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The Silver Fern

Coronavirus - UK

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Coronavirus
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Coronavirus - UK
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  • MiketheSnowM Offline
    MiketheSnowM Offline
    MiketheSnow
    wrote on last edited by
    #2870

    To quote Taupin & John 'Sorry seems to be the hardest word'

    CatograndeC 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • CatograndeC Offline
    CatograndeC Offline
    Catogrande
    replied to MiketheSnow on last edited by
    #2871

    @MiketheSnow

    I actually thought he (Dawkins) came out of that as quite measured and reasonable, as did the interviewer despite his clear slant on things. Dawkins main point is that in such a short space of time within a period of great turmoil it is rare for science to provide a clear cut answer. The counter to that was to give the population the truth - ie we don't know and let them make up their own minds and to this I would say two words to you.

    Boaty McBoatface.

    MiketheSnowM Windows97W Victor MeldrewV 3 Replies Last reply
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  • MiketheSnowM Offline
    MiketheSnowM Offline
    MiketheSnow
    replied to Catogrande on last edited by
    #2872

    @Catogrande said in Coronavirus - UK:

    @MiketheSnow

    I actually thought he (Dawkins) came out of that as quite measured and reasonable, as did the interviewer despite his clear slant on things. Dawkins main point is that in such a short space of time within a period of great turmoil it is rare for science to provide a clear cut answer. The counter to that was to give the population the truth - ie we don't know and let them make up their own minds and to this I would say two words to you.

    Boaty McBoatface.

    The tweet which was referenced was from Spring 21

    He'd had enough time to get off the bandwagon by that point in time

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Windows97W Offline
    Windows97W Offline
    Windows97
    replied to Catogrande on last edited by
    #2873

    @Catogrande said in Coronavirus - UK:

    @MiketheSnow

    The counter to that was to give the population the truth - ie we don't know and let them make up their own minds.

    Ironically given what we know now this probably would have resulted in better outcomes for most.

    Unless of course we're all comfortable with the greatest wealth transfer of money in the history of the world from poor people to rich people - in which case carry on then.

    CatograndeC Victor MeldrewV 2 Replies Last reply
    1
  • CatograndeC Offline
    CatograndeC Offline
    Catogrande
    replied to Windows97 on last edited by
    #2874

    @Windows97

    Ironically using the “given what we know now” stance actually supports his statements.

    As to the “better off” and “biggest transfer of wealth “ statements, any actual assertations, measurements, numbers, facts? Or is it just opinion?

    Windows97W 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Victor MeldrewV Offline
    Victor MeldrewV Offline
    Victor Meldrew
    replied to Windows97 on last edited by
    #2875

    @Windows97 said in Coronavirus - UK:

    Ironically given what we know now this probably would have resulted in better outcomes for most.

    Hindsight again. Leaders just didn't have that option. They needed to balance decisions & statements against their effect on public perception and behavior. If they were brutally honest and said "we don't know", there would likely have been panic - a point Dawkins makes really well.

    Could things have been handled better? Absolutely and probably will be if we get another pandemic.

    MiketheSnowM canefanC Windows97W 3 Replies Last reply
    1
  • Victor MeldrewV Offline
    Victor MeldrewV Offline
    Victor Meldrew
    replied to Catogrande on last edited by
    #2876

    @Catogrande said in Coronavirus - UK:

    Dawkins main point is that in such a short space of time within a period of great turmoil it is rare for science to provide a clear cut answer.

    Yep. I clearly recall Vallance & Whitty - both eminent men of science - making that point time and time again during the pandemic. When everyone in the media was raging about bad the UK death rates were, they were cautioning us to look at long-term excess death rates -which would take years to quantity accurately

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • MiketheSnowM Offline
    MiketheSnowM Offline
    MiketheSnow
    replied to Victor Meldrew on last edited by
    #2877

    @Victor-Meldrew said in Coronavirus - UK:

    @Windows97 said in Coronavirus - UK:

    Ironically given what we know now this probably would have resulted in better outcomes for most.

