AFL 2024
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There are still 9 teams a chance of playing finals. I said a few weeks back you would need 13 wins to play finals. That might be 14 now
Sydney are a win in front, and have Essendon and the Crows. They should win at least one of those to finish minor premiers
Port have the SA derby which is 50/50, then away to Freo. Tough run home.
GWS host Freo this week, and finish against the Dogs who might be fighting for their life.
Geelong should beat the Saints and West Coast which might see them finish top 2
Brisbane have the Pies at the MCG and then host Essendon. We suck at the G so will need to win on the last weekend. Should play finals but that fade out on Saturday was very costly to any premiership chance.
Freo have it tough, hosting GWS and then going to Port.
The Dogs will beat North this week, then host GWS
Hawthorn now have to only beat the Tigers and North at the G to play finals.
I had Carlton penned in to win their last two, but now i am not so sure. Hosting West Coast is surely a win, but that game against the Saints is now looking dicey.I still think it is possible for Port in 2nd to miss finals, which with two weeks to go is insane. All hands on deck this week, and it is only Sydney who MIGHT be able to rest anyone in the last week.
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The Bulldogs are the most Jekyll and Hyde side of the comp. They had beaten Blues, Cats, Sydney and Demons - then they lose to the Crows.
A game they should’ve won to make it more comfortable of staying in the 8.
They should beat North this weekend but then will have a critical match against GWS who will be playing to keep themselves in the top 4 and/or potentially a top 2 finish, which would be big for them.
I’m really hoping we can play spoiler to the Blues in the final round. Would love to get a win and then be the reason they don’t make the 8.
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@ACT-Crusader said in AFL 2024:
I’m really hoping we can play spoiler to the Blues in the final round. Would love to get a win and then be the reason they don’t make the 8.
and i want that for you as well
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@ACT-Crusader Bulldogs were like that last year too. Got momentum, on the cusp of the 8 and then lost to West Coast at Marvel (from memory) who were genuinely hopeless.
It didn't shock me at all to see that scoreline against Adelaide.
But for all the talk of an even comp, I can't remember when the bottom class of teams has been so competitive. There's genuinely no easy wins out there.
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Sydney beat Essington, a team that didn't leave Victoria in 3 months and still plummeted down the table.
GC with the worst result of their season, losing at home to the Dees
GWS beat Freo, and Freo are in trouble.
I hate footy. Interestingly people are finally looking at the talent on our list and wondering if maybe the coaching is the problem.
Port beat Crows but lose one of their best players for nearly killing a guy.
WTF? St Kilda beat Geelong?
Sunday went according to script, the only disappointment being West Coast not even trying against Carlton. -
@Kiwiwomble said in AFL 2024:
UP THE BLOODS! BACK ON TRACK!
all but locked up the minor premiership, port have to win by about a million next week and us lose i think
looks at the table, currently out of the 8 are collingwood, Melbourne, crows, eagles and tigers
all have been premiers or finalists in the last 6-7 years, how good is the AFL with changing of the guard?
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And so to the final week.
Sydney host Adelaide, and no matter the result, should finish first
Port go to Freo. Port can lose and still finish top 4, win and they lock up home finals
GWS host the Bulldogs. Highest finish 2nd, lowest 4th
Geelong host west coast. will win, and if they hammer the Eagles could sneak up. Most likely remain 4th
Lions host Essington. Highest finish 4th (highly unlikely) but could miss finals all together if they choke.
Bulldogs are at GWS. A win and other results for top 4, lose and they hope others do too or gone
Hawthorn play North. Will win, which could get them as high as 4th. Lose and they are hoping someone else does or gone
Carlton play Saints. Win and in, lose and out unless Freo lose as well.
Collingwood have Melbourne, and a win would get them to the same points as Carlton, but percentage would keep them out.So effectively everyone from 5th down needs to win to play a final. And the most important games are on Sunday. Freo are the last game, and could kick off knowing they are cooked.
Great fucking season
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What a final quarter by the Saints. I actually couldn’t believe it. We moved the ball quicker, had a functioning forward line, and exposed a bit of the sluggishness of the Cats midfield.
Now a big spoiler opportunity against the Blues next week. Can’t wait.
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Blues win against West Coast was good. Backs against the wall, heaps of injuries, three first gamers and a key defender playing full forward and kicking four. Turning point? Maybe? Perhaps?
St Kilda are a bloody difficult beast in the last game, but if I were Carlton I'd be geo-targetting Moorabbin with cheap flights to Hawaii, discount resorts in Bali, free tickets to the Italian Grand Prix.
