Sports Betting
-
<p>I suck...luckily I don't bet any more than $5 a pop (I guess $10 if you include a $5 EW bet) just had to top up my TAB account....</p>
-
<blockquote class="ipsBlockquote" data-author="nzzp" data-cid="598644" data-time="1469134071">
<div>
<p>So, as someone else says, good luck, but don't expect to win. If you gamble long term, the only winner is usually the bookmaker... otherwise they'd be out of business (by definition)</p>
</div>
</blockquote>
<p> </p>
<p>As a punting mate once said to me; "<em>you can tell who the punters are and who are the bookmakers by the cars in the car park</em>".</p>
<p> </p>
<p>I'll have a punt at the races, but that's part of the day. I almost never punt at a casino given it was pointed out to me that the payout odds are never what the actual odds are, so even when you win you're losing. Although knowing nothing about craps didn't stop me from winning two consecutive hard eights on a measly investment of $20. That was a nice way to start the night.</p> -
<blockquote class="ipsBlockquote" data-author="MajorRage" data-cid="598726" data-time="1469155238">
<div>
<p>I use to mainly for emotional hedges.</p>
<p> </p>
<p>I arranged RWC final 2011 the week earlier and it cost me about $3500 NZ in total. When I got there I chucked $500 on France to win the match at odds of about 7-1. The way I viewed it was 4,000 all in for the trip for the win, and nothing if we lost.</p>
<p> </p>
<p>That's quite hard to do though, as you'll rarely find those odds for a head to head.</p>
</div>
</blockquote>
<p> </p>
<p>I think that hedge is also the biggest bet I've ever laid. I think I chucked a couple of hundred on France and it was money well spent during those last 10 minutes.</p>
<p> </p>
<p>Other than that, I rarely bet. I stuck $50 on the Jaguares based on the strength of their squad and the odds offered, which is probably my only bet this year, and it was shit!</p> -
<p>can get $36 for Highlanders, Chiefs and Crusaders at 1-12 and Hurricanes 13+ in a multi for a reason I expect....</p>
-
Been burnt by margins too much so hardly take them now. <br><br>
Also pretty much never do half time full time options unless I think the team that will win is likely to start slow (took this first test vs Wales this year). Otherwise not keen as teams generally won't give it their all to be ahead at half time; it's the full time that matters for them -
I find betting somewhat easy to win at provided<br><br>a) you only bet when you actually have a hunch/strong opinion who will win. If you watch the whole game of whatever sport you will probably develop strong opinions on who will win next week. But if you are unsure don't bet.<br>
stay clear of $1.10 and $1.20 odds for single game bets - the risk and reward isn't there.<br>c) use multis - ie 4 games each paying $1.20 each adds up to a decent return<br>d) don't get sucked in to backing the underdog when they are paying very attractive odds. Only back them if you think they will win, not because of the<br>payoff.<br>e) betting on the spread is ok e.g. Landers -3.5, but try to stay away from plus or minus 13 points. Unless you know it will be a thumping e.g. the Sunwolves.<br>f) there is a feature in the TAB you can take advantage of. If you are convinced a team will win e.g. the Hurricanes tonight, but find the odds are too low<br>e.g. right now they are paying $1.14, try the halftime/fulltime double - it is paying $1.27 which is a bit better, especially if you throw it into a multi with another<br>overnight result you are sure of.<br><br>Thanks<br><br>Two more things -<br><br>1) Don't bet on things that are just flukes like what will the first stoppage in play be? e.g. scrum vs lineout<br>2) Do bet on the next man out in cricket in tests and ODIs - it is usually obvious to spot which batsman is better out of the two of them at the crease. -
Thing I find most effective is to stay away from $1.10 - $1.20 bets all together. It's a two horse race and those odds just aren't attractive enough to back any side.<br><br>
Most effective is to only back those you have a strong hunch about and that are paying good odds ($1.70+). Then just set yourself a target and back your investment and return until you meet that target. I like points start best cause you can call the outsider to run them close very often if you follow rugby closely and the odds are usually around $1.87.<br><br>
$20 at $1.87 5 times is almost $460 -
I have what no gambler's had before, a system!<br><br>
- Homer Simpson
-
<blockquote class="ipsBlockquote" data-author="mariner4life" data-cid="599198" data-time="1469260166"><p>
I have what no gambler's had before, a system!<br><br>- Homer Simpson</p></blockquote>
<br>
Really says it all. Shouldn't be legal and it preys on people who can't say no.<br><br>
But if someone is gonna do it then doing so with some knowledge seems a safer bet.
- Homer Simpson</p></blockquote>
-
I made a bit on the weekend. Calling the semis will be much more difficult. Reading my own advice I should probably not bet at all, as I could see both semis<br>going in any direction. I think I will wait until the referees are announced. eg If Joubert gets the gig for the Lions then I will back them.
-
Pretty average weekend here. Think about $40 up. <br><br>
Had a multi fall over due to Brisbane loss but other 4 legs one. Got that money back tho by backing panthers once they were well up.<br><br>
Managed to win on Cowboys (win), sharks (points start), raiders (win), Tigers (points start) in nrl plus highlanders (win) and Chiefs (win) -
On a good run at the moment with 23 wins from the last 25 bets. One miss was a payout (sharks v Titans as drawn result) so you get half odds back. Original bet was @1.40 but fortunately I doubled up when sharks were down and I still expected them to come back to win with another bet at @ 2.70 so ended up marginally up on that. Other loss was when manly failed to fire vs eels.<br><br>
Had an ok multi come in last night with canes, raiders, broncos and Bulldogs locked in I just needed Melbourne to win over Souths for a measly $1.10.....Sheesh that was close! -
Dunno about that actually as I've shared a lot of bets with mates and had a few copy me with larger amounts of cash and get shitty when they fall over. People need to be prepared to take the good with the bad and I'd much rather people do their own home work when it comes to betting for that reason <br><br>
Btw, most of my bets are fairly low risk and therefore lower returns. There's nothing super special in there usually but will often take advantage of instances where I don't think the TAB have priced it right eg raiders vs sharks last night. All over that both outright and points start. -
<blockquote class="ipsBlockquote" data-author="JK" data-cid="603628" data-time="1470525455"><p>
Dunno about that actually as I've shared a lot of bets with mates and had a few copy me with larger amounts of cash and get shitty when they fall over. People need to be prepared to take the good with the bad and I'd much rather people do their own home work when it comes to betting for that reason <br><br>
Btw, most of my bets are fairly low risk and therefore lower returns. There's nothing super special in there usually but will often take advantage of instances where I don't think the TAB have priced it right eg raiders vs sharks last night. All over that both outright and points start.</p></blockquote>
anyone understands that betting on sports is a risk, if your mates don't then they are idiots<br><br>
I'm just saying it's harder to believe someone is betting successfully when all you hear about is their wins after the fact.
