TSF NPC Tipping 2024
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The results are in https://thesilverfern.com/tipping/
Nobody picked 7/7 but tipping 6/7 were Winger (top score with 52), Stockcar86, Duluth, Richie, Joan and Mary and George33. Good scores for all of those as well as Kruse, Kirwan and TR who picked margins well. Overall leader is Sportboy which is a surprise to everyone, especially him and a point behind is Winger - these 2 have a small gap to Kruse in 3rd.
Wellington leads the ladder but every team now has a win so it is close for top 4 in this very short race. The first round of the Cup is next weekend, the draw is out and includes everyone who didn't totally suck this weekend.
Missing tippers were @Landers92 @antipodean @Grooter Laurence @Tim
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@KiwiPie said in TSF NPC Tipping 2024:
Missing tippers were @Landers92 @antipodean @Grooter Laurence @Tim
Deadset didn't tip because I thought I'd already done it.It appears I tipped as @taniwharugby the first time...
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@antipodean I did it twice and did myself out of 10 points in my revised tips...
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Time to tip everyone. Just over an hour until the first game. https://thesilverfern.com/tipping-submit/
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The results are in https://thesilverfern.com/tipping/
Difficult week for high scoring with only one tipper (@Landers92) picking a Southland win and only 2 (@mikedogz & @Corkscrew) going for Counties. The rest of the games went to form although the margins were tricky.
MIkedogz was the only one with 6/7 results and led scoring with 44, @Winger and myself next with 39 (ashamed to say 15 of my points were picking Ta$man 17+ and BOP to be low scorers). Winger moves into the lead overall, 4 ahead of @sportboy with @Kruse and @Donsteppa remaining 3rd and 4th. Lowest of the week was @george33 with just 19, a season's low.
BOP squeaked past Wellington to end their unbeaten run and it is still tight for the top 4 with Wellingon and South Island leading the way.
We are into the 2nd round of the TSF Cup, with 3 replays to decide the final 16 - the winner of a replay is the first to get ahead in next week's match tips.
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I got chatgpt to pick my winners and margins. Need to find another AI...
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@antipodean said in TSF NPC Tipping 2024:
I got chatgpt to pick my winners and margins. Need to find another AI...
I think @kirwan used claude. That wasn't much better
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The amusing thing is it was an exercise in confirmation bias. It selected the same winners and most of the margins I had already. So we're both inept.
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@antipodean said in TSF NPC Tipping 2024:
The amusing thing is it was an exercise in confirmation bias. It selected the same winners and most of the margins I had already. So we're both inept.
It takes too long to setup properly. If you give Claude the last five years of results, tables and margins and tweak it week by week it can be quite good.
But the main flaw is past results don’t really mean much and it gives way too much weight to them.
Tips better than me, but that is a comically Low bar.
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Time to get those tips in everyone https://thesilverfern.com/tipping-submit
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All is updated at https://thesilverfern.com/tipping/ including next week's tipping form.
Some big scoring this week with @hydro11 bagging the season's top score of 72 - 7/7 results with 5 margins and both categories picked as well. @Donsteppa did the same but with 4 margin picks and Triple T the same but with just 1 category to score 69 and 67. @Kruse also picked 7/7. The Canterbury win caught the majority of people out and nobody at all had them at 17+. Lowest was @george33 who seems to make a habit of it.
Winger still leads but by only 2 from Donsteppa with Sportboy 10 back followed by Kruse and Hydro11 who is level with Langakali. In the Cup, we're down to the quarter-finals with no replays from the last round.
In the team comp, Wellington won again and look certain for top 4. BOP, HB and South hold the other play-off spots but Counties Waikato and the Bush aren't out of it.
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Time to tip everyone - looks like one of the tougher weeks to pick the winners https://thesilverfern.com/tipping-submit/
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The results are in https://thesilverfern.com/tipping/
Best of the weekend were Donsteppa, Plastered Peni and myself all with 56 points with 7/7 results and making identical picks. Also 7/7 for Kruse - 4 margin picks for Sportboy, Unite & Dolamite gave them 50+ scores.
Donsteppa has taken over at the top, 15 clear of Winger who only scored 39 and the top 6 are breaking clear of the rest. Worst score was AI Kirwan, picking just 3/7.
Wins for Wellington, Counties-Waikato, BOP & Wairarapa Bush means that it is 4/5 for the play-offs with 1 round to go. Bush, HB & C-W all on 17 points.
Cup semi-finals are Winger v Donsteppa and me v Triple T.
Missing tippers were @bayimports @Tim @ACT-Crusader @Grooter @Landers92
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@KiwiPie said in TSF NPC Tipping 2024:
The results are in https://thesilverfern.com/tipping/
Best of the weekend were Donsteppa, Plastered Peni and myself all with 56 points with 7/7 results and making identical picks. Also 7/7 for Kruse - 4 margin picks for Sportboy, Unite & Dolamite gave them 50+ scores.
Donsteppa has taken over at the top, 15 clear of Winger who only scored 39 and the top 6 are breaking clear of the rest. Worst score was AI Kirwan, picking just 3/7.
Wins for Wellington, Counties-Waikato, BOP & Wairarapa Bush means that it is 4/5 for the play-offs with 1 round to go. Bush, HB & C-W all on 17 points.
Cup semi-finals are Winger v Donsteppa and me v Triple T.
Missing tippers were @bayimports @Tim @ACT-Crusader @Grooter @Landers92
whoops, given AI made my tips, I also blame it for not submitting
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@bayimports said in TSF NPC Tipping 2024:
whoops, given AI made my tips, I also blame it for not submitting
We won without you and with Sportboy turning up late - which is not something we should try next week with a semi-final place on the line!
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First game is in less than 5 hours - get your tips in for the final round of matches to decide the play-offs.
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Think I'll amend my tip to be Ta$man 1-8. I really should read squad announcements before submitting.
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The results are in https://thesilverfern.com/tipping/
It was a tough week for accuracy of picks and nobody picked 7/7. Getting 6/7 were Sportboy, TR, Dan54, Corkscrew, Kirwan & BorderJB. Mikedogz was top scorer on 47 with 3 maximums and Manawatu as low scorers with TR and Bay Imports a point behind. George33 continued his impressive run of low scores with a season's low of 14.
Donsteppa's lead is down to 11 with the unlikely scenario of Sportboy in 2nd place, moving above Winger. BOP has 3 of the top 4 and finish the regular season 2nd behind Wellington who were pipped by Wairarapa Bush who sneak into 4th spot and a repeat game against Wellington in the semi-final. It is the Battle of the Bays in the other semi.
I moved into the final of the Cup beating Triple T in a low scoring game. I will play Donsteppa or Winger - the winner of their replay is the first to move ahead next weekend. 2 legs for the Cup final.
TSF Tipping
