Rough tips and other bets...
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B/c of corona, there are only two tracks racing Stateside on Tuesday, and the 2nd of these meets starts after the first one ends, right at 5pm EDT. The track is a dinky bullring in Nebraska called Fonner Park, but it’s the only game in the nation. Ordinarily nobody bets on it. But there’s a Pick 5 jackpot that is expected to exceed $2.5 million dollars — ending on a race with a total purse of $3,700. LOL. There could be punters holding tickets with payouts in the hundres-of-thousands of dollars sitting on jockeys who might make, what... $150-or-$200 if they win? Not often you see so much money bet on so little.
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2nd race at Gulfstream, a 12.5K maiden claimer for three-year-olds. There’s a horse Silver Maker in his third start; was purchased as a yearling for usd$800K. He came 4th. Somebody put in a claim and bought him for the twelve-thousand.
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Having a hard time handicapping the Sydney Cup here. The Chosen One (18-1), Yogi (40-1) and Etah James (20-1) are the three Kiwi-breds in the race. Etah James ran a pair of good staying routes at Ellerslie the past couple months, including a 4th in the Auckland Cup in his last... is he worth taking here today??
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Yogi will break your heart
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Track condition rated as Heavy. No rain in the forecast for Sydney today. They’ve had 25.2 mm precip the past week. How heavy is “Heavy”?
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@mariner4life said in Rough tips and other bets...:
Yogi will break your heart
I’d already placed him in my “toss” column.
Are you telling me he’ll break my heart if I don’t play him?
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@Salacious-Crumb said in Rough tips and other bets...:
Etah James ...
He’s got Glenn Boss and 51 Kg, the lightest weight. I’ll have to take him in my multi-race.
I do like several horses near the top, but they’re all carrying weight.
Te Akau Shark, Kolding, Veery Elleegent and Melody Belle are the NZers in the Queen Elizabeth. I think I’ll take all but Kolding and adding Addebbyb and Vow & Declare. Fve is more than enough. Betting against the Japanese import, hoping I don’t regret it. Ideally want to see Opie take it on the Shark, but I’d be delighted if any of the Kiwis win.
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@Salacious-Crumb I've gone lightly each way on Melody Belle.
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@mariner4life seen plenty tipping Yogi...big @booboo
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If the Shark hadn’t got the stone bruise in his hoof I probably would have singled him. I’ll cross my fingers, but reckon Veery Elleegent might be the real danger. And fwiw in a small 20 cent Pick 3 I did take both the Japanese horse in the QE and Yogi in their Cup. Go you good thing!!
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@taniwharugby said in Rough tips and other bets...:
@mariner4life seen plenty tipping Yogi...big @booboo
Smarter than the average bear
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Probabeel didn’t fire at all today in the Oaks, well back. Collette wins, with ease. Toffee Tongue (NZ) did well for 2nd. I took all three in my multis, but that’s not going to pay a lot.
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@Salacious-Crumb said in Rough tips and other bets...:
@Salacious-Crumb said in Rough tips and other bets...:
Etah James ...
He’s got Glenn Boss and 51 Kg, the lightest weight. I’ll have to take him in my multi-race.
Fuckinrightidid!!!
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Sydney Cup - Etah James (NZ) win; Chosen One (NZ) 2nd. Should have played the kiwi-exacta. Yogi was six lengths behind the rest of the field out of the gate.
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My feed is showing nothing happeningin Doomben. I wanna see the replay of this Cup finish ffs...!!
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@Salacious-Crumb said in Rough tips and other bets...:
Sydney Cup - Etah James (NZ) win; Chosen One (NZ) 2nd. Should have played the kiwi-exacta. Yogi was six lengths behind the rest of the field out of the gate.
Massive result for White Robe Lodge in North Taieri, as they stand her sire Raise The Flag.
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@Salacious-Crumb said in Rough tips and other bets...:
Sydney Cup - Etah James (NZ) win; Chosen One (NZ) 2nd. Should have played the kiwi-exacta.
Ooof, $1 exacta paid $213.40 on my tote.
I’ve got some wide cover in the next leg. I hope a kiwibred wins, but if not, Gailo Chop would make my day in a very big way...
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Adeyybb wins the Queen Elizabeth. Japanese horse 2nd. Veery Elleegent possibly third. I had the winner in my Pick3, won $84 on a $21 wager. Meh. Shouldn’t complain. Thank goodness for Etah James is all I can say!
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@Smudge said in Rough tips and other bets...:
@Salacious-Crumb said in Rough tips and other bets...:
Sydney Cup - Etah James (NZ) win; Chosen One (NZ) 2nd. Should have played the kiwi-exacta. Yogi was six lengths behind the rest of the field out of the gate.
Massive result for White Robe Lodge in North Taieri, as they stand her sire Raise The Flag.
I was really happy that Kylie backed it large and didn't give me the tip
