Rough tips and other bets...
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@mariner4life said in Rough tips and other bets...:
@JK said in Rough tips and other bets...:
Bit of mail around for Gosford this arvo
Race 2#6, 3#6 and 5#2 expected to go well
Multi! Paying 250! Carn the Gosford
Hmmm dunno how got 250! All were a bit short for that. Place multi prob about $2.50 haha. They ran 3rd, 2nd and 1st. Last one was $3.50 when posted.
Had a pretty good day punting wise on sat but missed on a couple of multis due to libertini. Gave a fair bit of it back yesterday.
Didnt watch much of sats racing as was out all day but have replayed the CS Hayes stakes race about 10 times!
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@JK because i hit the wrong horse! my selection came in 12th, 10 lengths back!!! fucking thank god the multi was dead after the first leg...
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@JK said in Rough tips and other bets...:
I think out to 1600m and equal weights then catalyst might be able to beat AB. I think they may apply blinkers again too as has given good results for catalyst in the past.
That chenier flew home and was first up over 1400m. Should go even better come the Guineas but will be up in weight and really benefitted from the run behind those two duking it out
Nope no blinkers.....
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@JK "I left the racecourse thinking we’d won," he said.
Interesting comment by the trainer - but starting wider on the barrier, carrying more weight and covering more distance - and probably not preferred track conditions.
Have to be a decent shot with a better hand.
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Yeah obviously very happy with the effort but can see more to come.
Am away next weekend for a lads fishing and golf trip but will def be ensuring we have coverage for that race!
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Short favourite Hanseatic got a shit feaw for tomorrow. Hope for everyone's tips it gets trapped on the fence
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I've taken Tagaloa at $17
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@mariner4life can get $20 on the Sports bet powerplay 👍
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Look, if it gets out it wins, I'm betting it gets stuck.
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@JK said in Rough tips and other bets...:
Pretty high quality field in that race for PollyGrey tomorrow @Hooroo
Reckon chance of running a place there!??Potentially. Not targeting this race though so will ride for luck and not give her a gut buster.
The rain will help no doubt
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He'll Haunt Us means I'm finishing in front today!
When Hutchy backs a roughie you listen
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Whoop!!
I've got Streets of Avalon, Tagaloa, and Mustajeer today. Huge!!!
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I put one of my bonus bets on the game last night: Any Starting Back (Jersey Number 9 - 15) 1st, 2nd & 3rd Try Scorer
I got paid but i thought forwards got at least 1 or the first 3 or am I reading it wrong.
Had Miracle Dancer today too paying just under $6 for the place.
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@mariner4life said in Rough tips and other bets...:
Whoop!!
I've got Streets of Avalon, Tagaloa, and Mustajeer today. Huge!!!
Fucking legend mate! I'd never heard of Tagaloa as of yesterday, but with $50 on the nose at $20, it's fair to say I'm a fan now...
Whoop whoop!!!
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Yep goood day thanks to the bias!
Had 6 winners at Caulfield and few at rosehill too.Very profitable but not great for racing
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@JK said in Rough tips and other bets...:
Yep goood day thanks to the bias!
Had 6 winners at Caulfield and few at rosehill too.Very profitable but not great for racing
Profitable racing is good racing
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@mariner4life why is Cairns abandoned today?
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@Hooroo said in Rough tips and other bets...:
@mariner4life why is Cairns abandoned today?
4 straight days of heavy rain.
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@mariner4life said in Rough tips and other bets...:
@Hooroo said in Rough tips and other bets...:
@mariner4life why is Cairns abandoned today?
4 straight days of heavy rain.
That would do it.
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@Hooroo said in Rough tips and other bets...:
@mariner4life said in Rough tips and other bets...:
@Hooroo said in Rough tips and other bets...:
@mariner4life why is Cairns abandoned today?
4 straight days of heavy rain.
That would do it.
yep, Cannon Park won't handle it.
