Rough tips and other bets...
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@taniwharugby said in Rough tips and other bets...:
Looks like half the field could win this one...
real even this one with some no hopers and the rest have some argument in their favour, likely to be soft for sure.. Im currently leaning on frankie detorri to finally get his moby dick
could change by race time ha ha
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Yeah its a funny race. I tried to do speed map before and ended up with magic wand probably crossing from the widest gate to lead and then possibly dawdle along unless rostropovich or finche decide to cart it up.
Didnt realise mer de glace was drawn gate 2. I think its a bit shite for it so either has to push forward (which her wont do naturally) or get stuck down near the back. If there is a lack of pace and it ends up being a walk walk sprint sort of race then dont think it will work out too well for it and could suit a horse like constantinople or vow n declare
In short....no idea. Might just buy a few easybets
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@JK Glad to hear you were sensible enough to lay it off mate. I did warn you
@Billy-Webb said in Rough tips and other bets...:
Fark me. That is one helluva bet coming in there!
But the Boks are going to win. So make your call accordingly
Congrats on the cash!
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@Billy-Webb said in Rough tips and other bets...:
@JK Glad to hear you were sensible enough to lay it off mate. I did warn you
@Billy-Webb said in Rough tips and other bets...:
Fark me. That is one helluva bet coming in there!
But the Boks are going to win. So make your call accordingly
Congrats on the cash!
Congrats on the Win!
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The course is likely going to be chewed after the first six races, I don’t think I’ll want anything at the rail coming ‘round the turn, I’m leaning towards a closer like Raymond Tuck coming 6-or-7 wide and using the best part of the straight. I’ll be doing most of my handicapping closer to race time and tossing a few balls in the air. I’ll play a WPS on a single horse; single the same horse on top of a $2-or-$4 trifecta; and probably play a smaller $1 trifecta using two or three horses on top. Probably throwing a hundred bucks away, but if you hit there should be a nice little jackpot.
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@Salacious-Crumb said in Rough tips and other bets...:
The course is likely going to be chewed after the first six races, I don’t think I’ll want anything at the rail coming ‘round the turn, I’m leaning towards a closer like Raymond Tuck coming 6-or-7 wide and using the best part of the straight. I’ll be doing most of my handicapping closer to race time and tossing a few balls in the air. I’ll play a WPS on a single horse; single the same horse on top of a $2-or-$4 trifecta; and probably play a smaller $1 trifecta using two or three horses on top. Probably throwing a hundred bucks away, but if you hit there should be a nice little jackpot.
Flemington is one of the best draining courses on the planet. It goes from a slow 7 to a dead 4 in half a day.
I think with a bit of warm sunshine, they could be racing on a dead 4. What's it rated at at the moment?
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What’s the morning-line odds on a sjw peta protester running onto the track during the race? God, let’s hope not.
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@Hooroo said in Rough tips and other bets...:
@Salacious-Crumb said in Rough tips and other bets...:
The course is likely going to be chewed after the first six races, I don’t think I’ll want anything at the rail coming ‘round the turn, I’m leaning towards a closer like Raymond Tuck coming 6-or-7 wide and using the best part of the straight. I’ll be doing most of my handicapping closer to race time and tossing a few balls in the air. I’ll play a WPS on a single horse; single the same horse on top of a $2-or-$4 trifecta; and probably play a smaller $1 trifecta using two or three horses on top. Probably throwing a hundred bucks away, but if you hit there should be a nice little jackpot.
Flemington is one of the best draining courses on the planet. It goes from a slow 7 to a dead 4 in half a day.
I think with a bit of warm sunshine, they could be racing on a dead 4. What's it rated at at the moment?
I think good4 or soft5 at worst come time of the MC
Currently soft 6
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@JK said in Rough tips and other bets...:
@Hooroo said in Rough tips and other bets...:
@Salacious-Crumb said in Rough tips and other bets...:
The course is likely going to be chewed after the first six races, I don’t think I’ll want anything at the rail coming ‘round the turn, I’m leaning towards a closer like Raymond Tuck coming 6-or-7 wide and using the best part of the straight. I’ll be doing most of my handicapping closer to race time and tossing a few balls in the air. I’ll play a WPS on a single horse; single the same horse on top of a $2-or-$4 trifecta; and probably play a smaller $1 trifecta using two or three horses on top. Probably throwing a hundred bucks away, but if you hit there should be a nice little jackpot.
Flemington is one of the best draining courses on the planet. It goes from a slow 7 to a dead 4 in half a day.
I think with a bit of warm sunshine, they could be racing on a dead 4. What's it rated at at the moment?
