All Blacks 2023
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@Chris said in All Blacks 2023:
If they can not achieve that, why are they being paid to be AB coach.
Because no AB coach can sit down - before taking the job on - and 100% predict or control injuries, the quality of the players available to him for his chosen game plan, nor the quality and ability of the opposition to come up with a better game plan, perhaps?
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@No-Quarter said in All Blacks 2023:
@Chris-B said in All Blacks 2023:
@Kiwiwomble We were relying on Danny in 2015, but most people would rather have had Cruden playing first five if he wasn't broken - especially as Dan (and Richie McCaw) phoned it in for yet another Super season under Toddy Blackadder.
Four years ago, who would have traded Richie or Beaudy for the creaking Jonny Sexton who'd just had his arse handed to him in a hat in Japan?
We can win the RWC with our first fives - especially Richie. And if we can't, how come our other AB laden Super teams can't ever seem to stop him at the business end of Super rugby?
The Crusaders success at Super level is more centered around their pack controlling the match rather than their star 10 driving them around the field. Not to take too much away from Mo'unga, he's very effective at Super level, but his game just hasn't translated to test level at all thus far.
An example of this is he often stations himself wider looking for mismatches, which he invariably finds at Super level as all teams have journeymen that can be exploited. He's tried the same for the ABs and has just gone completely missing for multiple phases of play as those mismatches don't really exist at that level. As a result the ABs look clueless as nobody is driving the team around the park and we end up under the pump. It's a big reason why he can look a million bucks against the lesser teams like the Wallabies, but as soon as we are up against an organised defense, e.g. SA or Ireland, he's completely anonymous.
That's why I say he's not good enough, as I'm really not sure he has the skillset and mental attributes required to control a big test, especially a RWC knock-out match.
It's a real shame Beauden's form hasn't been good, as he's easily our best 10 as he commands the ball and tries to direct play, and is not afraid to take the line on against the tougher defenses. If he can recapture his form from a few years ago then we'd be in a much better place. I'm really hoping DMac can play that role, but the jury is out on that against the best teams.
There's a lot of egg in that mix, NQ!!!
I'm going to start by quoting an un-named journo* on Richie. "The finest Super Rugby player of all time"!
I think he's right - but, it's hard to compare across positions, so I'll stick with with "the best and most influential 10". He's got a significantly better winning record than Danny in Super rugby - he's never lost a play-off game. Similar with Canterbury in the NPC - he might have lost once to the Mako.
It's not forward dominant - it's Richie-dominant. Whenever he's been missing and we've played the likes of Mitch Hunt, Dave Havili and Fergus Burke at first five - and I reckon we've barely won 50% of those games. With Richie at the helm we win 85% of the time and the losses to date have never been in the big knock-out games.
Watch Razor talking about "his franchise quarterback", "...his Steph Curry". It is quite a shame we're unlikely to see them paired for the ABs.
So, that's what I have to say in response to Richie's Super rugby record. He's got a winner's mentality, so I'm not sure why you would question that when his competition have repeatedly failed at that level. (Yeah, I know that comment isn't going to be popular).
Moving to test rugby, well, you're setting me up for an "I told you so" when we don't win the RWC later this year and the odds are a bit against us.
But, Beaudy got pretty comprehensively toppled from his perch as first choice 1st five in the middle of last season and DMac's had two starts ever at 10 for the ABs. Barring a catastrophe, Richie is going to be our starting first five at RWC 2023 - this is obvious even to Blind Freddie.
It's also a good thing.
There was a thread a while ago about the most important player at RWC 2023 - and for most teams, people were picking the first five - Sexton, Ntamack, etc - but, for NZ I don't think anyone did.
In your dreams!!!
Our most important player will be our first five - and it will be Richie.
And he can win it for us - admittedly channeling a bit more Carlos than Danny-Boy.
You've noted that he is completely anonymous against Ireland and SA.
Well, here's some stats to ponder.
Against Ireland, the only game Richie has started is the RWC quarter final when we thumped them 46-15. He's played off the bench five other times (with Beaudy starting) for one win and four losses.
Against the Jaapies he's started 3 games for two wins and a draw. Off the bench, he's one win and two losses.