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Need You Now lines up in the Group 1 Northern Oaks in R7 at Alex Park tomorrow night. She's drawn the outside in an 8-horse field but it's not the strongest Oaks field you'll ever see. The piping hot fave Amazing Dream has drawn well so NYN will be a bit reliant on others putting pressure on AD for much of the 2700m if she's to swoop late. Still, nice to have a filly in a 3YO classic. She's 2nd/3rd fave so maybe go heavy on the place bet.
Some Do is an each way chance as always in R2 although the field is a bit stronger than it looks at first glance.
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@Smudge said in Rough tips and other bets...:
Need You Now lines up in the Group 1 Northern Oaks in R7 at Alex Park tomorrow night. She's drawn the outside in an 8-horse field but it's not the strongest Oaks field you'll ever see. The piping hot fave Amazing Dream has drawn well so NYN will be a bit reliant on others putting pressure on AD for much of the 2700m if she's to swoop late. Still, nice to have a filly in a 3YO classic. She's 2nd/3rd fave so maybe go heavy on the place bet.
Some Do is an each way chance as always in R2 although the field is a bit stronger than it looks at first glance.
I liked your post for the first paragraph and without thinking liked it again for the second which removed the first vote. Three votes the charm!
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Apparently Mr Pickles who we used to own is going to go well first up at Awapuni Race 2 tomorrow.
Is said to be thriving on the beach. He used to hate the track and threw off a lot of track work riders when we had him and so we gave him to them to see if he liked the beach. First week in training he biffed the rider and ran all the way to Foxton!!!!
Anyway treat with care as he showed us a bit but could never perform
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@Hooroo said in Rough tips and other bets...:
Apparently Mr Pickles who we used to own is going to go well first up at Awapuni Race 2 tomorrow.
Is said to be thriving on the beach. He used to hate the track and threw off a lot of track work riders when we had him and so we gave him to them to see if he liked the beach. First week in training he biffed the rider and ran all the way to Foxton!!!!
Anyway treat with care as he showed us a bit but could never perform
geez, way to sell it...
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@mariner4life said in Rough tips and other bets...:
@Hooroo said in Rough tips and other bets...:
Apparently Mr Pickles who we used to own is going to go well first up at Awapuni Race 2 tomorrow.
Is said to be thriving on the beach. He used to hate the track and threw off a lot of track work riders when we had him and so we gave him to them to see if he liked the beach. First week in training he biffed the rider and ran all the way to Foxton!!!!
Anyway treat with care as he showed us a bit but could never perform
geez, way to sell it...
Yeah, I am sceptical but just passing on what I heard. I won't touch anything less that $7:00
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Awapuni isnt a sand track eh?
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Jeez, how could I have left out the Boxing Day races at Awapuni in my Palmie sales pitch, what memories!
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Mr Pickles is $7:00 & $2:10
Shall Nibble The Pickle
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Bonus bets back top 4 too!
Off with the lads for fishing and golf weekend but should be back at the back mid to late arvo saturday for a bit of a punt on what looks to be some cracking races this weekend
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@Hooroo was $10/$2.50 when I looked last night.
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@taniwharugby said in Rough tips and other bets...:
@Hooroo was $10/$2.50 when I looked last night.
2 scratchings. Real opening price is $7
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Got stacks of bonus bets so have put a $68bb on Probabeel, Te Akau Shark and Catalyst all to win their respective group 1 races tomorrow. All take place over a period of about 40mins around 6pm.
Pays over $2k. Equally likely of all 3 missing but hell we gotta ride our kiwi horses home!
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Just asked the lads at the tab and they’ve added a promo for any 2 of them to win at $6. Not bad considering effective odds based on current prices would be $2.50 to $4.50 depending on the potential outcomes.
https://www.tab.co.nz/sports/competition/6801/thoroughbred-specials/outrights
First call special
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The inaugural Saudi Cup goes this weekend. Mile and 1/8th (1800m), on the dirt in Riyadh.
