AFL 2024
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@mariner4life said in AFL 2024:
@Kiwiwomble said in AFL 2024:
and the SEN team desperately wanted the lions to win
as do all good people in the world
everyone has a soft spot for the swannies and you're a big fat lair if you say otherwise
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2-10 still all up for grabs.
Woohoo Lions. Swans in a funk. Can’t stand them.
Crazy to think Port Adelaide are still in the hunt given their roller coaster season.
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How do you rank the teams? Sydney and Brisbane clearly top 2 and then... Carlton? Eked out a win over North in less than convincing fashion, you wouldn't want them playing for your life. Geelong? Nope. Essendon? God no. Maybe Freo or GWS? But wouldn't take either away from home.
If Sydney and Brisbane finish top 2 it's hard to see either losing at home.
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I still have Sydney top, we weren't far off our best available yesterday (ie ignoring the guys gone for the year), and scraped in at home.
I think you can chuck the Lions, the Blues, and Freo in a band just below. Lions are hot at the moment, but i am still not convinced. Carlton are still a bit fragile, and who really knows with Freo once finals arrive.I can't see anyone else really in it, unless the Dogs suddenly put their best together for a month in September. i can definitely see the Bombers dropping out of the 8
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Brisbane's run home is the dangerous GC away, Saints away, GWS at home, Collingwood away, and the Bombers at home.
Sydney have the Dogs at home, Port away, Collingwood at home, Bombers away, and Crows at home.
Carlton have Port at home, Collingwood away, Hawthorn at home, West Coast away, and Saints at home
Freo have West Coast, Essendon away, Geelong at home, GWS away, and Port at home.
Actually don't count Hawthorn out of September footy yet. Their last are the Crows, GWS, Carlton, Richmond, and North. They would back themselves in for every one of those fixtures.
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looking a bit closer at the ladder, it appears you'll need 13 wins and a percentage of at least 105.
Therefore you expect the teams already on 11 to make it, BUT
GWS have Hawthorn, Lions, Freo and the Dogs. Two top 4 sides, and 2 sides gunning for finals. Need to beat Melbourne this week or they are cooked.
Geelong are home, they have Freo, but also 4 of the bottom 5.
Port have 3 of the top 4, and the Derby against the Crows which is always a shitfight. Another team who absolutely have to beat Melbourne.The teams on 10 wins need to go 3-2 from here to be a chance
I reckon the Bombers are fucked. Three of the top 4 to play, and a percentage in the mid-90s. They will need to beat up on GC and the Saints, and beat a good side as well. That percentage will kill them unless they can get 4 wins.
The Dogs have the percentage, and games they should win (Melbourne, Crows maybe, and North), otherwise they need to beat one of the Sydney teams
Hawthorn need to boost their percentage as well as get their 3 wins. You think they beat Richmond and North easy, so their September plans are based on getting a win in the next 3 weeks.Melbourne are in terrible form, and i have mentioned them above as must win games for a few teams. THis of course means they are capable of upsetting everyones apple cart as they play 3 teams above them, and two teams that need a miracle to play finals. They also need a percentage boost.
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If i had to guess a final ladder:
Sydney (18 wins)
Carlton (16 wins)
Brisbane (15 wins)
Freo (15 wins)
Geelong (15 wins)
Hawthorn (14 wins)
Bulldogs (13 wins)
Port (13 wins) -
I think the important aspect to concentrate on is Richmond will be one of the few teams this year to beat the eventual flag winner.
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@antipodean said in AFL 2024:
I think the important aspect to concentrate on is Richmond will be one of the few teams this year to beat the eventual flag winner.
we beat you by 20 goals?
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@mariner4life said in AFL 2024:
@antipodean said in AFL 2024:
I think the important aspect to concentrate on is Richmond will be one of the few teams this year to beat the eventual flag winner.
we beat you by 20 goals?
- The Swans played us once.
- I thought you supported the Lions?
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bro what even is this season?
Port got a win i didn't expect and tipped over the Blues.
Geelong of course smack North
We beat Gold Coast at their house which in 2024 is kind of a big deal. And we are 2nd on the back of 9 straight.
Looool at Essington. Cooked
Melbourne are gone too, GWS looking set for September.
Freo had to work to beat West Coast, and are now 3rd
Pies beat the Tigers
Then the big result, Sydney slapped at home by the suddenly red hot Bulldogs
And Hawthorn continues their run to September footy smacking Adelaide in Adelaide.Last season Melbourne finished 4th, and lost 7 games all season. Currently Carlton are 4th, and with 4 to play have already lost 7 games. This is how Brisbane have snuck in to second.
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Which team falls out of the 8 to make way for the Hawks?
Genuine 'anyone can win it' vibe at the moment, Swans been hit with injury and look flat.
Blues lose a few key players, 5 day break, but looked very flat indeed. Port completely locked them out in the second half.
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picking anything this year is fucked but
GWS could easily not win again having re-looked at their draw. Hawks, Lions, Freo and the Bulldogs is basically the 4 most form teams.
I really wanted to say Carlton but they will at least beat West Coast
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The Bomber fans meltdown on SEN radio this morning has been quite funny.
One supporter rang up and said I’ve been through all of high school, Uni and changed careers since the Bombers won a finals match.
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oh i love a good AFL fan melt
I'll have to see if any where good enough to make social media
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AFL sucks and the bloods may never win again, back to supporting no winning teams
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Footy is fucking glorious aye @ACT-Crusader ?
yesterday was a crazy day.
With 3 minutes to go Hawthorn and GWS were close to swapping spots, with GWS looking like missing finals. Then 3 late goals and now GWS are 4th and the Hawks are probably done for the year.
Essendon could start booking september holidays and Freo were eyeing off second and then 5 straight goals, and a behind with a few seconds left, and the Dockers are 6th and Essendon aren't dead yet.Carnage at the top with the Swans beaten by 112, and Carlton losing again to drop to 8th.
Gold Coast are not a serious club.
North win the Spoonbowl.
Dogs with another percentage boosting win.And suddenly the top 4 are all interstate teams, and we are looking at Melbourne being devoid of finals in week 1
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Brissy put on a masterclass. Their ball pressure was next level. Contested possessions, Saints were a +43 which is crazy. Saints simple aren’t good.
Then Hawks bubble burst and hopefully Sydney’s woes continue. Two teams I can’t stand.
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Cam Rayner coming good has transformed the Lions.
Big games this weekend
Brisbane host GWS
Freo host Geelong
Carlton host Hawthorn -
Another loss by less than a goal.
I suppose the difference between a bad team and a good team is turning those margins the other way.
Still ...
