Rough tips and other bets...
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Kiwi horse
Kiwi trainer
Kiwi jockeyAustralia’s Horse Of The Year.
(Gotta be Trainer of the Year, and Jock of the Year as well, surely!)
You luv to see it!
Veerrrrrry Elllllegeeeeent
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I hit one of my best wagers ever a few days back at Eagle Farm, early quaddie on Bet365.
Played a short ticket, a 20-cent quaddie selecting the logical and throwing in (as-is my habit) a darkhorse Kiwi in every leg.
One of those logicals — a local-bred, Jumbo Goal — takes out the first leg at 5/2.
Nothing to get too terribly excited about. But I have no idea the ride I’m about to be taken on…
2nd leg KIANDRA GOLD (NZ) wins at 15-1. Sweet.
3rd leg THATFRIDAYFEELING (NZ) shocks at 25-1. I’m levitating.
4th & final leg LETHAL WARNING (NZ) knocks me delirious at 20-1.
Total wager — $19.20
Payout: $3,482.90Love. Those. Kiwi. Darkhorses!!!!
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@kid-chocolate said in Rough tips and other bets...:
I hit one of my best wagers ever a few days back at Eagle Farm, early quaddie on Bet365.
Played a short ticket, a 20-cent quaddie selecting the logical and throwing in (as-is my habit) a darkhorse Kiwi in every leg.
One of those logicals — a local-bred, Jumbo Goal — takes out the first leg at 5/2.
Nothing to get too terribly excited about. But I have no idea the ride I’m about to be taken on…
2nd leg KIANDRA GOLD (NZ) wins at 15-1. Sweet.
3rd leg THATFRIDAYFEELING (NZ) shocks at 25-1. I’m levitating.
4th & final leg LETHAL WARNING (NZ) knocks me delirious at 20-1.
Total wager — $19.20
Payout: $3,482.90Love. Those. Kiwi. Darkhorses!!!!
How gooood!
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The SARATOGA race meet in upperstate New York starts today. Opening Day! It is America’s oldest & most prestigious race meet. The track is often called “The Graveyard Of Champions,” as Man O War suffered his only defeat here, and Secretariat lost a couple times. Which gives me upside and hope!
Paying extra-special attention here to RACE 3 — a $103K mile on the turf for horses that have never won more than a maiden. Goes in 3-1/2 hours…
There is a 6yo gelding by Denman (Aus) (Lonhro (Aus)) — very rare to see Aussie bloodlines running through Saratoga runners, and the last one I remember two years ago (by Lonhro) won and cashed big. So, if that’s an angle with the smallest possible sample size, I’ll grab onto it.
The six-year-old I’m staring at has only had six starts — his only win was his 2nd start, over 28 months ago (yikes!) — and his most recent start at Gulfstream in January he was beaten 13 lengths.
He’s a lousy selection. But this plodder is named LOMU and has drawn gate and saddlecloth No. 11 in his Saratoga debut.
No. 11. Lomu is listed morning-line at 50-1. Daily Racing Form Formulator predicts a Beyer (speed rating) of 90 is required to win this race. and Lomu has never come close. Still,
I can’t help myself. $10 E/W.
This is a huge step in class. Trainer is a nobody against some of America’s best (Brown, Mott, Clemente), but is also co-owner. They’ve likely been targetting this race for a year — possibly the race of their lifetime. A pipe-dream fantasy?? He’ll be worth every penny of that fifty dollars.
But-but-but (grasping at straws here…), note his strong turf workouts at Saratoga, including his last run bullet.
UPDATE: Went off at 90-1. He was giving a thrill holding 2nd at the 3/4 pole, then died in the straight and walked home in last place. Was fun for a minute and a half.
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@kid-chocolate said in Rough tips and other bets...:
The SARATOGA race meet in upperstate New York starts today. Opening Day! It is America’s oldest & most prestigious race meet. The track is often called “The Graveyard Of Champions,” as Man O War suffered his only defeat here, and Secretariat lost a couple times. Which gives me upside and hope!
Paying extra-special attention here to RACE 3 — a $103K mile on the turf for horses that have never won more than a maiden. Goes in 3-1/2 hours…
There is a 6yo gelding by Denman (Aus) (Lonhro (Aus)) — very rare to see Aussie bloodlines running through Saratoga runners, and the last one I remember two years ago (by Lonhro) won and cashed big. So, if that’s an angle with the smallest possible sample size, I’ll grab onto it.
