All Blacks 2024
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@frugby said in All Blacks 2024:
The argument for not playing Savea is fair, particularly as he could be an excellent impact sub... but I am also not convinced there is an obviously better replacement that we should tinker with this totally now... particularly with Cane retiring. If you benched Ardie as well, whatever happens the loose forwards will be very inexperienced, which is okay... but it has the potential to go wrong.
Ardie is guaranteed to give a certain level of performance - Ardie's worst game is probably better than say Sititi or Sotutu's worst game.
Assuming Sititi keeps progressing nicely, then by this time next year we could potentially build the loose forward trio around him. I think he will eventually move to 8, and IMO, to counteract that we need a huge blindside... Oli Haig will be in the NZ XV squad, and to me he looks like the obvious up and comer to balance it. That would give you room to play a defensive behemoth at 7... haven't looked at the stats close enough, but that could be Blackadder (please no), Papalii or Lakai. Savea then ready in 20 to come on for the last 25.
I think Sititi probably outplayed Savea in each of the past four games so I'm not sure how true that is...
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@Mr-Fish said in All Blacks 2024:
@frugby said in All Blacks 2024:
Ardie is guaranteed to give a certain level of performance - Ardie's worst game is probably better than say Sititi or Sotutu's worst game.
I think Sititi probably outplayed Savea in each of the past four games so I'm not sure how true that is...
I'd argue this is Ardie at his worst though? And even still, his performances have been serviceable. The concern would be, if we say went Sititi, Papalii and Sotutu, there is less of a guarantee there. Could be awesome, but a lot of pressure on inexperienced players... only way I see them benching Ardie, is if they take Cane - and in that case, I think it is more likely they'd just play Ardie at 7.
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@BerniesCorner said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:
@nostrildamus said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:
But I have to concur, Ioane's passing is at risk of being difficult and inaccurate. He seems slow to note others nearby and his instinct is still not to distribute. A shame, he was a tiger on defence (and so was ALB near the end of the game).
He's a weapon on the wing.
Sititi has a great ability to think and pass under pressure. Aware where others are.If we pick Hoskins as well our loosies will literally have better ball skills than our midfield.
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@frugby said in All Blacks 2024:
Assuming Sititi keeps progressing nicely, then by this time next year we could potentially build the loose forward trio around him. I think he will eventually move to 8, and IMO, to counteract that we need a huge blindside... Oli Haig will be in the NZ XV squad, and to me he looks like the obvious up and comer to balance it. That would give you room to play a defensive behemoth at 7... haven't looked at the stats close enough, but that could be Blackadder (please no), Papalii or Lakai. Savea then ready in 20 to come on for the last 25.
I think someone mentioned Sititi had played more 7 than 6? I think that might be his best spot for our combinations, as he's not physically that large. In fact he's small for an international 6 or 8, so if you play him in one of those spots - as you say - you need at least one other loosie to be genuinely big.
Locking someone in and that meaning other positions must have certain attributes is exactly what has been wrong with our loosies for the past few years. Cane was locked in at 7 and captain, even though Ardie was the better 7. That meant Ardie moved to 8, then he got locked in. That meant we needed a big lineout blindside - so we got the underperforming Frizzell and no other options, and we were shit. Now we're even more shit, because two of them are still playing and they're both older and playing worse, our balance is still fucked so as a group they're getting outplayed on a weekly basis, and the only guy really killing it individually is a kid playing out of position.
I hope Haig is the next big thing, but to rely on someone that unproven for your balance is a huge stretch when NZ doesn't produce a lot of that style of player. Hoskins is my preference at 8 as he has dominated at super level and has international size. He lets you play Sititi / Lakai sized guys on the flank against the big teams because he is a genuine lineout forward, and a big lump. Hoskins won't play 80, but if you have Savea and Sititi in the mix then that's not a problem. -
@frugby said in All Blacks 2024:
@Mr-Fish said in All Blacks 2024:
@frugby said in All Blacks 2024:
Ardie is guaranteed to give a certain level of performance - Ardie's worst game is probably better than say Sititi or Sotutu's worst game.
