Cricket 2021: NZ in England and WTC Final
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@tewaio said in Cricket 2021: NZ in England and WTC Final:
@siam said in Cricket 2021: NZ in England and WTC Final:
Weather forecast makes it harder for the wicket to dry out like the Edgbaston one. A spinner not so necessary?
Yep, and damper conditions should suit our swing bowlers. Ideal.
It's not going to be a sub continent style battle of attrition when we bowl. We have 3 bowlers who have taken wickets in the English series, and they might have issues with the bounce of the Jamieson delivery
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@tewaio said in Cricket 2021: NZ in England and WTC Final:
@siam said in Cricket 2021: NZ in England and WTC Final:
Weather forecast makes it harder for the wicket to dry out like the Edgbaston one. A spinner not so necessary?
Yep, and damper conditions should suit our swing bowlers. Ideal.
Should suit Bumrah too...
The Indians have a handy seam attack nowadays.
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@crazy-horse said in Cricket 2021: NZ in England and WTC Final:
The Indians have a handy seam attack nowadays.
This is paramount. You don't beat Australia at home using 5 or 6 quicks without being bloody good. The biggest improvement in Indian cricket and well capable of getting 20 wickets on a seamer.
This final has EVERYTHING.
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I agree with the 6 batsmen 4 seamers approach. I don't think either side is going to pile on 600/4 so attrition shouldn't really come into it. We will want to keep the pressure on their whole innings with quality seam bowling which is our strength, and right now we have 4 extremely high quality seamers.
I'd slot Young at 6 to bat with BJ at 7, that gives us depth in the order which may help push us towards 400 if things go pretty well, which would be a very competitive total in a final.
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@no-quarter said in Cricket 2021: NZ in England and WTC Final:
I agree with the 6 batsmen 4 seamers approach. I don't think either side is going to pile on 600/4 so attrition shouldn't really come into it. We will want to keep the pressure on their whole innings with quality seam bowling which is our strength, and right now we have 4 extremely high quality seamers.
I'd slot Young at 6 to bat with BJ at 7, that gives us depth in the order which may help push us towards 400 if things go pretty well, which would be a very competitive total in a final.
I'm favouring that way too, but mostly because of the weather helping bowling loads. No way are the players going to do 6 continuous hours on the field each day. I'm a bit suss on not having a 5th bowler ( bowler workloads are different from the windies era) and to me that's akin to the 6/2 split of rugby substitutes - it can definitely work but you can also be unnecessarily exposed.
I've dialled up my " meh" factor for the 11th player. With the calibre of the other 10, it won't be his fault if we lose.
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@siam said in Cricket 2021: NZ in England and WTC Final:
@no-quarter said in Cricket 2021: NZ in England and WTC Final:
I agree with the 6 batsmen 4 seamers approach. I don't think either side is going to pile on 600/4 so attrition shouldn't really come into it. We will want to keep the pressure on their whole innings with quality seam bowling which is our strength, and right now we have 4 extremely high quality seamers.
I'd slot Young at 6 to bat with BJ at 7, that gives us depth in the order which may help push us towards 400 if things go pretty well, which would be a very competitive total in a final.
I'm favouring that way too, but mostly because of the weather helping bowling loads. No way are the players going to do 6 continuous hours on the field each day. I'm a bit suss on not having a 5th bowler ( bowler workloads are different from the windies era) and to me that's akin to the 6/2 split of rugby substitutes - it can definitely work but you can also be unnecessarily exposed.
I've dialled up my " meh" factor for the 11th player. With the calibre of the other 10, it won't be his fault if we lose.
The bowling load isn't a huge deal because of the sixth day - if it rains they will get a break and if it doesn't we can slow the over rate with impunity (see England at Lords') for a one off test - if Kane is suspended for the first Bangladesh test so be it.
From a bowling perspective I agree with you, but batting wise if Jamieson bats 7 and Southee 8 (as is the case with most sides including Patel) - then you do run a real risk of stranding a Williamson or Taylor in full stride earlier than usual and will rue not having another batting option. Both Young and Blundell would at least be a trusted partner to rotate the strike etc and let them keep playing their natural game. I know CdG and Mitchell have had good returns at test level at times too - butthey always seem to go with the momentum of the game and struggle against top tier bowling.
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@rotated said in Cricket 2021: NZ in England and WTC Final:
The bowling load isn't a huge deal because of the sixth day - if it rains they will get a break and if it doesn't we can slow the over rate with impunity (see England at Lords') for a one off test - if Kane is suspended for the first Bangladesh test so be it.
oh, this would be the most cynical of cricketing efforts. Slow to 12 overs per hour, let the bowlers have a rest, push into a sixth day if needed. Then if anyone complains just lead with
'like boundary countbacks, it's in the rules'
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It’s certainly been pretty hot over the last week in England and this continues until Thursday.
As we have all probably heard, tests in Southampton have been seam friendly recently with spinners not having anywhere the same success.
My big concern was Southampton being a bit drier and more spin friendly.
We can be very confident going into the final, great preparation and most players have had some success over the last 2 tests. I hope that our experiences in the last 2 finals we have played have meant that we now understand what is required to win a final and have the hunger to do so.
India will be very tough opposition though and are a very strong side. I hope our lead up in England will give us an edge that will ultimately prove to be enough.
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My biggest concern is they will deviate from what has worked the last 6 months, the 4 seamer attack.
Ajax bowled well , bloody well but surely the Indian batsmen face better in the nets? They play spin all the time, and quality wise for greater then what we can provide.
