Olympics Thread
-
<blockquote class="ipsBlockquote" data-author="Chris B." data-cid="606623" data-time="1471567121">
<div>
<p>Great effort by Tom Walsh - his pb is 21.58, so he would have needed to throw 20cm further than that to take the silver.</p>
</div>
</blockquote>
<p>
His outdoor PB is 21.62m and 21.78m indoors (earlier this year winning the world indoor champs).<br><br>
I reckon he'll go over 22m later this season, looks in great shape.</p> -
<blockquote class="ipsBlockquote" data-author="Chris B." data-cid="606672" data-time="1471576493">
<div>
<p>I think I'd say "questionable". Who knows - perhaps he's teamed up with a legendary shotput coach.</p>
<p> </p>
<p>Be interesting to hear an explanation of that sort of rapid improvement.</p>
</div>
</blockquote>
<p> </p>
<p>Na, Crouser has been one of the most promising young shotputters since he was about 13. He's steadily improved his PB over the years and really come of age in the last 12 months as he physically matured and focused on the shot exclusively (he's also a great discus thrower and did both at college ).</p>
<p> </p>
<p>PB progression: </p>
<p> </p>
<p>2016 22.52 Rio de Janeiro (Estádio OlÃmpico)</p>
<p>2015 21.11 Austin (Myers Stadium), TX </p>
<p>2014 21.39 Lubbock, TX </p>
<p>2013 21.09 Waco, TX</p>
<p>2012 19.32 Austin, TX</p>
<p> </p>
<p>So he first threw over 21m at age 20. That's proper shotput pedigree, not someone smashing roids just for these Olympics. </p> -
<blockquote class="ipsBlockquote" data-author="TeWaio" data-cid="606749" data-time="1471593225">
<div>
<p>His outdoor PB is 21.62m and 21.78m indoors (earlier this year winning the world indoor champs).<br><br>
I reckon he'll go over 22m later this season, looks in great shape.</p>
</div>
</blockquote>
<p> </p>
<p>You mean I can't trust Wikipedia? :)</p>
<p> </p>
<p>That "no throw" looked very promising.</p>
<p> </p>
<p>On Crouser - hopefully you're right. I'd be less cynical if there had been less cheats in the past. </p> -
<blockquote class="ipsBlockquote" data-author="KiwiPie" data-cid="606699" data-time="1471581117">
<div>
<p>Willis won't get near a medal I reckon. He does have a habit of getting himself boxed in for finals and not giving himself a chance. But there are plenty better than him so getting to the final is an achievement for him.</p>
</div>
</blockquote>
<p> </p>
<p>Yeah - I'd bet no money on Nick - though, as above, he did look quite comfortable to me the way he finished both his races so far. I hate the way he runs - trying to come late through the pack.</p>
<p> </p>
<p>The timidity of many 1500 metre runners annoys me - especially those running in "tactical" races in the qualifying.</p>
<p> </p>
<p>Hamish Carson for example - he's listed as running in his heat in 3.48.18 - never looked like qualifying. In fact, his personal best is 3.36.25. Potentially he could have finished about 90 metres further up the track. Why sit in the back of a slow heat stacked full of world class runners and throw away the chance of a fastest loser berth?</p>
<p> </p>
<p>Might as well set sail early - like that Japanese woman in the 5000 metres - and not die wondering. You've got nothing to lose - it's not like Carson or Matthews were going to medal. </p>
<p> </p>
<p> <a data-ipb='nomediaparse' href='http://www.anzrankings.org.nz/site/profiles_con/athlete/505078'>http://www.anzrankings.org.nz/site/profiles_con/athlete/505078</a></p> -
<blockquote class="ipsBlockquote" data-author="Chris B." data-cid="606781" data-time="1471596762">
<div>
<p>Yeah - I'd bet no money on Nick - though, as above, he did look quite comfortable to me the way he finished both his races so far. I hate the way he runs - trying to come late through the pack.</p>
<p> </p>
<p>The timidity of many 1500 metre runners annoys me - especially those running in "tactical" races in the qualifying.</p>
<p> </p>
<p>Hamish Carson for example - he's listed as running in his heat in 3.48.18 - never looked like qualifying. In fact, his personal best is 3.36.25. Potentially he could have finished about 90 metres further up the track. Why sit in the back of a slow heat stacked full of world class runners and throw away the chance of a fastest loser berth?</p>
<p> </p>
<p>Might as well set sail early - like that Japanese woman in the 5000 metres - and not die wondering. You've got nothing to lose - it's not like Carson or Matthews were going to medal. </p>
<p> </p>
<p> <a data-ipb='nomediaparse' href='http://www.anzrankings.org.nz/site/profiles_con/athlete/505078'>http://www.anzrankings.org.nz/site/profiles_con/athlete/505078</a></p>
</div>
</blockquote>
