think far too often its harder to get dropped from the AB's than make them in the first place....but in this case we went far to far the other way
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@pukunui said in All Blacks 2025:
@KiwiMurph said in All Blacks 2025:
@Chris-B said in All Blacks 2025:
@No-Quarter He'd signed in Japan!
After getting the quiet word he wasn't in the AB plans.....
Is there any actual evidence of this happening?
Given there's not a thousand post thread on the topic, I'm guessing not!
But, it's another reading from the Book of the Injustices of Akira!
Honestly, it's like the bloody Jehovah's Witnesses - they just keep coming back.
Burn the dossiers boys, he's left the building - he left a bit earlier than this last year!
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it's not really about Akira though is it?
We've been pretty fucking average for a good 5 seasons in a row now, a history basically re-written at times because of two wins over Ireland, and running the Boks close in the World Cup Final (a game very rarely one sided no matter what form shown by the participants leading up to it).
And yet, for all that, even now with supposedly new coaches, we wheel the same guys out week after week to the same old shit. We are weak in the same areas. While there are fringe guys out there looked over continually because of some perceived flaw in their game, despite the incumbents also being flawed.
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@Chris-B said in All Blacks 2025:
@pukunui said in All Blacks 2025:
@KiwiMurph said in All Blacks 2025:
@Chris-B said in All Blacks 2025:
@No-Quarter He'd signed in Japan!
After getting the quiet word he wasn't in the AB plans.....
Is there any actual evidence of this happening?
Given there's not a thousand post thread on the topic, I'm guessing not!
But, it's another reading from the Book of the Injustices of Akira!
Honestly, it's like the bloody Jehovah's Witnesses - they just keep coming back.
Burn the dossiers boys, he's left the building - he left a bit earlier than this last year!
This is a bit rich coming from Frizell's publicist.
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@mariner4life Well, it is - but, I appreciate your effort to move the conversation on.
In my mind you can trace our decline from clearly the best in the world to the exact instant that SBW got red-carded vs the Lions. We'd beaten them comfortably in the first test (as did several Super teams), we were well on the way to doing so again - but, fate intervened. And by the third test, we were weakened by injury and we had the deal-making referees to deny us at the end.
Another important waypoint was Hansen departing from his mantra of experience and selecting lots of rookies to play the knock-out games in Japan (maybe the cyclone that canceled one of our games didn't help either). Reading Gregor Paul's biography of Hansen, apparently the real plan for dual playmakers was to use Beaudy and DMac, so probably DMac's injury didn't help either. But, we could have fielded the likes of Cane, Ben Smith, Rieko and Crotty. If Hansen had his time again I think he would have.
The absolute dumbest decision of recent times was asking the contenders for All Black coach in 2020 to pre-select their coaching teams (based on the Deans-Henry decision in 2007). So we ended up closing the door on the best assistants for Fozzie by requiring pre-selection. Total lack of appreciation of consequences.
Once we had Fozzie, Schmidt and Ryan in place, we pretty much started to build to a good place. At the RWC, I think we understood better than anyone that there was no point in shooting your bolt early. We took our licks vs SA in a warm-up game and vs France in the pool match. Smart by Foster - I want to win the tournament, not protect minor records like never losing a pool match, though I don't think he'd put it in as many words. Going into the Final, I think SA were somewhat running on fumes - but some unfortunate things happened and we ended up coulda, shoulda, woulda.
Then about 10 of our squad retired including a few legends.
Last year, a bit of a rebuilding year. We had a tough schedule - SA away and Rassie hadn't lost many of his RWC winning team - IMO we went OK in terms of results, but I didn't really comprehend a clear gameplan - maybe play at speed. Initially there was a weird backline configuration that didn't seem to work (similar to what the Crusaders appeared to be using - and not working), but that departed with Leon.
Our golden generation of 2015 is pretty much gone now. I'm pretty optimistic we've got some good talent coming through.
In some ways, I think we as fans have to change our expectations about winning every test. Sometimes, you have to risk losing to develop players - and especially at RWC, it's the Grand Final that matters.
Maybe the Blues are about to teach us something in that regard?
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@Nepia said in All Blacks 2025:
@Chris-B said in All Blacks 2025:
@pukunui said in All Blacks 2025:
@KiwiMurph said in All Blacks 2025:
@Chris-B said in All Blacks 2025:
@No-Quarter He'd signed in Japan!
After getting the quiet word he wasn't in the AB plans.....
Is there any actual evidence of this happening?
Given there's not a thousand post thread on the topic, I'm guessing not!
But, it's another reading from the Book of the Injustices of Akira!
Honestly, it's like the bloody Jehovah's Witnesses - they just keep coming back.
Burn the dossiers boys, he's left the building - he left a bit earlier than this last year!