I think Sititi probably outplayed Savea in each of the past four games so I'm not sure how true that is...
I'd argue this is Ardie at his worst though? And even still, his performances have been serviceable. The concern would be, if we say went Sititi, Papalii and Sotutu, there is less of a guarantee there. Could be awesome, but a lot of pressure on inexperienced players... only way I see them benching Ardie, is if they take Cane - and in that case, I think it is more likely they'd just play Ardie at 7.
Whoops, totally misread what you said - my bad.
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@reprobate said in All Blacks 2024:
@frugby said in All Blacks 2024:
Assuming Sititi keeps progressing nicely, then by this time next year we could potentially build the loose forward trio around him. I think he will eventually move to 8, and IMO, to counteract that we need a huge blindside... Oli Haig will be in the NZ XV squad, and to me he looks like the obvious up and comer to balance it. That would give you room to play a defensive behemoth at 7... haven't looked at the stats close enough, but that could be Blackadder (please no), Papalii or Lakai. Savea then ready in 20 to come on for the last 25.
I think someone mentioned Sititi had played more 7 than 6? I think that might be his best spot for our combinations, as he's not physically that large. In fact he's small for an international 6 or 8, so if you play him in one of those spots - as you say - you need at least one other loosie to be genuinely big.
Locking someone in and that meaning other positions must have certain attributes is exactly what has been wrong with our loosies for the past few years. Cane was locked in at 7 and captain, even though Ardie was the better 7. That meant Ardie moved to 8, then he got locked in. That meant we needed a big lineout blindside - so we got the underperforming Frizzell and no other options, and we were shit. Now we're even more shit, because two of them are still playing and they're both older and playing worse, our balance is still fucked so as a group they're getting outplayed on a weekly basis, and the only guy really killing it individually is a kid playing out of position.
I hope Haig is the next big thing, but to rely on someone that unproven for your balance is a huge stretch when NZ doesn't produce a lot of that style of player. Hoskins is my preference at 8 as he has dominated at super level and has international size. He lets you play Sititi / Lakai sized guys on the flank against the big teams because he is a genuine lineout forward, and a big lump. Hoskins won't play 80, but if you have Savea and Sititi in the mix then that's not a problem.I think though he is a similar height to Savea, I think Sititi has a much bigger frame, which would allow him to play 8. Definitely wouldn't want to limit him at 7, and I actually think that would lead to an unbalanced trio.
Long-term, all going well, it will be Sititi, Lakai + 1... that +1 will be a big guy, so I guess it just depends who is available and in form. And furthermore, IMO, it does not really matter, who plays 6,7 or 8, because tactics/how you use them overrides that - the trio complimenting each other is far more important.
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@reprobate said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:
@BerniesCorner said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:
@nostrildamus said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:
But I have to concur, Ioane's passing is at risk of being difficult and inaccurate. He seems slow to note others nearby and his instinct is still not to distribute. A shame, he was a tiger on defence (and so was ALB near the end of the game).
He's a weapon on the wing.
Sititi has a great ability to think and pass under pressure. Aware where others are.If we pick Hoskins as well our loosies will literally have better ball skills than our midfield.
If we go 6-2, Hoskins could probably cover midfield.
Before people drop their shit, Iām talking about in an emergency here.
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@frugby said in All Blacks 2024:
@reprobate said in All Blacks 2024:
@frugby said in All Blacks 2024:
Assuming Sititi keeps progressing nicely, then by this time next year we could potentially build the loose forward trio around him. I think he will eventually move to 8, and IMO, to counteract that we need a huge blindside... Oli Haig will be in the NZ XV squad, and to me he looks like the obvious up and comer to balance it. That would give you room to play a defensive behemoth at 7... haven't looked at the stats close enough, but that could be Blackadder (please no), Papalii or Lakai. Savea then ready in 20 to come on for the last 25.
I think someone mentioned Sititi had played more 7 than 6? I think that might be his best spot for our combinations, as he's not physically that large. In fact he's small for an international 6 or 8, so if you play him in one of those spots - as you say - you need at least one other loosie to be genuinely big.