Surely they will have one eye on the finish line. Surely.
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And once again the AFL get the finish they want with the outcome of the final 3 home and away games all having a bearing on who and where finals will be played.
1- Bulldogs (7th) vs GWS (4th) 12:30pm (Melb time)
- Bulldogs win and they move to 6th spot because of their superior % to the Hawks. GWS will remain 4th
- GWS win and they could go to 2nd where they will await the outcome of the Port v Freo game to see if they will remain there. Bulldogs will remain in 7th due to their superior % to Carlton but will nervously await the outcome of both the Saints v Blues and the Port v Freo games because if Blues and Freo win, they will finish 9th.
2- Blues (8th) v Saints (14th) 3:20pm (Melb time)
- Blues win (after a Bulldogs win) they will remain in 8th. Bulldogs currently have a +13% on the Blues. This will mean Freo is gone even if they win (but that result will still matter to Port and where they finish).
- Blues win (after a Bulldogs loss) they will finish 7th regardless of the outcome of the Freo v Port game.
- Saints win (after a Bulldogs win), the Blues nervously wait for the outcome of the Freo v Port game. Saints will finish 12th above Gold Coast and Melb (I’ll take that for what has been a very up and down year).
3- Freo (10th) v Port (2nd) 6:10pm (Melb time)
- Freo will know their fate and if both the the Bulldogs and Blues have won - they are goneski regardless if they win. They could however play spoiler to the Port and where they finish in the top 4 and if they get a home final in week 1.
- So Freo will be hoping one of the Bulldogs or Blues have lost and they are playing for the top 8.
- likewise if GWS have won, Port will know that they have to win to get back into a top 2 spot and get a home final in week 1.
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goddam it Freo, you had one fucking job. The Saints did their part, and you just choked.
Melbourne finished the season like they have played most of it, limply.
Hawthorn destroyed North
Geelong did the same to West Coasht
The Suns confirmed the Tigers a spoon
Brisbane beat Essington by 20 behinds
Sydney finished top and with a nice win.Then pre-finals Sunday. The Bulldogs confirmed they are a genuine threat by belting the Giants
St Kilda looked to have broken Carlton hearts
Until Port were too strong in the 4th for Freo, who lost 4 straight to drop from 3rd to 10th!Some interested finals games this weekend, good luck tipping them.
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@mariner4life said in AFL 2024:
Collingwood
Brisbane
GWS
Carlton
Sydney
Port
Adelaide
Melbourne
St Kilda
Bulldogs
Gold Coast
Essendon
Geelong
Richmond
Freo
North
Hawthorn
West CoastHow as the ladder predictions?
Well, over rated last years Grand Finalists obviously. Got GWS pretty close, under rated the top 2, and had the Bulldogs missing. Waaay off with Hawthorn and Geelong!
Thought more of Adelaide and Melbourne than they were worth. -
For the Lions, weird season. If i look back to when we lost the first 4, or half way through the season were in 13th with 4-1-7, to finish 5th and host a final is incredible.
But, 3 weeks ago we were 2nd, and lost two games on 4th quarter fade outs. Tried it again on Saturday TBH but Essendon aren't as good. We are still a chance to win everything, but we might like to try a couple of things:
Kick more goals than behinds
Score points in the 4th quarter. -
GET FUCKING IN!
3 x titles in clubs rugby, Otago won, Wimbledon won and the Bloods got the minor prem....good fucking weekend
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schedule for this weekend announced
Thursday Night: Port v Geelong (AO)
Friday Night: Dogs v Hawks (MCG)
Saturday Arvo: Sydney v GWS (SCG)
Saturday Night: Lions v Carlton (gabba) -
Carlton... I mean where do you start. You'd have to go way back in the history books to have a side knocked out of the 8 on practically the final kick of the season.
Oh wait, no you don't. It happened just two fkn years ago. To Carlton.
St Kilda celebrating like they won the flag despite capping off a disappointing season with a meaningless win made it even worse.
Except then for once the footy gods somehow came good and Freo shat the bed at home. Actually that's harsh because Port are a good team who played well.
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The Collingwood media team in action, the dust barely settled for season 2024 and there’s a ‘positive’ piece already about season 2025. Gotta hand it to them
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The Petracca saga is very interesting. So much smoke there's bound to be something burning.
But I'm not sure how it ends. Don't think Carlton will be giving up Harry McKay - key forwards are rare as hen's teeth and while Petracca is a great player I'm just not sure that the price is right there.