This is a bit rich coming from Frizell's publicist.
I've never met the guy, but providing a few facts to the conversation never goes amiss. Doesn't always get you many likes on the Fern though.
May surprise you that I have nothing against Akira - I'd have liked to see him used more - and at times persisted with.
But, I do have an axe to grind with his cheerleaders - and to an extent his detractors (several of whom were trolling the cheerleaders). I've had to listen to ten years of crap that have made discussing blindside flanker pretty much a waste of time of the Fern.
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@mariner4life What gets to me most is the lack of ambition with the current custodians of the Black Jersey. There seems to be a belief in AB HQ that if we are third or fourth in the world and hold onto the Bledisloe Cup then that's alright. Bugger that!
Our coaches have lost their belief in polishing rough diamonds into world class players, our administrators seem content to play second fiddle to the Springboks, our players enjoy being legends in their own small country rather than global superstars.
It won't be too long until the fans lose their passion too.
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FWIW i still maintain if they had the balls to leave Aaron Smith on for the full 80 we still win that 2nd Lions test.
I don't disagree with anything there (and i am definitely on board with "it's nigh on impossible to win everything now") but i have been mystified with so many selections for so long now (actually, writing that out, i guess the problem is me), and while the results haven't been appalling, we have played shit so many times.
And i am sick of the same core guys getting wheeled out every single week, most for 80 minutes, failing to deliver, and never being under pressure for their spot.
I expect the 2025 squad to be the 2024 squad with maaaaybe some fiddling around the edges, and the test team to be the same as last year as well. That's kinda depressing really.
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@sparky To be honest, I don't get that feeling.
I think there's probably a degree of apprehension with the contraction of Super rugby, and especially with the Aussie teams being rubbish for a few years. There's not really anywhere for us to go if they'd imploded. Thankfully, they're looking to be on the improve - and Moana and the Drua are building.
I think mostly, there's an overarching fear of losing test matches - that's been exacerbated by our extraordinary success of especially 2011-2015. It's a professional game, we've shared our IP with the world, what exactly is our competitive advantage at the highest level? Not any of us posting on the Fern, I suspect.
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@Chris-B said in All Blacks 2025:
In my mind you can trace our decline from clearly the best in the world to the exact instant that SBW got red-carded vs the Lions
Agree with that 👌
If he doesn't have that brain fart, we win 3 zip, win 2019 and 2023 rwcs...only really serious about one of 3 things...but sliding doors and all 😄
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@mariner4life said in All Blacks 2025:
I expect the 2025 squad to be the 2024 squad with maaaaybe some fiddling around the edges, and the test team to be the same as last year as well. That's kinda depressing really.
I think you'll be right on this. I expect most of us will be able to pick 90% of the squad.
But, I think there's a significant jump to test level from Super rugby, so most of the best prospects take time to get acclimatised - so there's a bit of disincentive to change.
But, more importantly, we never have to deal with any man-management issues associated with dropping a player. For example, if you were to drop Ardie - as many were advocating last year - you'd be feeling a bit sick right now if he'd signed a multi-million dollar contract to fuck off to Japan.
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@Chris-B said in All Blacks 2025:
I think mostly, there's an overarching fear of losing test matches - that's been exacerbated by our extraordinary success of especially 2011-2015. It's a professional game, we've shared our IP with the world, what exactly is our competitive advantage at the highest level? Not any of us posting on the Fern, I suspect.
The issue is - the fear of losing test matches is getting in the way of winning test matches.
Ironically last year was probably the year to try things - first year of a 4 year deal, the two Bok games were away (which we lost anyway) and Razor had 12 months between finishing Crusaders and starting the ABs.
Razor will be building his whole 2025 TRC around keeping Bledisloe and beating Boks at Eden Park - given 2024 I see very few risks being taken in the 23 for those games - which in and of itself could see us get Ws for those games but in the background we still have the same underlying issues that never get addressed (i.e. loose forward balance, midfield, impact from bench loose forward and bench utility etc etc) which could bite us down the track
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@Chris-B said in All Blacks 2025:
@mariner4life said in All Blacks 2025:
I expect the 2025 squad to be the 2024 squad with maaaaybe some fiddling around the edges, and the test team to be the same as last year as well. That's kinda depressing really.
I think you'll be right on this. I expect most of us will be able to pick 90% of the squad.
But, I think there's a significant jump to test level from Super rugby, so most of the best prospects take time to get acclimatised - so there's a bit of disincentive to change.
But, more importantly, we never have to deal with any man-management issues associated with dropping a player. For example, if you were to drop Ardie - as many were advocating last year - you'd be feeling a bit sick right now if he'd signed a multi-million dollar contract to fuck off to Japan.
If guys are getting spots because we're scared they'll leave then we are more fucked than I thought