I think good4 or soft5 at worst come time of the MC
Currently soft 6
Do they call it "Soft" over there? (Where we would call it a "Dead6" then it would be a 'Slow7))
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@Hooroo said in Rough tips and other bets...:
@JK said in Rough tips and other bets...:
@Hooroo said in Rough tips and other bets...:
@Salacious-Crumb said in Rough tips and other bets...:
The course is likely going to be chewed after the first six races, I don’t think I’ll want anything at the rail coming ‘round the turn, I’m leaning towards a closer like Raymond Tuck coming 6-or-7 wide and using the best part of the straight. I’ll be doing most of my handicapping closer to race time and tossing a few balls in the air. I’ll play a WPS on a single horse; single the same horse on top of a $2-or-$4 trifecta; and probably play a smaller $1 trifecta using two or three horses on top. Probably throwing a hundred bucks away, but if you hit there should be a nice little jackpot.
Flemington is one of the best draining courses on the planet. It goes from a slow 7 to a dead 4 in half a day.
I think with a bit of warm sunshine, they could be racing on a dead 4. What's it rated at at the moment?
I think good4 or soft5 at worst come time of the MC
Currently soft 6
Do they call it "Soft" over there? (Where we would call it a "Dead6" then it would be a 'Slow7))
Yeah mate
Firm Good Soft Heavy
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@JK said in Rough tips and other bets...:
@Hooroo said in Rough tips and other bets...:
@JK said in Rough tips and other bets...:
@Hooroo said in Rough tips and other bets...:
@Salacious-Crumb said in Rough tips and other bets...:
The course is likely going to be chewed after the first six races, I don’t think I’ll want anything at the rail coming ‘round the turn, I’m leaning towards a closer like Raymond Tuck coming 6-or-7 wide and using the best part of the straight. I’ll be doing most of my handicapping closer to race time and tossing a few balls in the air. I’ll play a WPS on a single horse; single the same horse on top of a $2-or-$4 trifecta; and probably play a smaller $1 trifecta using two or three horses on top. Probably throwing a hundred bucks away, but if you hit there should be a nice little jackpot.
Flemington is one of the best draining courses on the planet. It goes from a slow 7 to a dead 4 in half a day.
I think with a bit of warm sunshine, they could be racing on a dead 4. What's it rated at at the moment?
I think good4 or soft5 at worst come time of the MC
Currently soft 6
Do they call it "Soft" over there? (Where we would call it a "Dead6" then it would be a 'Slow7))
Yeah mate
Firm Good Soft Heavy
That's annoying. I wish we were the same. Fast, Good, Dead, Slow & Heavy
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got Finche and Master of Realty in office sweep...
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@Hooroo said in Rough tips and other bets...:
@Salacious-Crumb said in Rough tips and other bets...:
The course is likely going to be chewed after the first six races, I don’t think I’ll want anything at the rail coming ‘round the turn, I’m leaning towards a closer like Raymond Tuck coming 6-or-7 wide and using the best part of the straight. I’ll be doing most of my handicapping closer to race time and tossing a few balls in the air. I’ll play a WPS on a single horse; single the same horse on top of a $2-or-$4 trifecta; and probably play a smaller $1 trifecta using two or three horses on top. Probably throwing a hundred bucks away, but if you hit there should be a nice little jackpot.
Flemington is one of the best draining courses on the planet. It goes from a slow 7 to a dead 4 in half a day.
I think with a bit of warm sunshine, they could be racing on a dead 4. What's it rated at at the moment?
Soft 6 right now. Rail has gone out 3m to take care of most of the chop from Saturday. While they are not expecting any more rain, they don't think it will dry out too much.
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@taniwharugby said in Rough tips and other bets...:
got Finche and Master of Realty in office sweep...
good score with Finche
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@voodoo said in Rough tips and other bets...:
@taniwharugby said in Rough tips and other bets...:
got Finche and Master of Realty in office sweep...
good score with Finche
favourite never wins!
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@mariner4life yeah, 23% record of favs getting up apparently. Still, imagine that's better than the record of the rank outsider!
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which roughie are you sticking $5 on in hope?
Rostropovich at $81 for me.
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Think I'll do the usual flexi-tri, aiming to get c. 20% of the pool with a large group of runners - the strategy that hasn't been successful for me in this race since 1998 when I got the Jezabeel/Champagne/Persian Punch tri!
I also like Mustajeer (and particularly DO on board), will have a go EW there
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@mariner4life said in Rough tips and other bets...:
@voodoo said in Rough tips and other bets...:
@taniwharugby said in Rough tips and other bets...:
got Finche and Master of Realty in office sweep...
good score with Finche
favourite never wins!
I’d be very surprised if any selection is within a couple dollars of No. 2 for favouritism at post-time. I have reservations whether she can stay, but have to go with it for safety in my multis, simply can’t leave out.
