Coronavirus - New Zealand
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@voodoo said in Coronavirus - New Zealand:
Jeez, if you were one of Typhoid Mary's clients, you'd be taking a heap of public transport over the last few days as cover...
I've just realised how little sense this makes in northern NZ given there is (was) no covid and the complete lack of public transport...
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@taniwharugby beat me to it!!!
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@taniwharugby said in Coronavirus - New Zealand:
@tim 100% of the people in my house have had at least 1 jab, with 75% of them being double jabbed
Ha. Boo household lagging the TR household: 100% / 67%
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@booboo said in Coronavirus - New Zealand:
@taniwharugby said in Coronavirus - New Zealand:
@tim 100% of the people in my house have had at least 1 jab, with 75% of them being double jabbed
Ha. Boo household lagging the TR household: 100% / 67%
@taniwharugbyA paltry 40% / 40% here.
We are basically antivaxxers!!!
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@voodoo said in Coronavirus - New Zealand:
@booboo said in Coronavirus - New Zealand:
@taniwharugby said in Coronavirus - New Zealand:
@tim 100% of the people in my house have had at least 1 jab, with 75% of them being double jabbed
Ha. Boo household lagging the TR household: 100% / 67%
@taniwharugbyA paltry 40% / 40% here.
We are basically antivaxxers!!!
We are 100%/100%
Although technically I'm 4 days away from being effectively vaccinated and Mrs Hooroo is 8 days from being effectively vaccinated.
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@hooroo the wife and I are sorted. But we are still a bit hesitant for the kids. Only one is eligible anyway, and only just. Doesn't look like he'll be affected by any restrictions, and I'm not particularly worried about him catching the Rona. And with the wife getting an out of cycle period the day after she got her 2nd Jab, I'm pretty happy to wait a bit and see if we start growing 3rd testes
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oh, they finally located that other woman that had been in Northland, found at an address in West Auckland, currently symptomatic...given she has for all intents and purposes been hiding from the police for 5 days, hopes of finding out from her any movements in the last 10 days are pretty slim...
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@taniwharugby said in Coronavirus - New Zealand:
oh, they finally located that other woman that had been in Northland, found at an address in West Auckland, currently symptomatic...given she has for all intents and purposes been hiding from the police for 5 days, hopes of finding out from her any movements in the last 10 days are pretty slim...
This is our reality now. Our luck has finally run out
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Interesting visual breakdown of the current cluster/outbreak by the different vaccinations statuses and hospitalisation.
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@rapido So roughly if you catch covid, 13% chance of hospitalisation if unvaccinated which drops to 4% when double jabbed.
So assuming we get to around 90%, someone who's better at maths can workout the rough guide for that extra 10% and work out how many cases it would take to fill 500 ICU beds.
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@kirwan said in Coronavirus - New Zealand:
@rapido So roughly if you catch covid, 13% chance of hospitalisation if unvaccinated which drops to 4% when double jabbed.
So assuming we get to around 90%, someone who's better at maths can workout the rough guide for that extra 10% and work out how many cases it would take to fill 500 ICU beds.
Between 2.5 and 3 thousand I think. Lots of variables considering that they don't all fill at once and will empty out at different rates due to severity of illness.
So not many really
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@kirwan said in Coronavirus - New Zealand:
@rapido So roughly if you catch covid, 13% chance of hospitalisation if unvaccinated which drops to 4% when double jabbed.
So assuming we get to around 90%, someone who's better at maths can workout the rough guide for that extra 10% and work out how many cases it would take to fill 500 ICU beds.
0.9*0.04 + 0.1*0.13 = 0.049 = 4.9% average hospitalization rate.
I don't know what the ICU rate out of those who are hospitalized is, maybe 10%?
So 0.049*0.1 = 0.0049 = 0.49% ICU rate.
Therefore 500/0.0049 = 102000 active cases.This does ignore the fact that the fully vaccinated rate is skewed towards higher age groups who are more susceptible to worse outcomes. The non vaccinated is skewed towards younger people and, the cases in the outbreak are mainly younger people, so that would even it out a bit.
It's also not really a big enough sample size to determine the hospitalization rates for the vaccinated, but yeah.
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most patients admitted to hospital with covid after 16 June 2021 were fully vaccinated.5 Public Health England said that even with a “highly effective vaccine” this was expected, given the high rate of vaccine uptake and a policy of vaccinating higher risk people first. In its latest surveillance report Public Health England emphasised that the rate of hospital admissions and death from covid remained “substantially greater” in unvaccinated than in vaccinated people.6 For example, between the week beginning Monday 16 August 2021 and the week ending Sunday 12 September, the rate of hospital admissions of over 80s was 50.5 per 100 000 in the fully vaccinated and 143.9 per 100 000 in the unvaccinated, while deaths were 45.5 and 145.4 per 100 000, respectively. These trends were seen across the board. For example, for 60-69 year olds the hospital admission rates were 13.5 per 100 000 in the fully vaccinated and 74.3 per 100 000 in the unvaccinated, while deaths were 4.1 and 24.3 per 100 000, respectively. source British Medical Journal
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Bloody geezus. Wellington may be back in lockdown soon, too, if this person has been infected and then out and about in the Capital.
A woman who travelled to Northland with a Covid-19 case has tested positive for the virus.
Director-General of Health Dr Ashley Bloomfield talked to media on Tuesday morning, confirming the woman is now in a quarantine facility.
She was earlier located in West Auckland.
When police found her, the woman was showing symptoms of the virus.In a statement, the Ministry of Health said 18 contacts, including the woman who tested positive on Tuesday, had now been identified associated with the first case.
Of those 18, contact tracers had made contact with 17 individuals who had been tested.
Nine of the contacts were in Northland, seven in Auckland, and one in Wellington. One was still to be located. -
Someone just asked Bloomfield if they know if the 2 women that travelled up here were vaccinated and he said no they did not know.
How could they not know? If they know thier names surely they have access to records to see if they have had a jab without even needing to ask them that question?
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@taniwharugby said in Coronavirus - New Zealand:
Someone just asked Bloomfield if they know if the 2 women that travelled up here were vaccinated and he said no they did not know.
How could they not know? If they know thier names surely they have access to records to see if they have had a jab without even needing to ask them that question?
He probably knows but he doesn't want to say
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this fuckstick is just sticking his middle finger up isnt he
I see there is one of these protests up here on Saturday too, a couple of FB 'friends' have been posting about it, one was oblivious to the fact they are linked to BT.