Picking Satnav will be incredibly disappointing, CDG i could live with though it feels hes been away from the game too long.We miss having a top order batsmen who can be relied on to bowl and pick up the odd wicket, the likes of a Astle or McMillan.
Someone who could be relied on to break a partnership. -
@virgil said in Cricket 2021: NZ in England and WTC Final:
My biggest concern is they will deviate from what has worked the last 6 months, the 4 seamer attack.
Ajax bowled well , bloody well but surely the Indian batsmen face better in the nets? They play spin all the time, and quality wise for greater then what we can provide.
Picking Satnav will be incredibly disappointing, CDG i could live with though it feels hes been away from the game too long.We miss having a top order batsmen who can be relied on to bowl and pick up the odd wicket, the likes of a Astle or McMillan.
Someone who could be relied on to break a partnership.While this is likely to be true it doesn't mean that those net bowlers don't challenge them and force errors. After all our bats face our pace bowling in practice and still get out to good pace bowlers from other teams.
The option of a spinner is two-fold. One is for tactical use to get through some cheap overs or slow scoring (if the pitch offers a little uncertainty in turn). The other is that IF the match goes to the last day AND has dried out AND we are bowling last we can kill off a chase.
I am starting to come around to the thinking that we can add a bat and use Jamieson as the 'allrounder' although I still think it would be good to have a fifth bowler to fill in some gaps, make the batsmen change attitude, help with end changes/rotations etc. Whether that is a spinner or CDG/Mitchell depends on pitch and toss IMO. If the spin option isn't realistic then I am wondering if Mitchell is the better option? He seems better equipped to hold an end while our last bat scores. -
@virgil said in Cricket 2021: NZ in England and WTC Final:
Ajax bowled well , bloody well but surely the Indian batsmen face better in the nets? They play spin all the time, and quality wise for greater then what we can provide.
not bad for a war rocket
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@nzzp said in Cricket 2021: NZ in England and WTC Final:
@virgil said in Cricket 2021: NZ in England and WTC Final:
Ajax bowled well , bloody well but surely the Indian batsmen face better in the nets? They play spin all the time, and quality wise for greater then what we can provide.
not bad for a war rocket
That’s pretty Flash
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We either trust our top and middle order or we don't. We shouldn't expect more around 40-50 runs from a 5 bowler tail and nor should we.
In a one off test like the WTC final, I'd go all in on this:
Latham
Conway
Kane
Rosco
Nicholls
Watling
Jamieson
Southee
Wagner
Ajaz
BoultSouthee/Wags batting at 8/9 offers more upside in the bowling than downside in the batting. If we are relyiung on our tail to take on the load of getting sufficient runs, we're going down the English route of no self-belief.
With an opening attack of Boult and Southee, followed by Wags and Kylo, with Ajaz able to take wickets (unlike Santnav) we at least have a 5 pronged bowling attack. KJ offers way more than CdG/Mitchell in terms of bowling and TBH, if we're expecting more than 30-40 runs from Numbers 7 and 8, we shouldn't be in the game.
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@synicbast said in Cricket 2021: NZ in England and WTC Final:
We either trust our top and middle order or we don't. We shouldn't expect more around 40-50 runs from a 5 bowler tail and nor should we.
In a one off test like the WTC final, I'd go all in on this:
Latham
Conway
Kane
Rosco
Nicholls
Watling
Jamieson
Southee
Wagner
Ajaz
BoultSouthee/Wags batting at 8/9 offers more upside in the bowling than downside in the batting. If we are relyiung on our tail to take on the load of getting sufficient runs, we're going down the English route of no self-belief.
With an opening attack of Boult and Southee, followed by Wags and Kylo, with Ajaz able to take wickets (unlike Santnav) we at least have a 5 pronged bowling attack. KJ offers way more than CdG/Mitchell in terms of bowling and TBH, if we're expecting more than 30-40 runs from Numbers 7 and 8, we shouldn't be in the game.
I don't think it is an expectation of runs from the tail itself, more having the tools in place to maximise the runs from the top order. The difference in having confidence to continue batting as if you had a fellow bat at the other end rather than possibly running out of partners and protecting your wicket.
That is why the concept and position of allrounder exists. It is that middle ground option of an OK bolwler and OK bat. If you have a good bowler that can also hold a bat with confidence then great. Use them as the 'last hold'. Then you decide whether you will get more value from extending the batting (how strong is the opposition batting?) or giving yourself a stronger chance of taking 20 wickets.
I guess that the only thing holding me back from endorsing the balance you suggest is the prospect of them taking in Satnav instead of Patel. -
yeah my selection is totally predicated on not having Santnav anywhere near the test side except in an absolute emergency - as a bowler he brings absolutely nothing to the table compared to Ajaz - he takes longer to get through an over; bowls no balls (capital crime for a slow bowler); and offers about as much threat to a batter as a wet dish rag.
CdG has a nice strike rate but doesn't actually offer that many runs - plus he seems to carry significant niggling injuries into games. I'd rather have Kylo asked to offer more with the bat and given the responsibility of being the all rounder which is where I think he may end up being more than a bowler who bats a bit in the long term.
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@bovidae said in Cricket 2021: NZ in England and WTC Final:
Sanjay Manjrekar is picking India will select an extra batsmen and only 4 specialist bowlers.
That means only one of Ashwin and Jadeja - I'll take that every day of the week - Ashwin is lethal against Left handers and with the way Pacers have worked out how to bowlaround the wicket these days against lefties, I'm p[erfectly fine with reducing the threat level