Locking someone in and that meaning other positions must have certain attributes is exactly what has been wrong with our loosies for the past few years. Cane was locked in at 7 and captain, even though Ardie was the better 7. That meant Ardie moved to 8, then he got locked in. That meant we needed a big lineout blindside - so we got the underperforming Frizzell and no other options, and we were shit. Now we're even more shit, because two of them are still playing and they're both older and playing worse, our balance is still fucked so as a group they're getting outplayed on a weekly basis, and the only guy really killing it individually is a kid playing out of position.
I hope Haig is the next big thing, but to rely on someone that unproven for your balance is a huge stretch when NZ doesn't produce a lot of that style of player. Hoskins is my preference at 8 as he has dominated at super level and has international size. He lets you play Sititi / Lakai sized guys on the flank against the big teams because he is a genuine lineout forward, and a big lump. Hoskins won't play 80, but if you have Savea and Sititi in the mix then that's not a problem.I think though he is a similar height to Savea, I think Sititi has a much bigger frame, which would allow him to play 8. Definitely wouldn't want to limit him at 7, and I actually think that would lead to an unbalanced trio.
Long-term, all going well, it will be Sititi, Lakai + 1... that +1 will be a big guy, so I guess it just depends who is available and in form. And furthermore, IMO, it does not really matter, who plays 6,7 or 8, because tactics/how you use them overrides that - the trio complimenting each other is far more important.
My point is, what if we don't have a big guy who is good enough? You select a mediocre player, or you have a very small loose trio. It's also an issue because we typically struggle for locking height and consequently frequently have a shorter lock e.g. Barrett, Thorn - which makes loosie lineout options even more important: Kieran Read.
It's kinda like a toned down version of the Waugh + Smith Aussie move. As individuals both are good enough to be on the field, but put them together and the balance is shit because you just don't have what you need to make the combinations work. The other option is picking one of the smaller guys, and two good slightly larger guys, and I think that usually works out better. -
@frugby said in All Blacks 2024:
@Mr-Fish said in All Blacks 2024:
@frugby said in All Blacks 2024:
Ardie is guaranteed to give a certain level of performance - Ardie's worst game is probably better than say Sititi or Sotutu's worst game.
I think Sititi probably outplayed Savea in each of the past four games so I'm not sure how true that is...
I'd argue this is Ardie at his worst though? And even still, his performances have been serviceable. The concern would be, if we say went Sititi, Papalii and Sotutu, there is less of a guarantee there. Could be awesome, but a lot of pressure on inexperienced players... only way I see them benching Ardie, is if they take Cane - and in that case, I think it is more likely they'd just play Ardie at 7.
my only concern with Sititi , this is his break out year , for whatever reason many players have a bit of a drop off after that , second year blues or what ever you want to call it ,
So i guess as impressive as he has been , we may need to be wary of putting too much expectation on the young fella too soon .
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@reprobate said in All Blacks 2024:
@frugby said in All Blacks 2024:
@reprobate said in All Blacks 2024:
@frugby said in All Blacks 2024:
Assuming Sititi keeps progressing nicely, then by this time next year we could potentially build the loose forward trio around him. I think he will eventually move to 8, and IMO, to counteract that we need a huge blindside... Oli Haig will be in the NZ XV squad, and to me he looks like the obvious up and comer to balance it. That would give you room to play a defensive behemoth at 7... haven't looked at the stats close enough, but that could be Blackadder (please no), Papalii or Lakai. Savea then ready in 20 to come on for the last 25.
I think someone mentioned Sititi had played more 7 than 6? I think that might be his best spot for our combinations, as he's not physically that large. In fact he's small for an international 6 or 8, so if you play him in one of those spots - as you say - you need at least one other loosie to be genuinely big.
Locking someone in and that meaning other positions must have certain attributes is exactly what has been wrong with our loosies for the past few years. Cane was locked in at 7 and captain, even though Ardie was the better 7. That meant Ardie moved to 8, then he got locked in. That meant we needed a big lineout blindside - so we got the underperforming Frizzell and no other options, and we were shit. Now we're even more shit, because two of them are still playing and they're both older and playing worse, our balance is still fucked so as a group they're getting outplayed on a weekly basis, and the only guy really killing it individually is a kid playing out of position.