<p>Didn't that Japanese runner blow up? If Carson had gone out early, then he would have wasted energy and been run down easily. There is a reason people don't race like that.</p> -
<blockquote class="ipsBlockquote" data-author="hydro11" data-cid="606786" data-time="1471597052">
<div>
<p>Didn't that Japanese runner blow up? If Carson had gone out early, then he would have wasted energy and been run down easily. There is a reason people don't race like that.</p>
</div>
</blockquote>
<p>why would it be a waste? what is he saving it for, the post-match rooting? </p>
<p>it's something that has always confused me. there are necessarily always a number of guys in the field who have to know they are not comparatively fast finishers, or for whom qualifying for the final would be an achievement in itself, so why are they not setting a faster pace?</p> -
<blockquote class="ipsBlockquote" data-author="hydro11" data-cid="606786" data-time="1471597052">
</p>
<div>
<p>Didn't that Japanese runner blow up? If Carson had gone out early, then he would have wasted energy and been run down easily. There is a reason people don't race like that.</p>
</div>
</blockquote>
<p> </p>
<p>
<p> </p>
<p>Here's Filbert Bayi winning the 1500 metres at the Christchurch Commonwealth games in 1974 - he set a world record. </p>
<p> </p>
<p>Now if you're a favourite with a vicious sprint I wouldn't recommend this. But, if you're Hamish Carson? What do you have to lose? The way he ran it he never gave himself a chance. In fact, as an unknown - there's a good chance the big guns would let you run away and qualify.</p>
<p> </p>
<p>The Japanese lady qualified for the final. She won't win, but she qualified.</p>
<p> </p>
<p>I won the Canterbury Country under 14 or 15 1500 Athletics sports using exactly this tactic! :)</p> -
<blockquote class="ipsBlockquote" data-author="Chris B." data-cid="606795" data-time="1471597854">
</p>
<div>
<p>
<p> </p>
<p>Here's Filbert Bayi winning the 1500 metres at the Christchurch Commonwealth games in 1974 - he set a world record. </p>
<p> </p>
<p>Now if you're a favourite with a vicious sprint I wouldn't recommend this. But, if you're Hamish Carson? What do you have to lose? The way he ran it he never gave himself a chance. In fact, as an unknown - there's a good chance the big guns would let you run away and qualify.</p>
<p> </p>
<p>The Japanese lady qualified for the final. She won't win, but she qualified.</p>
<p> </p>
<p>I won the Canterbury Country under 14 or 15 1500 Athletics sports using exactly this tactic! :)</p>
</div>
</blockquote>
<p>You mentioned earlier that Carson's PB is 3:36. Are you aware of the circumstances in which he set that? <a data-ipb='nomediaparse' href=' '>The video is here</a>. Willis rabbited the first 1300metres. Carson just had to hold that pace and then sprint for 200 metres. You can see him in the purple in that video. Julian Matthews is also running.</p>
<p> </p>
<p>The reason Carson didn't do what you suggested is because it would be a terrible strategy. It's all very well to say someone should have no regrets but unfortunately that was impossible. If Carson picked your strategy and bombed, maybe he would regret not hanging back in the field? If Carson went out on his own he would just needlessly tire himself out. Yes, he might make it a good pace but he would just pace everyone else to a good position. Carson simply is not good enough to time trial himself to a time of 3:40. His only chance of getting that time was sitting back in the pack and getting a good kick. Carson is no Bayi.</p>
<p> </p>
<p>You should also watch this video of <a data-ipb='nomediaparse' href=' '>Carson out kicking Matthews at the Nationals</a>. Perfect race strategy from the Scottish runners.</p> -
<blockquote class="ipsBlockquote" data-author="reprobate" data-cid="606794" data-time="1471597765">
<div>
<p>why would it be a waste? what is he saving it for, the post-match rooting? </p>
<p>it's something that has always confused me. there are necessarily always a number of guys in the field who have to know they are not comparatively fast finishers, or for whom qualifying for the final would be an achievement in itself, so why are they not setting a faster pace?</p>
</div>
</blockquote>
<p>He was not saving anything for the final. He was saving what he had for the end of the race</p> -
<blockquote class="ipsBlockquote" data-author="Rembrandt" data-cid="606846" data-time="1471606383">
<div>
<p>How the fuck do people get into race walking? It just looks completely ridiculous</p>
</div>
</blockquote>
<p>i've always assumed that it must be over-competitive cockheads who are shithouse at running.</p> -
<blockquote class="ipsBlockquote" data-author="reprobate" data-cid="606852" data-time="1471607471"><p>
