TSF NPC Tipping 2024
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@Machpants said in TSF NPC Tipping 2024:
I've sorted the 39 tippers into 8 teams with people in their team from last year or randomly assigned.
Lucky I'm such a crappy picker, I can't stand Waikato!
Pick for the Counties part of the team then!
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Hurry up and tip everyone - if we lose any more tippers, we might have to drop down to 4 person teams.
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The results are in for Week 2 https://thesilverfern.com/tipping/
Best of the weekend was @mikey07 - the only one to pick 7/7 results and a season's best of 59. Scoring 57 was @sportboy despite tipping late. Hardly anyone picked the first match correctly so tipping late was not punitive. 54 for @donsteppa Langakali & @antipodean
Big changes at the top of the leaderboard with Mikey07 first and Sportboy second but plenty kept in touch with 6/7 results. Paj dropped from 1st to 6th and 2nd and 3rd place after week 1 (Laurence and @Tim ) both failed to submit. @BorderJB joined the comp and moved into the BOP team. Anyone else can still join - you start on 37, the default score (you get 5 less than the lowest score when you fail to tip).
Wellington and South Island lead the teams comp after 2 wins from 2.
Qualifying for the Cup starts next week - top 32 scores gain entry.
Round 4 - round of 32
Round 5 - round of 16
Round 6 - round of 8
Round 7 - round of 4
Rounds 8 & 9 - final over 2 legs. -
Don't forget to tip - first game in less than 4 hours
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The results are in https://thesilverfern.com/tipping/
Nobody picked 7/7 but tipping 6/7 were Winger (top score with 52), Stockcar86, Duluth, Richie, Joan and Mary and George33. Good scores for all of those as well as Kruse, Kirwan and TR who picked margins well. Overall leader is Sportboy which is a surprise to everyone, especially him and a point behind is Winger - these 2 have a small gap to Kruse in 3rd.
Wellington leads the ladder but every team now has a win so it is close for top 4 in this very short race. The first round of the Cup is next weekend, the draw is out and includes everyone who didn't totally suck this weekend.
Missing tippers were @Landers92 @antipodean @Grooter Laurence @Tim
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@KiwiPie said in TSF NPC Tipping 2024:
Missing tippers were @Landers92 @antipodean @Grooter Laurence @Tim
Deadset didn't tip because I thought I'd already done it.It appears I tipped as @taniwharugby the first time...
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@antipodean I did it twice and did myself out of 10 points in my revised tips...
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Time to tip everyone. Just over an hour until the first game. https://thesilverfern.com/tipping-submit/
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The results are in https://thesilverfern.com/tipping/
Difficult week for high scoring with only one tipper (@Landers92) picking a Southland win and only 2 (@mikedogz & @Corkscrew) going for Counties. The rest of the games went to form although the margins were tricky.
MIkedogz was the only one with 6/7 results and led scoring with 44, @Winger and myself next with 39 (ashamed to say 15 of my points were picking Ta$man 17+ and BOP to be low scorers). Winger moves into the lead overall, 4 ahead of @sportboy with @Kruse and @Donsteppa remaining 3rd and 4th. Lowest of the week was @george33 with just 19, a season's low.
BOP squeaked past Wellington to end their unbeaten run and it is still tight for the top 4 with Wellingon and South Island leading the way.
We are into the 2nd round of the TSF Cup, with 3 replays to decide the final 16 - the winner of a replay is the first to get ahead in next week's match tips.
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I got chatgpt to pick my winners and margins. Need to find another AI...
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@antipodean said in TSF NPC Tipping 2024:
I got chatgpt to pick my winners and margins. Need to find another AI...
I think @kirwan used claude. That wasn't much better
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The amusing thing is it was an exercise in confirmation bias. It selected the same winners and most of the margins I had already. So we're both inept.
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@antipodean said in TSF NPC Tipping 2024:
The amusing thing is it was an exercise in confirmation bias. It selected the same winners and most of the margins I had already. So we're both inept.
It takes too long to setup properly. If you give Claude the last five years of results, tables and margins and tweak it week by week it can be quite good.
But the main flaw is past results don’t really mean much and it gives way too much weight to them.
Tips better than me, but that is a comically Low bar.
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Time to get those tips in everyone https://thesilverfern.com/tipping-submit
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All is updated at https://thesilverfern.com/tipping/ including next week's tipping form.
Some big scoring this week with @hydro11 bagging the season's top score of 72 - 7/7 results with 5 margins and both categories picked as well. @Donsteppa did the same but with 4 margin picks and Triple T the same but with just 1 category to score 69 and 67. @Kruse also picked 7/7. The Canterbury win caught the majority of people out and nobody at all had them at 17+. Lowest was @george33 who seems to make a habit of it.
Winger still leads but by only 2 from Donsteppa with Sportboy 10 back followed by Kruse and Hydro11 who is level with Langakali. In the Cup, we're down to the quarter-finals with no replays from the last round.
In the team comp, Wellington won again and look certain for top 4. BOP, HB and South hold the other play-off spots but Counties Waikato and the Bush aren't out of it.
TSF Tipping