It's small samples, but it suggest to me that he's someone you start and let command the game, not someone to pull the fat out of the fire in the last 20 minutes.
Richie's only lost five times starting, in an era of somewhat inept coaching and a slightly substandard team.
Go Richie!!!
- The journo is Reason, but his discussion will help you feel better when we're starting Richie at RWC2023.
** Fuck you all and especially anyone who refuses to read the Reason article !!!
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@Victor-Meldrew said in All Blacks 2023:
@Chris said in All Blacks 2023:
If they can not achieve that, why are they being paid to be AB coach.
Because no AB coach can sit down - before taking the job on - and 100% predict or control injuries, the quality of the players available to him for his chosen game plan, nor the quality and ability of the opposition to come up with a better game plan, perhaps?
That is why you create live depth charts right down to your u/16s, to understand what your depth is to sustain the game plan you develop, its basic coaching strategy,and wether you have the depth for tweaks you need when variables come along.
Hard to explain to some one who is not involved in the coaching world and makes a living out of it.
But I will leave it there as it something coaches understand -
@Victor-Meldrew said in All Blacks 2023:
@Chris said in All Blacks 2023:
If they can not achieve that, why are they being paid to be AB coach.
Because no AB coach can sit down - before taking the job on - and 100% predict or control injuries, the quality of the players available to him for his chosen game plan, nor the quality and ability of the opposition to come up with a better game plan, perhaps?
A new AB coach who had been an assistant AB coach before, should have some idea?
Oh, Ian Foster. -
@Chris said in All Blacks 2023:
@Victor-Meldrew said in All Blacks 2023:
@Chris said in All Blacks 2023:
If they can not achieve that, why are they being paid to be AB coach.
Because no AB coach can sit down - before taking the job on - and 100% predict or control injuries, the quality of the players available to him for his chosen game plan, nor the quality and ability of the opposition to come up with a better game plan, perhaps?
That is why you create live depth charts right down to your u/16s, to understand what your depth is to sustain the game plan you develop, its basic coaching strategy,and wether you have the depth for tweaks you need when variables come along.
I really don't think you can expect a AB Coach - before he's even got the job remember - to produce a winning game plan based on live depth charts down to U16 level that he's developed, and then judge him on the success of that self-same game-plan.
The world just doesn't work like that, sadly.
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@nostrildamus said in All Blacks 2023:
@Victor-Meldrew said in All Blacks 2023:
@Chris said in All Blacks 2023:
If they can not achieve that, why are they being paid to be AB coach.
Because no AB coach can sit down - before taking the job on - and 100% predict or control injuries, the quality of the players available to him for his chosen game plan, nor the quality and ability of the opposition to come up with a better game plan, perhaps?
A new AB coach who had been an assistant AB coach before, should have some idea?
Oh, Ian Foster.Wrong thread.
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@Chris-B said in All Blacks 2023:
That's a great post, a minority viewpoint but buttressed by point-by-point facts, and then out of nowhere springs gratuitous, comic abuse.
You are now the gold standard in TSF rugby-related posts as far as I'm concerned. -
@Victor-Meldrew said in All Blacks 2023:
@nostrildamus said in All Blacks 2023:
@Victor-Meldrew said in All Blacks 2023:
@Chris said in All Blacks 2023:
If they can not achieve that, why are they being paid to be AB coach.
Because no AB coach can sit down - before taking the job on - and 100% predict or control injuries, the quality of the players available to him for his chosen game plan, nor the quality and ability of the opposition to come up with a better game plan, perhaps?
A new AB coach who had been an assistant AB coach before, should have some idea?
Oh, Ian Foster.Wrong thread.
This thread title says "All Blacks 2023" not "All Blacks 2024". Somehow, despite his apparent faults, I think the AB 2023 head coach is related.
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@nostrildamus said in All Blacks 2023:
@Chris-B said in All Blacks 2023:
That's a great post, a minority viewpoint but buttressed by point-by-point facts, and then out of nowhere springs gratuitous, comic abuse.
You are now the gold standard in TSF rugby-related posts as far as I'm concerned.No-one's wanted the gold standard since the 1930s.