i've always assumed that it must be over-competitive cockheads who are shithouse at running.</p></blockquote>
<br>
That's beautiful -
<p>There are two reasons people don't try to front-run a race at a (more) even pace:<br><br>
Firstly, you provide your opponents with drafting. Like a cycling peloton, tucking in behind someone saves a lot in terms of aerodynamic drag. Drag scales with velocity squared, so although the %effort saved by drafting in running is substantially less than cycling (I've heard people estimate 30% cycling and 15% for running, which seems about right), for elite level running it certainly still makes a difference.</p>
<p> </p>
<p>Secondly, it is easier psychologically to chase someone down than to front run (or run a solo time trial). By leading a race out you put a target on your back; people behind you end up running a PB trying to chase you down.</p>
<p> </p>
<p>This actually partially answers why people become race-walkers: good distance runners at 5k/10k who happen to have no sprint finish often end up as race walkers. Front-running as a tactic works in race walking as you can't change pace as easy (so no sprint finish) and the absolute speed is lower, so drafting effects are minimal.</p> -
<p>I understand these things.</p>
<p> </p>
<p>But the counter is - if you sit back and sit back - knowing that there's plenty of guys who have much better kicks than you - you're not giving yourself any chance. For the top guys who are going to fight for the medals, a key objective is to conserve as much energy as possible, so jogging the first half of the race and turning it into an 800 metre race - knowing they've got the top end speed to cover just about anyone - is ideal.</p>
<p> </p>
<p>But it's the worst possible thing if you're someone like Carson who's going to be on the fringe of the qualifiers - unless you've got a cannonball finish.</p>
<p> </p>
<p>He'll have finished that race pretty fresh - because at his fastest he can be 100 metres further up the track and - in fact - with a personal best time that is fast enough to have won any of the heats. If I was him - and surely his major objective was making the cut - I wouldn't have wanted to come home thinking I could have left a lot more out there.</p>
<p> </p>
<p>So I'm sticking with my assessment that he - and quite a lot of others - ran timid races. </p> -
<blockquote class="ipsBlockquote" data-author="Chris B." data-cid="606870" data-time="1471612110">
<div>
<p>He'll have finished that race pretty fresh - because at his fastest he can be 100 metres further up the track and - in fact - with a personal best time that is fast enough to have won any of the heats.</p>
</div>
</blockquote>
<p> </p>
<p>That's the thing though - was that PB made when he used those tactics, or was he following?</p> -
<blockquote class="ipsBlockquote" data-author="Chris B." data-cid="606870" data-time="1471612110">
<div>
<p>I understand these things.</p>
<p> </p>
<p>But the counter is - if you sit back and sit back - knowing that there's plenty of guys who have much better kicks than you - you're not giving yourself any chance. For the top guys who are going to fight for the medals, a key objective is to conserve as much energy as possible, so jogging the first half of the race and turning it into an 800 metre race - knowing they've got the top end speed to cover just about anyone - is ideal.</p>
<p> </p>
<p>But it's the worst possible thing if you're someone like Carson who's going to be on the fringe of the qualifiers - unless you've got a cannonball finish.</p>
<p> </p>
<p>He'll have finished that race pretty fresh - <strong>because at his fastest he can be 100 metres further up the track and - in fact - with a personal best time that is fast enough to have won any of the heats. </strong>If I was him - and surely his major objective was making the cut - I wouldn't have wanted to come home thinking I could have left a lot more out there.</p>
<p> </p>
<p>So I'm sticking with my assessment that he - and quite a lot of others - ran timid races. </p>
</div>
</blockquote>
<p>
You missed the earlier point about his fastest time being set in a race where he was dragged around by someone else front running - in that instance, an actual pacemaker who was paid to do the job. He can't run that time himself from the front. Read hydro's #1460 post and watch the video.</p> -
This is a bloody frustrating game of hockey<br><br>
- Since when does another country wear black 😥<br><br>
- we are owning this game but can't score for love nor money<br><br>
Prediction: Germany score a goal from nowhere to nick the bronze medal. <br><br>
There is still hope: the ladies aren't wearing Cardiff 2007 grey tops.