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The Silver Fern

Rough tips and other bets...

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Rough tips and other bets...
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  • taniwharugbyT Offline
    taniwharugbyT Offline
    taniwharugby
    wrote on last edited by
    #304

    I meant AHEAD of time, jeez I cant do anything with those now!

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  • JKJ Offline
    JKJ Offline
    JK
    wrote on last edited by
    #305

    Sorry was actually typing that while you posted and then go interrupted.

    Have a mate in Aus who races dogs so has given me some insights but still lose plenty (you dont need to see my list of those!)

    Finding dogs a lot easier to pick. A couple of things I've learnt...

    • A fast dog from box 1 (red) or 8 (pink) is pretty hard to beat.
    • A fast dog from one of the mid to outer boxes can take out those on the inside if its pings hard from the start and goes straight to the rail. This can set things up for a quick dog in 7 or 8 to get a good place run.
    • Dogs tend of have a lot of history from certain boxes, ie have most of their results from those and bugger all elsewhere.
    • Sometimes dog randomly run in to each other which is farken hard to recover from.
    • Usually only 8 dogs in a race yet pays out on 3 places.....good chance of getting a place!!

    Also correct staking is real important in dogs and horses. I basically set a stake a like 2% of my account balance and will generally put say 1 stake on a win and then 2 to a place depending on the places odds. Ideally want to ensure I can cover total cost of my bet by my place winnings. Anything about $2 is great (but also a long shot). If place is like $1.50 then 2 to 1 place to bet ratio required.

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  • HoorooH Offline
    HoorooH Offline
    Hooroo
    wrote on last edited by
    #306

    Galaxy Miss drawn 19 and Barnaby drawn 5.

    Last race of the day and it is supposed to rain from today onwards.

    Will not be surprised if Barnaby is scratched.

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  • JKJ Offline
    JKJ Offline
    JK
    wrote on last edited by JK
    #307

    On a couple later today at Mornington. Sharing for the sake of letting you know what I'm betting on and not that I think they are great tips and are sure winners

    R2 #10 Pachini Boy $11.00 & $3.25 (on bet 365) outsider as 1st run (trailled well) but Damien Oliver in the sadde
    R5 #5 Curragh (tavistock) only paying $2.70 to win (on bet365) but think going to be very hard to beat

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  • HoorooH Offline
    HoorooH Offline
    Hooroo
    wrote on last edited by
    #308

    Nice tips bro!

    Looks as though Barnaby will run but Galaxy Miss to be scratched

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  • JKJ Offline
    JKJ Offline
    JK
    wrote on last edited by
    #309

    Picked up the place on race 2. Good return

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  • JKJ Offline
    JKJ Offline
    JK
    wrote on last edited by
    #310

    Just picked up a couple decent pays on dogs again. Two I like the look of in particular are both at Ballarat tonight

    Race 8 #6 and race 9#1 both should win
    Oh and #4 in race 7 but place only

    If betting on NZ tab then it seems to be tote odds only until it's next race up then they offer fixed as well.

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  • JKJ Offline
    JKJ Offline
    JK
    wrote on last edited by
    #311

    Twos places and a win from the above. Woke up and account was 33 units up for the evening so net 22 after bets placed 👍

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  • JKJ Offline
    JKJ Offline
    JK
    wrote on last edited by
    #312

    Three dogs running tonight at Warrnambool that I've won good money on in the past

    Pink shoelaces (6) in race 6
    Aston Ryder (2) in race 8
    Fairy vixen (8) in race 10

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  • JKJ Offline
    JKJ Offline
    JK
    wrote on last edited by
    #313

    No good on race 6 or 10, in fact bad night all round other than a multi i picked up on race 8 above and its sister which was running at sandown plus a mates dog which was a real outside at $3.50 a place. Ended up returning $7.30 to the $1

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  • JKJ Offline
    JKJ Offline
    JK
    wrote on last edited by
    #314

    Still having a jolly time betting on these dogs. Last week actually not so good but flying this week.

    This weekend is Caulfield Cup. Quite like the look of Real Love. Draw isn't as great as hoped but $ will be placed!

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  • JKJ Offline
    JKJ Offline
    JK
    wrote on last edited by
    #315

    Also really like Scattershot today in R7 at Donald. Have had a couple of pays on this horse before so gonna give it another go.

    HoorooH 1 Reply Last reply
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  • HoorooH Offline
    HoorooH Offline
    Hooroo
    replied to JK on last edited by
    #316

    @JK said in Rough tips and other bets...:

    Also really like Scattershot today in R7 at Donald. Have had a couple of pays on this horse before so gonna give it another go.

    Scatter Blast?

    JKJ 1 Reply Last reply
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  • JKJ Offline
    JKJ Offline
    JK
    replied to Hooroo on last edited by
    #317

    @Hooroo

    yep my bad. Did an OH FUCK for a second and had to go check last weeks bet and make sure had right horse!

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  • HoorooH Offline
    HoorooH Offline
    Hooroo
    wrote on last edited by
    #318

    Hank Marvin and Solomons are racing at Matamata on Wednesday.

    Both are jumping out of their skin as they are fit and haven't been able to race due to the wet tracks.

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  • taniwharugbyT Offline
    taniwharugbyT Offline
    taniwharugby
    wrote on last edited by
    #319

    I have a couple of previous winners running today...won a couple of times with Beautys Rose, R6 at Rotorua, had a place with Zakynthos (only bet cos another horse I was bettign on was running and thought I may as well seeing as I went to Zakynthos) who is running at Ashburton, R8.

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  • JKJ Offline
    JKJ Offline
    JK
    wrote on last edited by
    #320

    Was on track for a real decent night last night and needed the red hot fav dog to win to pay me out over $2k. Should have cashed out as the dog got pipped by a total outsider who ran a massive PB of almost half a second which is just insane on a 25 second race!

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  • JKJ Offline
    JKJ Offline
    JK
    wrote on last edited by JK
    #321

    A couple for Caulfield today in addition to Real Love I'm backing

    Race 4 - #1 Moqueen
    Race 9- #4 Wild Rain
    Race 10 - #12 Voodoo Lad

    Also won good money before on acatour who is in race 2 but not paying a hell of a lot today

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  • HoorooH Offline
    HoorooH Offline
    Hooroo
    wrote on last edited by
    #322

    Solomons is looking quite tidy for Wednesday. I think he's worth a good go.

    Hank Marvin will need a bit of luck. Looks great with his shiny black coat but he is going to need a bit of distance I think. Still worth a punt and he will have 4kgs off his back.

    JKJ 1 Reply Last reply
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  • JKJ Offline
    JKJ Offline
    JK
    wrote on last edited by
    #323

    Will do mate.

    Had rough weekend. Anyone who tipped the first 6 or 7 races at Caul Field would have made a killing!

    SmudgeS 1 Reply Last reply
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