It's the gratuitous abuse that sets the standard!
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@Machpants said in All Blacks 2023:
@Chris-B Sadly you're correct, he's our best 10. Apart from OZ, I'd take any other Tier 1 top #10 instead, if I had the choice
I honestly wouldn't.
Put Richie in the Ireland set-up and I reckon we'd be fucked. He can do everything Sexton does and more. Our coaches need to meet the Ireland mark.
I occasionally try to watch Ntamack but he never seems to be playing. My fault.
I would not take Handre ahead of Richie!!!!! !!!!! a few more !!! for good measure.
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@Chris-B said in All Blacks 2023:
@Machpants said in All Blacks 2023:
@Chris-B Sadly you're correct, he's our best 10. Apart from OZ, I'd take any other Tier 1 top #10 instead, if I had the choice
I honestly wouldn't.
Put Richie in the Ireland set-up and I reckon we'd be fucked. He can do everything Sexton does and more. Our coaches need to meet the Ireland mark.
I occasionally try to watch Ntamack but he never seems to be playing. My fault.
I would not take Handre ahead of Richie!!!!! !!!!! a few more !!! for good measure.
I would because all of them can control a test, I've seen them do it, but I've not seen Richie do that ever in a tough test. And when it comes to the knockouts, that's what matters. He hasn't got that skill, Handre does, Sexton, Farrell. But none of the current NZ 10s do, they are game breakers and wizards, not 10s that can grab the game by the scruff of the neck and sort it. Aaron Smith did, once test 1 Lions, so maybe he can? But that powder is so dry it is ridiculous
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@Machpants said in All Blacks 2023:
@Chris-B said in All Blacks 2023:
@Machpants said in All Blacks 2023:
@Chris-B Sadly you're correct, he's our best 10. Apart from OZ, I'd take any other Tier 1 top #10 instead, if I had the choice
I honestly wouldn't.
Put Richie in the Ireland set-up and I reckon we'd be fucked. He can do everything Sexton does and more. Our coaches need to meet the Ireland mark.
I occasionally try to watch Ntamack but he never seems to be playing. My fault.
I would not take Handre ahead of Richie!!!!! !!!!! a few more !!! for good measure.
I would because all of them can control a test, I've seen them do it, but I've not seen Richie do that ever in a tough test. And when it comes to the knockouts, that's what matters. He hasn't got that skill, Handre does, Sexton, Farrell. But none of the current NZ 10s do, they are game breakers and wizards, not 10s that can grab the game by the scruff of the neck and sort it. Aaron Smith did, once test 1 Lions, so maybe he can? But that powder is so dry it is ridiculous
Have a look at Handre's record.
He's lost three times vs Wales.
He's lost two-thirds of his games vs NZ and Australia (evenly distributed)
Report back to me.
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@Chris-B said in All Blacks 2023:
@Machpants said in All Blacks 2023:
@Chris-B said in All Blacks 2023:
@Machpants said in All Blacks 2023:
@Chris-B Sadly you're correct, he's our best 10. Apart from OZ, I'd take any other Tier 1 top #10 instead, if I had the choice
I honestly wouldn't.
Put Richie in the Ireland set-up and I reckon we'd be fucked. He can do everything Sexton does and more. Our coaches need to meet the Ireland mark.
I occasionally try to watch Ntamack but he never seems to be playing. My fault.
I would not take Handre ahead of Richie!!!!! !!!!! a few more !!! for good measure.
I would because all of them can control a test, I've seen them do it, but I've not seen Richie do that ever in a tough test. And when it comes to the knockouts, that's what matters. He hasn't got that skill, Handre does, Sexton, Farrell. But none of the current NZ 10s do, they are game breakers and wizards, not 10s that can grab the game by the scruff of the neck and sort it. Aaron Smith did, once test 1 Lions, so maybe he can? But that powder is so dry it is ridiculous
Have a look at Handre's record.
He's lost three times vs Wales.
He's lost two-thirds of his games vs NZ and Australia (evenly distributed)
Report back to me.
