2018 Football World Cup
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Latest odds for outright winners - Russia should be much higher than 61 although their group is an easy one (mainly because they are in it!). Hard to see the winners coming from outside that top 4 to be honest.
Brazil 5.00
Germany 6.00
France 7.00
Spain 7.00
Argentina 10.00
Belgium 11.00
England 19.00
Portugal 26.00
Uruguay 26.00
Croatia 34.00
Colombia 41.00
Russia 61.00
Poland 81.00
Denmark 101.00
Mexico 101.00
Peru 126.00
Serbia 126.00
Switzerland 126.00
Sweden 201.00
Senegal 201.00
Egypt 201.00
Nigeria 251.00
Australia 301.00
Japan 401.00
Morocco 401.00
Iceland 401.00
Iran 501.00
South Korea 501.00
Costa Rica 601.00
Tunisia 751.00
Panama 2001.00
Saudi Arabia 2501.00 -
Just made my TAB Free Kick picks - my final four are France, Argentina, Germany & Brazil. France V Argentina in the final with France crowned champions.
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Switzerland play pretty boring but I’d like them to do well if only to see how much Switzerland can actually do “excited”.
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Brazil to beat Germany in the final 1.70 to 1.41
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Based on 200,000 rounds of EA Sports? You'd hope they checked it by running a few simulations from 2014.
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@kiwimurph said in 2018 Football World Cup:
@nepia midnight Thurs night Syd time.
Cheers, clearly my culling of Wendyball fan friends has worked a treat to the point when I don't know when it's on - now if I could only cull boganpalooza fans as well ;).
But seriously, go Portugal, assuming they have made it.
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@kiwimurph said in 2018 Football World Cup:
@nepia midnight Thurs night Syd time.
Sink your teeth into it!
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@nepia said in 2018 Football World Cup:
@kiwimurph said in 2018 Football World Cup:
@nepia midnight Thurs night Syd time.
Cheers, clearly my culling of Wendyball fan friends has worked a treat to the point when I don't know when it's on - now if I could only cull boganpalooza fans as well ;).
But seriously, go Portugal, assuming they have made it.
Might jump on that bandwagon.
Might have already mentioned I want a new winner. Who's the favourite who is not:
- Brazil
- Germany
- Italy
- Argentina
- Uruguay
- England
- France
or - Spain
?
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@booboo said in 2018 Football World Cup:
@nepia said in 2018 Football World Cup:
@kiwimurph said in 2018 Football World Cup:
@nepia midnight Thurs night Syd time.
Cheers, clearly my culling of Wendyball fan friends has worked a treat to the point when I don't know when it's on - now if I could only cull boganpalooza fans as well ;).
But seriously, go Portugal, assuming they have made it.
Might jump on that bandwagon.
Might have already mentioned I want a new winner. Who's the favourite who is not:
- Brazil
- Germany
- Italy
- Argentina
- Uruguay
- England
- France
or - Spain
?
Belgium are a chance
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@canefan said in 2018 Football World Cup:
@booboo said in 2018 Football World Cup:
@nepia said in 2018 Football World Cup:
@kiwimurph said in 2018 Football World Cup:
@nepia midnight Thurs night Syd time.
Cheers, clearly my culling of Wendyball fan friends has worked a treat to the point when I don't know when it's on - now if I could only cull boganpalooza fans as well ;).
But seriously, go Portugal, assuming they have made it.
Might jump on that bandwagon.
Might have already mentioned I want a new winner. Who's the favourite who is not:
- Brazil
- Germany
- Italy
- Argentina
- Uruguay
- England
- France
or - Spain
?
Belgium are a chance
I won't watch any of this, unless Belgium get to the final - in which case I will jump on the bandwagon, head over to Brujes to watch it and support them.
Do some coke, abuse some fat americans. -
@canefan said in 2018 Football World Cup:
Belgium are a chance
If they don't capitulate then I'd put Croatia in the same bracket as Belgium. A fantastic team on paper but they don't always perform when required.
Most have France vs Brazil and Germany vs Spain in the SFs.
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@kruse said in 2018 Football World Cup:
@canefan said in 2018 Football World Cup:
@booboo said in 2018 Football World Cup:
@nepia said in 2018 Football World Cup:
@kiwimurph said in 2018 Football World Cup:
@nepia midnight Thurs night Syd time.
Cheers, clearly my culling of Wendyball fan friends has worked a treat to the point when I don't know when it's on - now if I could only cull boganpalooza fans as well ;).
But seriously, go Portugal, assuming they have made it.
Might jump on that bandwagon.
Might have already mentioned I want a new winner. Who's the favourite who is not:
- Brazil
- Germany
- Italy
- Argentina
- Uruguay
- England
- France
or - Spain
?
Belgium are a chance
I won't watch any of this, unless Belgium get to the final - in which case I will jump on the bandwagon, head over to Brujes to watch it and support them.
Do some coke, abuse some fat americans.Nice reference.
And time to resurrect this:
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@antipodean said in 2018 Football World Cup:
@kruse said in 2018 Football World Cup:
@canefan said in 2018 Football World Cup:
@booboo said in 2018 Football World Cup:
@nepia said in 2018 Football World Cup:
@kiwimurph said in 2018 Football World Cup:
@nepia midnight Thurs night Syd time.
Cheers, clearly my culling of Wendyball fan friends has worked a treat to the point when I don't know when it's on - now if I could only cull boganpalooza fans as well ;).
But seriously, go Portugal, assuming they have made it.
Might jump on that bandwagon.
Might have already mentioned I want a new winner. Who's the favourite who is not:
- Brazil
- Germany
- Italy
- Argentina
- Uruguay
- England
- France
or - Spain
?
Belgium are a chance
I won't watch any of this, unless Belgium get to the final - in which case I will jump on the bandwagon, head over to Brujes to watch it and support them.
Do some coke, abuse some fat americans.Nice reference.
And time to resurrect this:
Would they be trying to work out why England are so good at getting knocked out early without barely firing a shot?
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some actuarial analysis into who will win...
If you’re wondering who’s likely to win World Cup 2018, then this study from insurance broker JLT Specialty has interesting insights for you.
Citing new research from JLT, Actuarial Post reported the odds – Brazil, with a 17.89% chance to bag World Cup victory, leads the way, followed by Germany, Spain, France, and Argentina.
According to the report, the risk management firm calculated each club’s probability of winning using the average odds of 25 betting houses. In addition, JLT’s study also examined ‘player value’ – France, with £967 million in estimated market value, is considered to have the most valuable squad.
“Despite humiliation four years ago Brazil have bounced back and are now in a great position to walk away from Russia as champions,” Duncan Fraser, head of sport at JLT Specialty, was quoted as saying. “Whether they can replicate their pre-tournament form remains to be seen, and they will be up against stiff competition from the many European teams looking to cause an upset, including reigning champions Germany.
“Our analysis found that the value of players does not necessarily correlate with how likely a team is to win the tournament. Whoever lifts the trophy in July will need a combination of factors to go right for them, including form, fitness, and luck.”
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@taniwharugby said in 2018 Football World Cup:
According to the report, the risk management firm calculated each club’s probability of winning using the average odds of 25 betting houses.
That's analysis now is it?