    Hindsight again. Leaders just didn't have that option. They needed to balance decisions & statements against their effect on public perception and behavior. If they were brutally honest and said "we don't know", there would likely have been panic - a point Dawkins makes really well.

    Could things have been handled better? Absolutely and probably will be if we get another pandemic.

    Not if that fuckwit menace Ferguson is anywhere near the discussion

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • MiketheSnowM Offline
    MiketheSnowM Offline
    MiketheSnow
    wrote on last edited by
    #2878

    My big takeaway from the pandemic - and the 'climate emergency' - is life mandated by the models and the modelers is a recipe for disaster

    CatograndeC 1 Reply Last reply
    4
  • CatograndeC Offline
    CatograndeC Offline
    Catogrande
    replied to MiketheSnow on last edited by
    #2879

    @MiketheSnow

    Stochastic modelling = current best guess*

    *may be liable to multiple changes

    MiketheSnowM 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • MiketheSnowM Offline
    MiketheSnowM Offline
    MiketheSnow
    replied to Catogrande on last edited by
    #2880

    @Catogrande said in Coronavirus - UK:

    @MiketheSnow

    Stochastic modelling = current best guess*

    *may be liable to multiple changes

    Chicken Little's best guess

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • canefanC Offline
    canefanC Offline
    canefan
    replied to Victor Meldrew on last edited by
    #2881

    @Victor-Meldrew said in Coronavirus - UK:

    @Windows97 said in Coronavirus - UK:

    Ironically given what we know now this probably would have resulted in better outcomes for most.

    Hindsight again. Leaders just didn't have that option. They needed to balance decisions & statements against their effect on public perception and behavior. If they were brutally honest and said "we don't know", there would likely have been panic - a point Dawkins makes really well.

    Could things have been handled better? Absolutely and probably will be if we get another pandemic.

    Leaving them free to make different mistakes

    Victor MeldrewV 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Victor MeldrewV Offline
    Victor MeldrewV Offline
    Victor Meldrew
    replied to canefan on last edited by
    #2882

    @canefan said in Coronavirus - UK:

    @Victor-Meldrew said in Coronavirus - UK:

    @Windows97 said in Coronavirus - UK:

    Ironically given what we know now this probably would have resulted in better outcomes for most.

    Hindsight again. Leaders just didn't have that option. They needed to balance decisions & statements against their effect on public perception and behavior. If they were brutally honest and said "we don't know", there would likely have been panic - a point Dawkins makes really well.

    Could things have been handled better? Absolutely and probably will be if we get another pandemic.

    Leaving them free to make different mistakes

    Probably - as the variables will have changed too.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Windows97W Offline
    Windows97W Offline
    Windows97
    replied to Catogrande on last edited by
    #2883

    @Catogrande said in Coronavirus - UK:

    @Windows97

    Ironically using the “given what we know now” stance actually supports his statements.

    As to the “better off” and “biggest transfer of wealth “ statements, any actual assertations, measurements, numbers, facts? Or is it just opinion?

    A simple google search should help you out there and you can draw your own conclusions. But a few examples are below.

    Mark John  /  Dec 6, 2021

    Pandemic boosts super-rich share of global wealth

    Pandemic boosts super-rich share of global wealth

    The share of household wealth owned by billionaires has risen by a record amount during the pandemic, with millionaires also coming out of COVID-19 ahead, a study found on Tuesday.

    Jan 17, 2022

    Ten richest men double their fortunes in pandemic while incomes of 99 percent of humanity fall | Oxfam International

    Ten richest men double their fortunes in pandemic while incomes of 99 percent of humanity fall | Oxfam International
    Tyler Clifford  /  Jun 4, 2020  /  03:42  /  Mad Money

    Jim Cramer: The pandemic led to 'one of the greatest wealth transfers in history'

    Jim Cramer: The pandemic led to 'one of the greatest wealth transfers in history'

    "I think we're looking at a V-shaped recovery in the stock market, and that has almost nothing to do with a V-shaped recovery in the economy," the "Mad Money" host said.

