Rough tips and other bets...
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Advantage, Polly… unless they postpone…?
Group 1 Doomben Cup day under a (very wet) cloud
Racing is praying for a minor miracle to get through Group 1 Doomben Cup day with the track deteriorating to a heavy (10) on Saturday morning and more rain forecast.
Zaaki is set to be the star attraction of the day but the Group 1 Cup for which he is $1.45 favourite is not scheduled until 3.18pm.
There is 40mm of rain forecast for Brisbane on Saturday.
There has already been a change to the day with officials forced to alter the distance of the BRC Sprint from 1350m to 1200m as the 135om start is simply too wet.
The Group 3 BRC Sprint offers the winner a golden ticket into the Group 1 Stradbroke Handicap.
Last week’s Doomben 10,000 card was moved to the quick-drying Eagle Farm surface, but officials could not shift the Doomben Cup card to Eagle Farm as the next three Saturdays are Group 1 days at Eagle Farm.
There was some good news in the early hours of Saturday, with officials sending a horse for a spin around the heavy Doomben track to assess the wet conditions.
The horse was not a wet-tracker but reports were it handled the surface and there were no safety concerns.
If some of Doomben Cup day is unable to proceed, there is the option to move races to Wednesday’s midweek Doomben card or even shift some races to next Saturday’s Kingsford-Smith Cup day.
There were mass scratchings on race morning, with 39 horses coming out by the 7:30am deadline.
https://www.racenet.com.au/news/will-they-get-through-group-1-doomben-cup-day-20220520
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Doomben Cup meeting called off after deluge
“While officials are still working out when the races will be held, there is a preference to race at Doomben on Wednesday, with the possibility of racing the Doomben Cup and BRC Sprint next Saturday at Eagle Farm.
“It throws Zaaki’s quest for back-to-back Doomben Cups into doubt, with trainer Annabel Neasham already ruling out racing in The Q22 later in the winter, due to the close proximity to the spring carnival.”
Crikey, if Zaaki actually does withdraw, Polly could enter a G1 as the favourite!! (In the Racenet video preview, their two “expert” tipsters, Tony Brassel selected Zaaki as a single, with Polly as his quinella; Ben Dorries picked Polly for the boilover win.)
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Super Saturday At Eagle Farm As Doomben Cup Meeting Abandoned
Brisbane will host its own Super Saturday of racing after the already rescheduled Group 1 Doomben Cup meeting at Doomben on Wednesday was abandoned following relentless rain all weekend.
The $1m Doomben Cup will instead be moved to Saturday’s card at Eagle Farm, meaning it will host three Group 1 features on the day in the Kingsford-Smith Cup, Queensland Derby and now the Doomben Cup.
After pushing the entire nine-race card back from Saturday to Wednesday, officials were left with no choice but to call the meeting off after a further 30mm of rain hit Doomben following the call to first move the meeting.
With further rain forecasted for Monday and Tuesday, the Brisbane Racing Club, Racing Queensland and stewards all agreed to call the meeting off.
Can’t recall in living memory so many summer meets in Aus with heavy tracks and postponements, and it’s not restricted to any region, it’s north to south.
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Re-draw for Saturday sees Polly stay in the same gate position (7); Zaaki gets moved from the initial gate 3 and now draws outside to gate 10.
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Likely to scratch as track will be far too good.
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well i hope not watered down too much, I have another NZ hopeful who I also know who has a horse running to deliver on course that day and too much rain would stuff them! Currently a soft 6 which would give me a nice all up
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@Hooroo said in Rough tips and other bets...:
Likely to scratch as track will be far too good.
Track is rated a Good 4, looks firm, she’s still entered and 2nd choice in the market.
Does Waller know something we don’t??
Any slice of this is going to be fat.
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Wow, what do you make of that? Polly was leader gate to straight, had Zaaki pressing her the entire trip, and he pounced, looked a cinch. Polly faded on the firm course. But somewhere at the 100 Zaaki hit a wall, Huetor (14-1) came on the inside, Maximal (50-1) closed on the outside, they finished 1-2, Zaaki (1/9!!) in 3rd. This exacta is going to be a doozy ($2 exacta pays $570 — lower than I imagined, but still). I want to see the splits, I didn’t think Polly’s pace was too hot, but maybe she gassed the favourite.
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@Kid-Chocolate said in Rough tips and other bets...:
Wow, what do you make of that? Polly was leader gate to straight, had Zaaki pressing her the entire trip, and he pounced, looked a cinch. Polly faded on the firm course. But somewhere at the 100 Zaaki hit a wall, Huetor (14-1) came on the inside, Maximal (50-1) closed on the outside, they finished 1-2, Zaaki (1/9!!) in 3rd. This exacta is going to be a doozy ($2 exacta pays $570 — lower than I imagined, but still). I want to see the splits, I didn’t think Polly’s pace was too hot, but maybe she gassed the favourite.
