Rough tips and other bets...
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SO whos on what for the caulfield cup?
Struggling as it appears I like half the bloody field
I straight up like Bonneval - I think the odds at $9.50 are well over and great value. Was never really planned to win last race and the previous wins were not expected / targetted either but very good runs hence being fav last start. Aim is to peak for this race to last weeks run isnt that bad as a lead in. Has been vetted all ok this week and Baker seems pretty happy. Not well drawn but shouldnt matter over this distance as will settle in back 1/3 of the field anyway.
Wouldnt be suprised to see Jon Snow shoot to the front and lead and if race goes his way could hold on for a win.
Humidor hard to disregard. Was ok in the Turnball. Gave Hartnell windburn in the Makybe Diva. Again great odds and TAB also offering $4 for any of the kiwi horses to win (so Humidor, Jon Snow or Bonneval). Big risk though is Johannes Vermeer which is being heavily backed after last weeks run. Also like Marmelo at odds but probably a run to soon to win - could be a good bet for the Melbourne Cup.
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Interesting factoid, provided by NZTR CEO Bernard Saundry in his email newsletter this week:
[...]
"The Melbourne Cup has become one of the world’s most successful sporting brands and this is illustrated by its impact in New Zealand, with the Flemington feature attracting almost ten times as much turnover as any single domestic race.
"The total turnover on Melbourne Cup day, including sports betting, is around $20 million, making it by far the biggest betting day of the year. This is a significant figure and gives the industry a wonderful chance to interact with new or mostly inactive punters.
"So it has been encouraging to see the innovative spring marketing campaign launched by the NZ Racing Board, which aims to persuade once a year Melbourne Cup punters to become more regular customers. It is also designed to make it easier for newcomers to understand racing jargon, which can be a barrier to attracting new punters.
"Domestic racing turnover has been static in recent years and it is vital that we get more New Zealanders betting on New Zealand racing." [...]
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@Hooroo I see Galaxy MIss running today...worth a punt?
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Vic derby day today at Flemington. Great day of racing and looks hard on the punt!
Best bets for me are
Race 2 Bring me roses
Race 4 Harlem
Race 6 Shoals
Race 9 Man from uncle (ew)In regards to the Derby itself, I’ve had a future on Weather With You for some time now. Drawn well and a good chance but a very tough race
The Kennedy Mile (hard to believe but no not named after me) is also pretty tough to pick. Probably have to side to Tosen Stardom. Live egg tart but she’s had a horrible prep. Most likely will just stay off and watch
Also tango rain race 3 at Rosehill
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@taniwharugby said in Rough tips and other bets...:
@Hooroo I see Galaxy MIss running today...worth a punt?
Good feild but I hope so mate
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Farken tough day. Placed 12 bets for only 3 winners but some ok odds (merchant navy @ $21, shoals @ $6 and zumbalina at $3.50) so still ended up well up
Ace high impressive alright!
Also Melbourne cup final 24 locked in and barrier drawn underway at the moment.
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@jk said in Rough tips and other bets...:
Farken tough day. Placed 12 bets for only 3 winners but some ok odds (merchant navy @ $21, shoals @ $6 and zumbalina at $3.50) so still ended up well up
Ace high impressive alright!
Also Melbourne cup final 24 locked in and barrier drawn done
I had one bet all day - $10 for 5% the Flemington Quaddie. Collected $142, thanks to Rich Charm's late dash in the last. And if you haven't seen it, check out Udyta Clarke's post-race interview after Rich Charm's win. This is the racing.com one, but the Channel 7 one was even better.
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@smudge said in Rough tips and other bets...:
@jk said in Rough tips and other bets...:
Farken tough day. Placed 12 bets for only 3 winners but some ok odds (merchant navy @ $21, shoals @ $6 and zumbalina at $3.50) so still ended up well up
Ace high impressive alright!
Also Melbourne cup final 24 locked in and barrier drawn done
I had one bet all day - $10 for 5% the Flemington Quaddie. Collected $142, thanks to Rich Charm's late dash in the last. And if you haven't seen it, check out Udyta Clarke's post-race interview after Rich Charm's win. This is the racing.com one, but the Channel 7 one was even better.
I recoreded that for True-Love to watch. That is the heart of racing right there.
I loved the NZ Trackside comment after where he said if that doesn't warm the cockles of your heart, you must have had anti freeze
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so where is the smart money or the lucky money going tomorrow?
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@taniwharugby Smart money is on Almandin and Humidor. Wouldn't surprise me to see Almandin win it again.
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Going with these in first 4
1st
Tiberian
Red Cardinal2nd
Marmelo
Johannes Vermeer
Wall of Fire
Rekindling
Thomas Hobson
Tiberian
Red Cardinal3rd
Max Dyanmite
Alamandin
Big Duke
Amelie's Star
Marmelo
Johannes Vermeer
Wall of Fire
Rekindling
Thomas Hobson
Tiberian
Red Cardinal4th
Humidor
Boom Time
Nakeeta
Tiberian
Red Cardinal
Marmelo
Max Dynamite
Wall of Fire
Rekindling
Thomas Hobson
Johannes Vermeer
Alamandin
Big Duke
Amelie's Star
Ventura Storm
LibranWill try and weed a couple of these out before tomorrow to get the % up.
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Can’t back humidor at this distance personally. Think has peaked and been backed in to under the odds
Marmelo, Tiberian, red cardinal (even from the Car park). Rekindling worth considering too
Will have a shot at tri to
Marmelo 1st
Then box up tiberian, red cardinal, rekindling, big duke, almandin
A bit of Money coming in overnight for max dynamite
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