And? He still can control a game at test level, Richie can't. He can break a game open, but not control. Not when his team is struggling. I'm not saying the other tens always do that. But that they have, Richie never has. And under Fosters embarrassing reign he's had a lot of opportunities to grip a test. He never has. Neither has BB, so we've not much choice but both are flash harries, not DC style controllers - a requirement for winning the big games
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If Richie could defend like this I would be alot happier
What's Richie good at? And why is he one of the best Super players I've watched? Because he shreds fragmented defenses, especially 2 passes wide and on the counter.
If we want to get the best of him therefore we need a 12 that terrifies defenses
And a pack full of big munter ball runners. To get teams on the back footSo what do we pick?
Savea who is best wider.
Cane who can't run the ball
Barrett or fucking Frizzell
Whitelock and Retallick.What Richie isn't good at is keeping the ball in front of his forwards. Terrorising inside channels. Field kicking. Being confronted by organised defenses constantly coming forward.
We pick teams that seem to lead to this situation and then hope we can go around them -
@Machpants said in All Blacks 2023:
@Chris-B said in All Blacks 2023:
@Machpants said in All Blacks 2023:
@Chris-B said in All Blacks 2023:
@Machpants said in All Blacks 2023:
@Chris-B Sadly you're correct, he's our best 10. Apart from OZ, I'd take any other Tier 1 top #10 instead, if I had the choice
I honestly wouldn't.
Put Richie in the Ireland set-up and I reckon we'd be fucked. He can do everything Sexton does and more. Our coaches need to meet the Ireland mark.
I occasionally try to watch Ntamack but he never seems to be playing. My fault.
I would not take Handre ahead of Richie!!!!! !!!!! a few more !!! for good measure.
I would because all of them can control a test, I've seen them do it, but I've not seen Richie do that ever in a tough test. And when it comes to the knockouts, that's what matters. He hasn't got that skill, Handre does, Sexton, Farrell. But none of the current NZ 10s do, they are game breakers and wizards, not 10s that can grab the game by the scruff of the neck and sort it. Aaron Smith did, once test 1 Lions, so maybe he can? But that powder is so dry it is ridiculous
Have a look at Handre's record.
He's lost three times vs Wales.
He's lost two-thirds of his games vs NZ and Australia (evenly distributed)
Report back to me.
And? He still can control a game at test level, Richie can't. He can break a game open, but not control. Not when his team is struggling. I'm not saying the other tens always do that. But that they have, Richie never has. And under Fosters embarrassing reign he's had a lot of opportunities to grip a test. He never has. Neither has BB, so we've not much choice but both are flash harries, not DC style controllers - a requirement for winning the big games
You didn't look at his record before reporting back, did you?
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@mariner4life To be fair to Richie, who I actually think should/will be our 10 at WC, I think there is a simpler thing he needs than changing all the players around him to be at his best, he just needs Super rugby level defence!!
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@Victor-Meldrew said in All Blacks 2023:
@Chris said in All Blacks 2023:
@Victor-Meldrew said in All Blacks 2023:
@Chris said in All Blacks 2023:
If they can not achieve that, why are they being paid to be AB coach.
Because no AB coach can sit down - before taking the job on - and 100% predict or control injuries, the quality of the players available to him for his chosen game plan, nor the quality and ability of the opposition to come up with a better game plan, perhaps?
That is why you create live depth charts right down to your u/16s, to understand what your depth is to sustain the game plan you develop, its basic coaching strategy,and wether you have the depth for tweaks you need when variables come along.
I really don't think you can expect a AB Coach - before he's even got the job remember - to produce a winning game plan based on live depth charts down to U16 level that he's developed, and then judge him on the success of that self-same game-plan.
The world just doesn't work like that, sadly.
You know that the game plan doesn’t totally come from depth charts.
It is a tool to understand if you have the players to implement and sustain your game plan.Plus how much depth at different abilities you have and have coming though to keep on top of the changes you always need to freshen your game plan.
You start with a game plan and tweak it as you hit variables coming at you from the opposition and internally.
But if you don’t know the players abilities,current form,ability under pressure,work ethic,ability to fit into culture,how they take on board coaching advice, likely future development you are stuck at sea and are guessing and hoping it all comes together.I am sure you are well aware of all of that,but you want to come from one certain angle so it does not suit your argument.
