Tennis
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<blockquote class="ipsBlockquote" data-author="Crucial" data-cid="553138" data-time="1453092959">
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<p>So if our understanding of how spot fixing works is wrong then Lou Vincents testimony was bullshit. He explicitly described scenarios along the lines of how we imagine it works (and how I expect tennis does)</p>
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<p>You very much USED to be able to bet on things like no balls in first over, runs between over 10-15 etc, till everyone realised how easy that was to fix - and was fixed. Go back to the 90's that was a viable bet. Not any more.</p> -
<p>The analysis used in the investigation is detailed here:</p>
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<p><a data-ipb='nomediaparse' href='https://github.com/BuzzFeedNews/2016-01-tennis-betting-analysis'>https://github.com/BuzzFeedNews/2016-01-tennis-betting-analysis</a></p> -
I see Nadal suspiciously lost his opening match of the Australian open...
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<blockquote class="ipsBlockquote" data-author="Donsteppa" data-cid="553350" data-time="1453226161"><p>The last three posts are again what make me loathe match/spot fixers so much - we go from random things being "the joys of sport" to being possibly suspicious (even in jest).</p></blockquote>
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It's like every time Pakistan lose a cricket match, either a game they should have gone on to win ( shelling easy catches, batsmen throwing away their wicket) or a truly poor performance against a lower side they should always beat. It's Pakistan they do fall apart for legitimate reasons sometimes, but we will always suspect they are on the take. -
<p>In a way, fixing in tennis is probably one of the more damaging ones. A cricketer throwing away his wicket at a certain point is an event that could have happened anyway, and unless a whole team is in on a fix then still leaves the other players all doing the 'right' thing.</p>
<p>Tennis though is one on one. Spectators only pay and watch because they see entertainment in watching a competition between two players. Fixing removes that competition and they are watching a complete farce.</p>
<p>Sure, a clever player could even provide them with more entertainment, falling behind then battling back only to fail in the end but I doubt that happens</p> -
<p>I wonder what other sports are rife for fixing?</p>
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<p>Golf? Too random maybe? The variables of erractic form, different courses and weather make betting on golf a mugs game anyway. Possibly some ability to influence in the last round once variables have settled but then the money for players by doing their best probably outweighs what a fixer would pay. Maybe some profit in where a middle of the pack player ends up on the results sheet but even then he would be having to work around the performances of others.</p>
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<p>Soccer? Really only goalies and maybe defenders being able to influence scores or results. But only when the chance presents itself by the general play.</p>
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<p>Darts? Plenty of scope there.</p>
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<p>Rugby? Pretty low chance. would need to be the captain taking options (when penalties present themselves)</p> -
<p>As Federer said, let's see some names. According to the TV news, one of the names on the list is a former US Open champ. Given the geographical locations of the betting syndicates who made millions on match fixing one name stands out.</p>
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<p>Crucial, baseball and basketball are two sports that spring to mind. Baseball could be manipulated in the same way as cricket with balls and strikes. </p> -
Lankans having some issues in crikay ...<br>
<a data-ipb='nomediaparse' href='http://m.nzherald.co.nz/sport/news/article.cfm?c_id=4&objectid=11576482'>http://m.nzherald.co.nz/sport/news/article.cfm?c_id=4&objectid=11576482</a><br><br>
Approaches only apparently. -
<p>Tennis is the perfect sport for this, no doubt. Has all of the conditions:</p>
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<p>- Multiple markets that are easily manipulated without necessarily altering the end result (eg set by set betting)</p>
<p>- Markets offered on low level circuits such as challenger and futures tournaments that no-one cares about</p>
<p>- Said tournaments have fuck all prizemoney, making fixing a far more lucrative option</p>
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<p>I read an article (which I can't find now) which detailed a common fix strategy in the low level circuits. Two players would agree to split the first two sets in an agreed order (player A gets the first, B the second) and then play for the chocolates in the 3rd with no restrictions. Their mates would load up on each set and make a killing, while the integrity of the match itself was somewhat preserved.</p> -
<blockquote class="ipsBlockquote" data-author="Crucial" data-cid="553368" data-time="1453237521">
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<p>I wonder what other sports are rife for fixing?</p>
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<p>Golf? Too random maybe? The variables of erractic form, different courses and weather make betting on golf a mugs game anyway. Possibly some ability to influence in the last round once variables have settled but then the money for players by doing their best probably outweighs what a fixer would pay. Maybe some profit in where a middle of the pack player ends up on the results sheet but even then he would be having to work around the performances of others.</p>
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<p>Soccer? Really only goalies and maybe defenders being able to influence scores or results. But only when the chance presents itself by the general play.</p>
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<p>Darts? Plenty of scope there.</p>
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<p>Rugby? Pretty low chance. would need to be the captain taking options (when penalties present themselves)</p>
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<p>Don't forget referees.</p>
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<p>BTW, there's been a ton of fixing in the lower leagues of soccer.</p> -
<blockquote class="ipsBlockquote" data-author="Crucial" data-cid="553368" data-time="1453237521">
<div><br><p>Soccer? Really only goalies and maybe defenders being able to influence scores or results. But only when the chance presents itself by the general play.</p>
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<p>This guy....</p>
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<p><a data-ipb='nomediaparse' href='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bruce_Grobbelaar#Match-fixing_allegations'>https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bruce_Grobbelaar#Match-fixing_allegations</a></p> -
<p>So someone has punched all the numbers from the Buzzfeed investigation, and here are the 15 names. One is a biggie:</p>
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<p><img src="http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-BFEdKAW0QHs/Vp9w0B76O0I/AAAAAAAADc0/NCq8_6ui_XI/s400/fix1.jpg" alt="fix1.jpg"></p>