Yeah I thought Zaaki would get the 250k bonus on the good track, multiples fun if you had them lol
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@bayimports said in Rough tips and other bets...:
… I have another NZ hopeful who I also know who has a horse running to deliver on course that day…
Queensland Derby G1
1st PINARELLO (NZ)
2nd PATERNAL (NZ)
3rd CABOCHE (NZ)
4th DARK DESTROYER (NZ)One of those?
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@Kid-Chocolate actually I used to work for the owner of the winner (didn't back it though), folks on here who know racing might know how rich this farker is, but I had 26-1 on Dark Destroyer from a bet way back, I know the owners of this horse very well and was set for this, a soft track I think I may have had a huge day ..alas not to be
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The prize-money the Aussies are coming up with for their purses is incredible. The inter-state rivalry makes me believe a lot more kiwibreds will be crossing the Ta$man, the lure is too attractive.
ANALYSIS: Prizemoney wars show racing is in golden era
The one-upmanship of prizemoney hikes between New South Wales and Victoria in the past 24 hours further reinforces the enviable position racing currently finds itself.
With both jurisdictions boasting soaring wagering revenue on the strength of NSW tax parity, point of consumption tax, race fields legislation and the “sugar-hit” that was Covid-19, returns to participants have never been greater.
They say confidence breeds success and in the racing industry the stocks have never been higher.
Late on Monday, Racing NSW announced that The Golden Eagle would carry a $10 million purse from 2022, usurping the Melbourne Cup as the nation’s second richest event behind the $15m The Everest.
Some took the move as a pre-emptive strike to Racing Victoria’s announcement on Tuesday morning that it would introduce three new “Champions” events on Stakes Day at Flemington totalling an eye-watering $9 million in prizemoney.
That followed further announcements from RV that the Victorian racing industry will scale record heights next season with $314 million in prizemoney and bonuses on offer, representing an increase of $140 million since 2015.
Regardless of where you sit in the state tug-of-war for national supremacy, few can argue that participants across all facets of racing are the ultimate winners.
It’s almost enough reason to turn a deaf ear to the bitter interstate rivalry which — if the past 24 hours is any indication — shows no signs of abating.
In 2012, Racing NSW returned $148 million to owners while in 2022 it is on track to shell out more than $310 million.
That is more than double in 10 years.
Racing Victoria’s ascension is similar. Just remarkable figures.
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Clash of the titans in about, ooooh, twelve hours at Royal Ascot.
King’s Stand Stakes. G1.
Reigning Breeders Cup Turf Sprint champion GOLDEN PAL (USA) vs reigning Everest champion NATURE STRIP (AUS).
J-Mac faces Irad Ortiz Jr for the first time. (My two fave riders.) It’s both jockeys first trip to Royal Ascot. Golden Pal is unbeatable at home in America on a turn, not so great on a straight in U.K., but he is explosive. Hope James & Waller represent and do us proud.
I’ll be watching!
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@Kid-Chocolate said in Rough tips and other bets...:
Clash of the titans in about, ooooh, twelve hours at Royal Ascot.
King’s Stand Stakes. G1.
Reigning Breeders Cup Turf Sprint champion GOLDEN PAL (USA) vs reigning Everest champion NATURE STRIP (AUS).
J-Mac faces Irad Ortiz Jr for the first time. It’s also the latter’s first trip to Royal Ascot. Golden Pal is unbeatable at home on a turn, not so great on a straight in U.K., but he is explosive.
I’ll be watching!
Yep looking forward to this race. Both appear ripe for the picking though so the value bet could be Man of Promise. I still struggle to look past Golden Pal to place at $2. Goes in my multis
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There is plenty of value in this race, but I’m not going to wager, I just wanna see a dogfight between the two shorties and hope Nature Strip nails him.
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My fave jockeys:
1 J-Mac
2 Irad
3 Flavien PratJ-Mac and Irad have been my 1-2 faves for most of the last decade, so to see them in the same race for the first time gives me bonus excitement, and for same reason I don’t want to see them get swamped by an 15-1 outsider, but it could happen. J-Mac has some (not a lot) experience racing the long straight — he and Nature Strip won the Darley at Flemington on that style course — but Irad has fuckall. Steep learning curve on such a huge race with big expectations. Golden Pal has an explosive start, and in a turn race would be very hard to pin back. He’ll have a couple lengths on the field at the first furlong, and I hope Nature Strip stays close and grinds him down. Still, it’s a big ask for both riders racing on this course for their first time.
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@Kid-Chocolate said in Rough tips and other bets...:
There is plenty of value in this race, but I’m not going to wager, I just wanna see a dogfight between the two shorties and hope Nature Strip nails him.
I hope so too
