Ireland vs All Blacks (2018)
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@nzzp yeah I heard an interview with Fox after the English game and he said that many of our kicks were too long/short, and/or poorly directed but sounded like they were part of the plan still, just poorly executed.
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@gt12 said in Ireland Vs All Blacks:
Has anyone linked through to the 1014 breakdown of the game?
It's pretty interesting, and the highlight some of our problems really well, such as how we heavily rely on metres by 10/11/14/15. Even though those players contributed about half of our metres in this game, it was less than usual, indicating that Ireland still shut us down by comparison, which I found fascinating. It really suggests that we are over-reliant on systems to get Barrett, Ioane, Smith, and Dmac space, which seems pretty dangerous.
They also picked up on the fact that this game is the first in ages where we had a better tackle percentage (only just) and still lost, essentially showing that we have real problems ons attack.
They also highlight the absolute non contribution of Squire at 6, suggesting that position is a problem. So, the good news is that we all on here on the fern are not as far away as we thought.
One thing no one has mentioned is that A. Smith did not run. At all. No metres. This is huge because we average 6 metres per carry when our halfback runs, but he never sniped nor got in a support position to get metres. For those pushing TJP, this could be some support. Alternatively, it could mean we were trying some new things.
They also highlight that we didn't get any metres out of Karl, which I think I also wrote about in my review - we need those from LH because we aren't getting them from TH (btw, with about .25 metres per carry, Owen Franks was above the season average for the 3 jersey!).
They also do a good job of breaking down how the Irish defense appears to offer the kick in behind as an option, but due to systems (and players) it isn't half as much of an opportunity as it appears. This is seems a bit vital, because the ABs kept trying it, even after it wasn't working. They do suggest that it can be broken down (the space is there) just that we couldn't manipulate it accordingly. It's one thing that gives me hope, if we can devise plays for it.
Anyway, it's worth a watch:
Yeah, decent watch, but as @ACT-Crusader & @gt12 & @Bovidae mention - some of the metrics/stats/conclusions are way over-reaching....
Having statistics for each position in the team... 1 through 15 on the x-axis... then drawing a "trend line" over that? That makes absolutely zero sense. -
Haven't watched it, but did they consider Ireland has improved more in the past 12 months than NZ?
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@mikethesnow said in Ireland Vs All Blacks:
Haven't watched it, but did they consider Ireland has improved more in the past 12 months than NZ?
That's way too "macro".
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A young YouTuber by the alias of Stellar created a really top quality VLOG to commemorate the Ireland vs New Zealand game this year. The raw emotion from everyone once they win really drives home how special this win was for Irish fans. It’s also a testament to how good New Zealand are.
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Good analysis here:
Analysis: How Ireland changed their defensive system to shut down the All Blacks
The defensive scheme Ireland used against the All Blacks is not how they usually defend and not how they played during the Six Nations. There were distinct changes made to dial up pressure on the All Blacks.
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@nepia I love stats and analysis, and often look at what they have available in American sports and wish we had that level of detail.
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@taniwharugby said in Ireland Vs All Blacks:
@nepia I love stats and analysis, and often look at what they have available in American sports and wish we had that level of detail.
Oh me too - but this game seems to be have a bit done to death, which is to be expected given the nature of it.
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@taniwharugby said in Ireland Vs All Blacks:
@nepia I love stats and analysis, and often look at what they have available in American sports and wish we had that level of detail.
American sports lend themselves to statistical analysis though, most especially Baseball and Football. Rugby is a far more fluid sport.
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@mariner4life the ab coaches and I expect super coaches too have access to much more detailed stats than we see
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@pakman said in Ireland Vs All Blacks:
@mariner4life said in Ireland Vs All Blacks:
Oh, and one more, we are kicking a lot, but our kicks are shit. Either 10m too long, or 10m too short. We contest fuck all, just hand the ball back. Barrett, Smith especially, and DMac need to take responsibility for that, it's just not good enough. Our contested kicks used to be the weapon that got us out of our end, now they just invite endless pressure.
And what is with the mealy mid-range nothing kick offs we can't contest, or that force them back in to the corner?
Was at the game, and may be getting senile, but I had the strongest feeling ABs were holding things back. None of the kick offs were contested in the way we know they can be. Back moves very vanilla until Ioane lineout one, which was timed beautifully.
Difficult to beat Irish with a few tired/rusty (Whitelock/Read/BBBR) and one arm behind our back.
For me we were the better team in second spell, but lost it 7-3. And when the ABs started to get serious (you could see the difference from the stands) after the Irish try, the Irish were just hanging on. Another 10 mins and it would have been ours.
Hard to be a Kiwi amongst 80,000 Micks, though (as generous as they were)!
A year on seems safe to conclude a lot of powder was safely locked away.
Ioane move pure decoy knowing he wouldn't be playing in 2019!
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It's a fine line between resting players and 'keeping powder dry' to just playing friendlies between world cups.
I just wish the All Blacks tried their best to win every game but maybe that's not commercially viable anymore. Have we seen shift to winning every game "if we can" as long as it will provide us a better chance of winning the world cup.
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My guess is that they used those games to test different scenarios and game plans. I’m not sure that it’s ‘trying’ or ‘allowing’ a loss as much as refining strategies - which often don’t work out and losses happen. Having said that, we were one dropped ball away from probably winning that game anyway.
I’m certainly hoping that they’ve got plenty of plans for tonight against the Poms.
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@gt12 said in Ireland Vs All Blacks:
My guess is that they used those games to test different scenarios and game plans. I’m not sure that it’s ‘trying’ or ‘allowing’ a loss as much as refining strategies - which often don’t work out and losses happen. Having said that, we were one dropped ball away from probably winning that game anyway.
I’m certainly hoping that they’ve got plenty of plans for tonight against the Poms.
This is exactly what I thought. Hansen has been using tests over the last year as live fire exercises. The plan has slowly come together in front of our eyes in plain sight. And no one expected it to be a rugby revolution. All that remains is to execute the plan with the required accuracy
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Are we really that full of ourselves that we are going to claim dry powder every game we lose? We got beaten up in Chicago with some poor selections, and we got beaten up in Dublin after a very tough match vs the poms a week before and at the end of a long season.
The Chicago one we took lightly, but the Dublin match was one we were very much targeting to win.