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@Chris said in All Blacks 2023:
@Victor-Meldrew said in All Blacks 2023:
@Chris said in All Blacks 2023:
@Victor-Meldrew said in All Blacks 2023:
@Chris said in All Blacks 2023:
If they can not achieve that, why are they being paid to be AB coach.
Because no AB coach can sit down - before taking the job on - and 100% predict or control injuries, the quality of the players available to him for his chosen game plan, nor the quality and ability of the opposition to come up with a better game plan, perhaps?
That is why you create live depth charts right down to your u/16s, to understand what your depth is to sustain the game plan you develop, its basic coaching strategy,and wether you have the depth for tweaks you need when variables come along.
I really don't think you can expect a AB Coach - before he's even got the job remember - to produce a winning game plan based on live depth charts down to U16 level that he's developed, and then judge him on the success of that self-same game-plan.
The world just doesn't work like that, sadly.
You know that the game plan doesn’t totally come from depth charts.
It is a tool to understand if you have the players to implement and sustain your game plan.Plus how much depth at different abilities you have and have coming though to keep on top of the changes you always need to freshen your game plan.
You start with a game plan and tweak it as you hit variables coming at you from the opposition and internally.
But if you don’t know the players abilities,current form,ability under pressure,work ethic,ability to fit into culture,how they take on board coaching advice, likely future development you are stuck at sea and are guessing and hoping it all comes together.I am sure you are well aware of all of that,but you want to come from one certain angle so it does not suit your argument.
Pretty sure that depth plan alignment with strategy is the reason why we see some players pulled into the set up ahead of others that are arguably better.
It's not just a case of being better it is whether you either have, or have the forseen ability, to play a certain way.Take halfback as an example. Let's say that the strategy/game plans are based around a speed to clear the ball and nothing else. Player Cs USP is a little different, they are an extra loosie type halfback that directs play off hand and boot and has an eye to get over the advantage line. Very effective, and shining at another level, but may not fit the role being planned for.
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@Crucial said in All Blacks 2023:
@Chris said in All Blacks 2023:
@Victor-Meldrew said in All Blacks 2023:
@Chris said in All Blacks 2023:
@Victor-Meldrew said in All Blacks 2023:
@Chris said in All Blacks 2023:
If they can not achieve that, why are they being paid to be AB coach.
Because no AB coach can sit down - before taking the job on - and 100% predict or control injuries, the quality of the players available to him for his chosen game plan, nor the quality and ability of the opposition to come up with a better game plan, perhaps?
That is why you create live depth charts right down to your u/16s, to understand what your depth is to sustain the game plan you develop, its basic coaching strategy,and wether you have the depth for tweaks you need when variables come along.
I really don't think you can expect a AB Coach - before he's even got the job remember - to produce a winning game plan based on live depth charts down to U16 level that he's developed, and then judge him on the success of that self-same game-plan.
The world just doesn't work like that, sadly.
You know that the game plan doesn’t totally come from depth charts.
It is a tool to understand if you have the players to implement and sustain your game plan.Plus how much depth at different abilities you have and have coming though to keep on top of the changes you always need to freshen your game plan.
You start with a game plan and tweak it as you hit variables coming at you from the opposition and internally.
But if you don’t know the players abilities,current form,ability under pressure,work ethic,ability to fit into culture,how they take on board coaching advice, likely future development you are stuck at sea and are guessing and hoping it all comes together.I am sure you are well aware of all of that,but you want to come from one certain angle so it does not suit your argument.
Pretty sure that depth plan alignment with strategy is the reason why we see some players pulled into the set up ahead of others that are arguably better.
It's not just a case of being better it is whether you either have, or have the forseen ability, to play a certain way.Take halfback as an example. Let's say that the strategy/game plans are based around a speed to clear the ball and nothing else. Player Cs USP is a little different, they are an extra loosie type halfback that directs play off hand and boot and has an eye to get over the advantage line. Very effective, and shining at another level, but may not fit the role being planned for.
100 % agree with you you can see it mapped out.