The six-year-old I’m staring at has only had six starts — his only win was his 2nd start, over 28 months ago (yikes!) — and his most recent start at Gulfstream in January he was beaten 13 lengths.
He’s a lousy selection. But this plodder is named LOMU and has drawn gate and saddlecloth No. 11 in his Saratoga debut.
No. 11. Lomu is listed morning-line at 50-1. Daily Racing Form Formulator predicts a Beyer (speed rating) of 90 is required to win this race. and Lomu has never come close. Still,
I can’t help myself. $10 E/W.
This is a huge step in class. Trainer is a nobody against some of America’s best (Brown, Mott, Clemente), but is also co-owner. They’ve likely been targetting this race for a year — possibly the race of their lifetime. A pipe-dream fantasy?? He’ll be worth every penny of that fifty dollars.
But-but-but (grasping at straws here…), note his strong turf workouts at Saratoga, including his last run bullet.
UPDATE: Went off at 90-1. He was giving a thrill holding 2nd at the 3/4 pole, then died in the straight and walked home in last place. Was fun for a minute and a half.
This post needs more love
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A chance to relive Lo-moo's effort!
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$700K Meadowlands Pace for 3yos goes in a quarter hour (Race 9). I see Race 13 later on same card is a $12,500 N/W L3 with nine horses starting and four of them are Kiwibreds. Wow. Not sure how exotic I’m going here… (Auckland Reactor sired a pair of them.)
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@kid-chocolate said in Rough tips and other bets...:
$700K Meadowlands Pace for 3yos goes in a quarter hour (Race 9). I see Race 13 later on same card is a $12,500 N/W L3 with nine horses starting and four of them are Kiwibreds. Wow. Not sure how exotic I’m going here… (Auckland Reactor sired a pair of them.)
That’s for that. I watched because of this post.
Is there no passing lane? Dexter was in the trail but pulled wide and finished the best of the three of them for second.
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@hooroo I’ll tell you what, I put $10 to win on the 5. I went right from the finish of that race (he finished 2nd), then went straight to the race at Del Mar. Several minutes later I see a pop-up that I won. I still haven’t seen the replay.
This will be the 2nd royal DQ in New Jersey today, their two biggest races, the Meadowlands Pace just minutes ago, and the $1 Million G1 Haskell Stakes for 3yos at Monmouth Park three hours ago. Watch:
Near-miracle Midnight Bourbon ran away safely from that.
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@hooroo And to your question, I don’t know the rules of harness racing. 99% of my racing interest is thoroughbreds, but I will always try to catch the really big pacing & trotting championships. FRankly when I saw that race finish, I was dead certain my horse lost. I need to see the replay, it still hasn’t been posted on my feed…
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@hooroo said in Rough tips and other bets...:
@kid-chocolate said in Rough tips and other bets...:
$700K Meadowlands Pace for 3yos goes in a quarter hour (Race 9). I see Race 13 later on same card is a $12,500 N/W L3 with nine horses starting and four of them are Kiwibreds. Wow. Not sure how exotic I’m going here… (Auckland Reactor sired a pair of them.)
That’s for that. I watched because of this post.
Is there no passing lane? Dexter was in the trail but pulled wide and finished the best of the three of them for second.
No passing lane at Meadowlands. Not sure if there are many at all in North America.
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I'd have made quite a bit off the TAB if I'd backed this thing. Hope she goes out a winner as I know some of the people involved.
Pop Star Princess aiming to bow out a winner
Cambridge trainer Fred Cornege is refusing to get involved in the sentiment surrounding stable star Pop Star Princess' likely final start for the stable in Saturday's Listed Powerworx Opunake Cup (1400m) at New Plymouth.
Cornege and his wife Lindsay train and share the racing ownership of Pop Star Princess with Pat and Sue Calnan but their lease expires at the end of the month, so Saturday's feature is set to be the Makfi six-year-old mare's swansong for the stable.
A winner of 10 of her 40 starts, Pop Star Princess has won twice at stakes level in the Gr.3 Rotorua Stakes (1400m) and Listed Tauranga Classic (1400m) earlier in her current preparation.
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Early quaddie at Scone, just completed.
My favourite angle.