    Jan 22  /  Opinion

    Look at how the 1% are doing right now, and tell me the system isn’t rigged | Nesrine Malik

    Look at how the 1% are doing right now, and tell me the system isn’t rigged | Nesrine Malik

    The world’s super-rich have amassed so much wealth since the pandemic that even a Tory minister can see something is amiss, says the Guardian columnist Nesrine Malik

    Victor MeldrewV CatograndeC 2 Replies Last reply
    1
  • Windows97W Offline
    Windows97W Offline
    Windows97
    replied to Victor Meldrew on last edited by
    #2884

    @Victor-Meldrew said in Coronavirus - UK:

    @Windows97 said in Coronavirus - UK:

    Ironically given what we know now this probably would have resulted in better outcomes for most.

    Hindsight again. Leaders just didn't have that option. They needed to balance decisions & statements against their effect on public perception and behavior. If they were brutally honest and said "we don't know", there would likely have been panic - a point Dawkins makes really well.

    Could things have been handled better? Absolutely and probably will be if we get another pandemic.

    Who actually created the panic however?

    People went to extraordinary lengths to make covid out like it was a killer virus akin to the one out of Stephen King's "The Stand".

    Most of the justification was based on predictive models that turned out to be hopelessly inaccurate and seemingly never updated with real data to determine the accuracy there-of, or if the responses based off these increasingly inaccurate models were proportionate.

    In short people over-reacted and panicked and this kicked off a chain reaction.

    What's most odd about it is that we supposedly live in a world where "social justice" is top of mind...

    So for the people adversely effected by covid are there going to be reparation's for them, some form of social justice in restoring what they lost, apologies for the rights that got taken away?

    Yet people don't seem to care, or it's brushed away as hindsight.

    None of this makes sense to me, the response, the lack of adjustment based off data, the lack of empathy when proven "they were wrong" and the fact that many, many people got incredibly rich of the enforced suffering of others.

    None of this seems right or just.

    Victor MeldrewV dogmeatD 2 Replies Last reply
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  • MiketheSnowM Offline
    MiketheSnowM Offline
    MiketheSnow
    wrote on last edited by
    #2885

    100%

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Victor MeldrewV Offline
    Victor MeldrewV Offline
    Victor Meldrew
    replied to Windows97 on last edited by
    #2886

    @Windows97

    Covid killed almost 7 million people (so far) and continues to kill - even with the vaccines & measures that people called draconian and unnecessary. I shudder to think what that total might be if people's rights hadn't been temporarily restricted.

    People in power had to make rapid decisions to save lives with minimal data and the need to manage public behaviors. They got some things wrong (and many right) and overall have nothing to apologise for.

    Windows97W 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • KirwanK Offline
    KirwanK Offline
    Kirwan
    wrote on last edited by
    #2887

    One minor quibble, how much do you trust that number? Two things to consider, first is that the reporting in the US was over reporting Covid deaths (for funding reasons). If you had covid and died in a car crash, it was reported as covid death.

    Second, I've seen reports showing flu death comparisons. Flu was zero, Covid was similar to the previous flu reporting (slightly higher).

    Victor MeldrewV 1 Reply Last reply
    4
  • Victor MeldrewV Offline
    Victor MeldrewV Offline
    Victor Meldrew
    replied to Windows97 on last edited by
    #2888

    @Windows97

    Aren't you conflating two different things here - wealth inequality and the ability of bigger business to survive economic shocks - in this case Covid?

    And the Oxfam report has been debunked so many times it's embarrassing. Anyone on the average wage in NZ or the UK is in their top 1% or global elite according to them.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Victor MeldrewV Offline
    Victor MeldrewV Offline
    Victor Meldrew
    replied to Kirwan on last edited by
    #2889

    @Kirwan

    According to *The Economist'*s analysis, the true Covid death rate is much, much higher at 23m.

    "We find that there is a 95% chance that the true value lies between 17m and 30.4m additional deaths".

    Graphic detail

    The pandemic’s true death toll

    The pandemic’s true death toll

    Our daily estimate of excess deaths around the world

    broughieB 1 Reply Last reply
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