Italy will set out to play defensively, we know that. They won't do anything risky, until maybe at the end if they are chasing the game.
If Italy kick to Beauden Barrett repeatedly, they might win the kicking duel, which will leave the ABs with poor field position, and then hope for penalties.
We might try taking it up the guts, but we have recently had a tendency to drop the ball when we do that. If we crab across field, then yuck. We might kick for position, but that has never really been a Foster strategy.
So it will come down to whether our scrum and lineout will hold up. If they fail, it will be hard going.
I expect the ABs to win, but we have really struggled in recent years when teams have defended stubbornly. We will rely, as ever, on individual brilliance.