Eye-popping USD $20-million purse, richest race in the world it’s got an excellent field with the top American horses making the trip.
I’d like to see MAXIMUM SECURITY, the disqualified winner from last year’s Kentucky Derby win it. He’s the current fave (11-4).
Brit entry BENBATL (7-1), who came 2nd in the last of Winx’s Cox Plates (2018), could loom and should be close, but I don’t know what his record on dirt is. (Anybody? I see a lone win on an “all-weather” track at Meyden in his only start on the surface.)
I really only know the American entrants, and they are all fairly strong, it’s wide open.
Besides Maximum Security, I like the U.S. champion mare MIDNIGHT BISOU at a delicious 10-1. I wonder about the consistency of MUCHO GUSTO (7-1), McKINZIE (7-2) who both won prestigious races this year (the Pegasus and the Whitney) yet they’ve always lost when I backed ‘em; and TACITUS the handsome grey who always places in the biggest races after getting himself in trouble almost every trip, is at a mouth-watering 20-1. Any one of them could win. The first four of those Americans are drawn together in a pack in gates 6-7-8-and-9.
There’s also an undefeated Japanese horse CHRYSOBERYL (11-1) that I know nothing about except that Japanese racing is super-strong right now.
Frankie Dettori is aboard GRONKOWSKI at 33-1.
MAGIC WAND, who has been flying ‘round the world and regularly placing — defeated Melody Belle in November’s McKinnon Stakes at Flemington, is sitting at 40-1. Has placed on dirt in G1 in the States, so might be a factor.
Fourteen horses in total. I know jack about the rest.
My fave jockey in the world IRAD ORTIZ JR. stays on Mucho Gusto, and if there’s one jockey I’d put money on to carry a horse across the finish-line it would be him. He’s killed me so many times saddled on horses that had no business being anywhere near a winners circle, so being aboard an excellent one I’d be foolish to leave him out of my exotics.
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@Hooroo said in Rough tips and other bets...:
Apparently Mr Pickles who we used to own is going to go well first up at Awapuni Race 2 tomorrow.
Is said to be thriving on the beach. He used to hate the track and threw off a lot of track work riders when we had him and so we gave him to them to see if he liked the beach. First week in training he biffed the rider and ran all the way to Foxton!!!!
Anyway treat with care as he showed us a bit but could never perform
Well I was right! He is still hopeless. Obviously trains like tarzan etc etc.
Thank goodness we didn't hang on to him
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nothing like escaping to the pub for lunch and jagging a winner at $13s while you are sitting there
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@Salacious-Crumb said in Rough tips and other bets...:
The inaugural Saudi Cup goes this weekend. Mile and 1/8th (1800m), on the dirt in Riyadh.
Correction on the purse, I short-changed it almost $800K.
Fourteen horses in total. I know jack about the rest.
I don’t know strength of racing in Riyadh, but the race features a Irish-bred local star MIJACK (60-1) who has won five in a row at King Abdulaziz Racecourse. Punters clearly not rating those wins.
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@Smudge said in Rough tips and other bets...:
Need You Now lines up in the Group 1 Northern Oaks in R7 at Alex Park tomorrow night. She's drawn the outside in an 8-horse field but it's not the strongest Oaks field you'll ever see. The piping hot fave Amazing Dream has drawn well so NYN will be a bit reliant on others putting pressure on AD for much of the 2700m if she's to swoop late. Still, nice to have a filly in a 3YO classic. She's 2nd/3rd fave so maybe go heavy on the place bet.
Some Do is an each way chance as always in R2 although the field is a bit stronger than it looks at first glance.
Some Do was never put into the race thanks to an extremely passive drive from Zac Butcher.
Need You Now loomed on the turn after a pretty good run in transit but missed 3rd by a nose hair.
All in all, a very frustrating evening.
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