R1) Mexican Standoff 7-1
R2) Poseidon Ruler 1/2
R3) FIERY BELLE (NZ) 14-1
R4) Hurn Court 3-120-cent bet returns $1342.90. Thank you. Hard to believe you can score a dividend like that including two legs 1/2 and a 3/1, but that’s the value of a Kiwi Darkhorse. (Note: there were no kiwibreds in any of the other three legs.)
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If anybody’s playing along the late quaddie, Race 6 at Scone was just won by darkhorse HEREDERO (NZ) 16-1.
R4) HURN COUNT 3-1
R5) EMPOWERMENT 7/2
R6) HEREDERO (NZ) 16-1
R7) BAIYKA 3-120-cent wager got me back $240, which seems kinda lame, if anything a more difficult combination than the early quaddie. Oh well, I’ll take them both. Another thankyou and shoutout to the NZ bloodstock industry.
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Just hit a 20-cent early quaddie at Narromine. Don’t know the wil-pay and waiting for the dividend, pending… but what’s got me excited is the winner of the 2nd leg is my fave angle—- 15. OCCASIONAL (NZL) wins at 45-1.
Update: $925.00 I was expecting a little better, but I’ll take it. Shoutout to the NZ breeders, thanks.
Note: Occasional was the only Kiwibred in the entire 4-race sequence, and he won at 45-1. I mean, take a bow. Way to represent!
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After holding up the start to get re-shoed, young kiwibred phenom 11. MO’UNGA (NZ) wins first Group 1 of the season Winx Stakes at Royal Randwick. At 11-1 hope you got him in your quaddie.
Verry Elleegant with a verry credible 2nd place, defending champ, hot fave, first-up, was racing three wide most of the race, JMac made a decision to drive her to the front before he would have preferred and wasn’t loving the footing at head of straight, but fought hard as usual. The most popular / beloved horse in Australia nowI should think, by some measure if those odds are any indication. Unders with the bookies all week, but the public didn’t care. They love her and pounded the betting.
(Prayers-up and fingers crossed for Rachel King here too.)
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@kid-chocolate said in Rough tips and other bets...:
The SARATOGA race meet in upperstate New York starts today. Opening Day! It is America’s oldest & most prestigious race meet. The track is often called “The Graveyard Of Champions,” as Man O War suffered his only defeat here, and Secretariat lost a couple times. Which gives me upside and hope!
…
But-but-but (grasping at straws here…), note his strong turf workouts at Saratoga, including his last run bullet.
…UPDATE: Went off at 90-1. He was giving a thrill holding 2nd at the 3/4 pole, then died in the straight and walked home in last place. Was fun for a minute and a half.
LOMU is back, baby. Wearing saddlecloth # 12 this time, Race 6 at Saratoga. It’s Travers Day, which is Saratoga’s biggest day (and one of the biggest in American racing calendar, with six G1 races). Lomu will not be in a Grade 1, he’s stuck in a $103K allowance, and for good reason. His last five starts he’s gone off at 71-1, 99-1, 87-1, 90-1, and 41-1 and never finished better than 6th. His handlers don’t seem to know what to do with him — his last three starts keep getting shorter, cutting back from a mile-and-sixteenth to 5-1/2 furlongs. Morning line is 30-1, he’ll drift, surely. They’re certainly optimistic chasing that Saratoga fantasy, so… holding my nose $5 E/W.
Update: Late scratch. Saved myself $10. Which I might need. I played a $1 Pick 6 on those G1s and hit them, for all of $122.60 payout. Eating chalk tonight. The Belmost winner and hot fave Essential Quality won the Travers Stakes in a thrilling duel and now heads into the Breeders Cup as leading contender for America’s Horse of the Year.
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So, Jamie Kah and three other jocks nailed in an AirBnB orgy (allegedly), one of them snitched by an ex (un-named) for Covid curfew violations, and she gets dinged three months suspension and will miss the Victoria Spring Carnival. Ouch!
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@kid-chocolate said in Rough tips and other bets...:
So, Jamie Kah and three other jocks nailed in an AirBnB orgy (allegedly), one of them snitched by an ex (un-named) for Covid curfew violations, and she gets dinged three months suspension and will miss the Victoria Spring Carnival. Ouch!
not the only one, either. Verry Elegants Melbourne jock just got three months last night for admitting to being involved.
Pop Star Princess aiming to bow out a winner