I hope Haig is the next big thing, but to rely on someone that unproven for your balance is a huge stretch when NZ doesn't produce a lot of that style of player. Hoskins is my preference at 8 as he has dominated at super level and has international size. He lets you play Sititi / Lakai sized guys on the flank against the big teams because he is a genuine lineout forward, and a big lump. Hoskins won't play 80, but if you have Savea and Sititi in the mix then that's not a problem.I think though he is a similar height to Savea, I think Sititi has a much bigger frame, which would allow him to play 8. Definitely wouldn't want to limit him at 7, and I actually think that would lead to an unbalanced trio.
Long-term, all going well, it will be Sititi, Lakai + 1... that +1 will be a big guy, so I guess it just depends who is available and in form. And furthermore, IMO, it does not really matter, who plays 6,7 or 8, because tactics/how you use them overrides that - the trio complimenting each other is far more important.
My point is, what if we don't have a big guy who is good enough? You select a mediocre player, or you have a very small loose trio. It's also an issue because we typically struggle for locking height and consequently frequently have a shorter lock e.g. Barrett, Thorn - which makes loosie lineout options even more important: Kieran Read.
It's kinda like a toned down version of the Waugh + Smith Aussie move. As individuals both are good enough to be on the field, but put them together and the balance is shit because you just don't have what you need to make the combinations work. The other option is picking one of the smaller guys, and two good slightly larger guys, and I think that usually works out better.Who are the medium-sized guys that you'd be picking over someone like Sititi?
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He still scored a try and won two turnovers which you conveniently ignore for your ineffectiveness claim.
Do you think 2.4 metres per carry isn't good? Sititi has 2.1 metres per carry for his AB's career so far.
I doubt Blackadder has won more than two turnovers his entire AB career. He hasn't scored any tries.
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@MajorRage said in All Blacks 2024:
Granted, I've only seen the highlights on the weekend
Fuck I love this sort of analysis
Top Ferning 
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@frugby said in All Blacks 2024:
. I liked what Tosi brought, but I think those big NH tests come too soon for him, and his weakness in the scrum could be exposed.
Not against England's shit scrummaging bench props.
Are Ireland's reserve props good at scrummaging? -
@brodean said in All Blacks 2024:
He still scored a try and won two turnovers which you conveniently ignore for your ineffectiveness claim.
Do you think 2.4 metres per carry isn't good? Sititi has 2.1 metres per carry for his AB's career so far.
I doubt Blackadder has won more than two turnovers his entire AB career. He hasn't scored any tries.
Blackadder made two turnovers in Argentina 2. It's not his real strength, but I don't know why you'd mention him repeatedly in that facet when Dalton, Cane, Jacobson, Finau are all pretty mediocre at it too.
And try scoring... well you must not have thought much of the likes of Jerry Collins etc then eh?If you want to go by stats, then surely you should be advocating for Hoskins to get a run ahead of Ardie anyway - Super player of the year based on stats, and by some margin I reckon.
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@brodean said in All Blacks 2024:
He still scored a try and won two turnovers which you conveniently ignore for your ineffectiveness claim.
Do you think 2.4 metres per carry isn't good? Sititi has 2.1 metres per carry for his AB's career so far.
I doubt Blackadder has won more than two turnovers his entire AB career. He hasn't scored any tries.
His try was fine - good backing up on the turnover. About 1min in here
But it gets rubbed out completely by his miss on Paisami for me.
The turnovers need to be taken in context - he attempts a STACK of them every game - at the expense of putting in a dominant tackle or counter-rucking. I think they cost us significantly on a net/net basis. I would so much rather he put in 3-4 hard shoulders into some prick running at us.
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@voodoo said in All Blacks 2024:
The turnovers need to be taken in context - he attempts a STACK of them every game - at the expense of putting in a dominant tackle or counter-rucking. I think they cost us significantly on a net/net basis. I would so much rather he put in 3-4 hard shoulders into some prick running at us.
Similar story with his ball running. He hangs off cleaning rucks to be in position to hit the ball up. There's a trade off.
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