Rough tips and other bets...
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All good with the 1 week backup?
Waiting to see the odds for Hermanito (brother of chocante) for race 8 tomorrow at Hawera. First run was impressive and I'd quite like a bit more.
A few others I like the look of this weekend are:
Randwick race 5 - Oklahoma girl (great record over the distance)
Randwick race 10 - Machinegun jubs (great first up record. Conditions should suit)
Caulfield race 10 - Supercash (maps well and good first up record)Also keen to see how Desert Lashes goes this week at Caulfied. Was 8 wins outta 8 first 8 runs and really only knows one way and that's from the front. Had a decent spell after a hamstring injury and ran a good 2nd 2 weeks back. First time at caulfield and up against legless veuve and miss gunpowder so quite a challenge but wouldnt be surprised to see it go like a rocket from the gate again and just hold on.
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Pretty tough day yesterday saved by supercash in the last. Had it as a single along with a small multi with redzel and machinegun jubs which along with another horse and jock got stuck in the gate. Ended up being declared a non runner so multi paid out (as win double) and single bet on jubs refunded. So ended up ok
Everest was awesome. Lost a bit on she will Reign but odds allowed a couple of other bets which were on redzel and had a crack at a couple of tris which missed.
Cranbourne cup today and Lizzie Lamour should have enough to get up there. Better horse than these just a tad unlucky which has shown in the poor barrier draw but I’m still having a crack
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Happy with Galaxy Miss over 1600, she can win next up with the right jockey. Unfortunately the jock did the exact opposite to what was asked. Still, it will only be once.
Have Toodaloo running at Te Aroha on Wednesday and Tattyboglar on Saturday and potentially Ricky Baker on Sunday at Hawkes Bay
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SO whos on what for the caulfield cup?
Struggling as it appears I like half the bloody field
I straight up like Bonneval - I think the odds at $9.50 are well over and great value. Was never really planned to win last race and the previous wins were not expected / targetted either but very good runs hence being fav last start. Aim is to peak for this race to last weeks run isnt that bad as a lead in. Has been vetted all ok this week and Baker seems pretty happy. Not well drawn but shouldnt matter over this distance as will settle in back 1/3 of the field anyway.
Wouldnt be suprised to see Jon Snow shoot to the front and lead and if race goes his way could hold on for a win.
Humidor hard to disregard. Was ok in the Turnball. Gave Hartnell windburn in the Makybe Diva. Again great odds and TAB also offering $4 for any of the kiwi horses to win (so Humidor, Jon Snow or Bonneval). Big risk though is Johannes Vermeer which is being heavily backed after last weeks run. Also like Marmelo at odds but probably a run to soon to win - could be a good bet for the Melbourne Cup.
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Interesting factoid, provided by NZTR CEO Bernard Saundry in his email newsletter this week:
[...]
"The Melbourne Cup has become one of the world’s most successful sporting brands and this is illustrated by its impact in New Zealand, with the Flemington feature attracting almost ten times as much turnover as any single domestic race.
"The total turnover on Melbourne Cup day, including sports betting, is around $20 million, making it by far the biggest betting day of the year. This is a significant figure and gives the industry a wonderful chance to interact with new or mostly inactive punters.
"So it has been encouraging to see the innovative spring marketing campaign launched by the NZ Racing Board, which aims to persuade once a year Melbourne Cup punters to become more regular customers. It is also designed to make it easier for newcomers to understand racing jargon, which can be a barrier to attracting new punters.
"Domestic racing turnover has been static in recent years and it is vital that we get more New Zealanders betting on New Zealand racing." [...]
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@Hooroo I see Galaxy MIss running today...worth a punt?
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Vic derby day today at Flemington. Great day of racing and looks hard on the punt!
Best bets for me are
Race 2 Bring me roses
Race 4 Harlem
Race 6 Shoals
Race 9 Man from uncle (ew)In regards to the Derby itself, I’ve had a future on Weather With You for some time now. Drawn well and a good chance but a very tough race
The Kennedy Mile (hard to believe but no not named after me) is also pretty tough to pick. Probably have to side to Tosen Stardom. Live egg tart but she’s had a horrible prep. Most likely will just stay off and watch
Also tango rain race 3 at Rosehill
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@taniwharugby said in Rough tips and other bets...:
@Hooroo I see Galaxy MIss running today...worth a punt?
Good feild but I hope so mate
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Farken tough day. Placed 12 bets for only 3 winners but some ok odds (merchant navy @ $21, shoals @ $6 and zumbalina at $3.50) so still ended up well up
Ace high impressive alright!
Also Melbourne cup final 24 locked in and barrier drawn underway at the moment.
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@jk said in Rough tips and other bets...:
Farken tough day. Placed 12 bets for only 3 winners but some ok odds (merchant navy @ $21, shoals @ $6 and zumbalina at $3.50) so still ended up well up
Ace high impressive alright!
Also Melbourne cup final 24 locked in and barrier drawn done
I had one bet all day - $10 for 5% the Flemington Quaddie. Collected $142, thanks to Rich Charm's late dash in the last. And if you haven't seen it, check out Udyta Clarke's post-race interview after Rich Charm's win. This is the racing.com one, but the Channel 7 one was even better.
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@smudge said in Rough tips and other bets...:
@jk said in Rough tips and other bets...:
Farken tough day. Placed 12 bets for only 3 winners but some ok odds (merchant navy @ $21, shoals @ $6 and zumbalina at $3.50) so still ended up well up
Ace high impressive alright!
Also Melbourne cup final 24 locked in and barrier drawn done
I had one bet all day - $10 for 5% the Flemington Quaddie. Collected $142, thanks to Rich Charm's late dash in the last. And if you haven't seen it, check out Udyta Clarke's post-race interview after Rich Charm's win. This is the racing.com one, but the Channel 7 one was even better.
I recoreded that for True-Love to watch. That is the heart of racing right there.
I loved the NZ Trackside comment after where he said if that doesn't warm the cockles of your heart, you must have had anti freeze
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so where is the smart money or the lucky money going tomorrow?
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