Artificial Intelligence (Previously "Chat GPT")
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Been playing around with Whisper OpenAI's speech recognition model to generate subtitles for some old movies I have collected.
It's pretty amazing and gives an accuracy of about 95-98% with most of the errors around names and places with music & background noise causing most of the other errors. I'd estimate clean-up to 100% accurate subtitles would take about 1 or 2 hours - it's certainly going to hit professional transcribers quite hard, I think.
Those with a technical bent can read about it here
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"AI is going to cause massive job loss in the next few years." - NostraFrank
"(Edit: Public-facing) 2023-level AI is not actually AI - but just data-trawling disguised as human-readable search results." -CynicKruse
Call it what you want. A LOT of people are about to lose their jobs - imo
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"AI is going to cause massive job loss in the next few years." - NostraFrank
I'd probably flip it - it's going to drive a real change in productivity and efficiency, and that's going to wind up either in more shit getting done, or fewer people working.
What we don't know is where the effort's going to go with the extra time. I can't see it as a bad thing; it's like machinery destroying jobs of human wheat harvesters - overall, it is still a better outcome for the collective.
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"AI is going to cause massive job loss in the next few years." - NostraFrank
"(Edit: Public-facing) 2023-level AI is not actually AI - but just data-trawling disguised as human-readable search results." -CynicKruse
Call it what you want. A LOT of people are about to lose their jobs - imo
I think a lot of jobs will disappear but, as with IT killing off shorthand and typing, newer jobs and roles we haven't even begun to think about will spring up.
Just need to manage the transition well.
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@Victor-Meldrew said in Chat GPT:
Just need to manage the transition well
The speed and extent of the change is the scary thing. Unprecedented in human history I suspect
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@Victor-Meldrew said in Chat GPT:
Just need to manage the transition well
The speed and extent of the change is the scary thing. Unprecedented in human history I suspect
Could make the last few years look like a slug on Mogadon. And the IT/Telecoms infrastructure is already in place to roll it out to everyone and everywhere at serious speed.
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@Victor-Meldrew I use opera browser and yesterday it popped up with a chat GPT sidebar as well as another AI I wasn't familiar with. It's going to move fast
It's also got I recommendations on the search bar.
The rate of change is accelerating
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"AI is going to cause massive job loss in the next few years." - NostraFrank
I'd probably flip it - it's going to drive a real change in productivity and efficiency, and that's going to wind up either in more shit getting done, or fewer people working.
What we don't know is where the effort's going to go with the extra time. I can't see it as a bad thing; it's like machinery destroying jobs of human wheat harvesters - overall, it is still a better outcome for the collective.
It's both. More productivity and lots of job losses.
As with any fundamental change, there will also be new jobs. The problem, as others have mentioned, is the pace of change. We've never had this sort of disruption this fast.
For example, the Tesla self driving is getting very, very good. That AI side of things could take out taxi drivers/truck drivers in the next ten years.
That's two very large industries.
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"AI is going to cause massive job loss in the next few years." - NostraFrank
I'd probably flip it - it's going to drive a real change in productivity and efficiency, and that's going to wind up either in more shit getting done, or fewer people working.
What we don't know is where the effort's going to go with the extra time. I can't see it as a bad thing; it's like machinery destroying jobs of human wheat harvesters - overall, it is still a better outcome for the collective.
It's both. More productivity and lots of job losses.
As with any fundamental change, there will also be new jobs. The problem, as others have mentioned, is the pace of change. We've never had this sort of disruption this fast.
> For example, the Tesla self driving is getting very, very good. That AI side of things could take out taxi drivers/truck drivers in the next ten years.
That's two very large industries.
Really? I am sure you are wiser to the goings on with self drive cars than I am, but the little bits I have read lately suggest the technology is proving more difficult than first thought and self driving vehicles may be further away than anticipated.
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@Crazy-Horse said in Chat GPT:
"AI is going to cause massive job loss in the next few years." - NostraFrank
I'd probably flip it - it's going to drive a real change in productivity and efficiency, and that's going to wind up either in more shit getting done, or fewer people working.
What we don't know is where the effort's going to go with the extra time. I can't see it as a bad thing; it's like machinery destroying jobs of human wheat harvesters - overall, it is still a better outcome for the collective.
It's both. More productivity and lots of job losses.
As with any fundamental change, there will also be new jobs. The problem, as others have mentioned, is the pace of change. We've never had this sort of disruption this fast.
> For example, the Tesla self driving is getting very, very good. That AI side of things could take out taxi drivers/truck drivers in the next ten years.
That's two very large industries.
Really? I am sure you are wiser to the goings on with self drive cars than I am, but the little bits I have read lately suggest the technology is proving more difficult than first thought and self driving vehicles may be further away than anticipated.
Version 11 is pretty close, they are solving many of the issues that they get criticised for;
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@Kirwan The technology may be available but I reckon there will be a reluctance to take it up.
Taxi's would work but truck drivers often unload / load as well.
Mind you I know one guy who puts his Tesla into autopilot and checks his emails, surfs, reads his book etc while driving to Tauranga.
I get nervous with anyone else driving so no way am I ready for that.
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@Kirwan The technology may be available but I reckon there will be a reluctance to take it up.
Taxi's would work but truck drivers often unload / load as well.
Mind you I know one guy who puts his Tesla into autopilot and checks his emails, surfs, reads his book etc while driving to Tauranga.
I get nervous with anyone else driving so no way am I ready for that.
A lot cheaper to pay people to load/unload at pickup and destination than pay for a driver for 5 days and do that. There will be exceptions to all this, but there is a fundamental change coming.
Think about city planning, no need for a car park building, your car can go anywhere to park (even home, and recharge) or more optimistically act as a taxi while you work.
You still have to pay attention as it currently is, so that guy is being pretty dangerous.
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I reckon there will be a reluctance to take it up.
FIrst it'll be long distance trucking.
Then it will be paid drivers for uber/taxi firms. Then probably mass transport once safe ... and probably individual cars towards the end of the trip.
My pet theory is that insurance will drive the uptake; it'll get cheaper in America to have an insured self driving car than one operated by a meat bag.
Going to be interesting for sure - got a lot harder than anyone expected I think, but seems to be progressing steadily now
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Where I work we already have lots of robots/AI that do a lot of manual work, e.g. logging into systems, pulling information together from various sources, for a person at the end to review. We've been using them for a few years already, and there's no doubt the work they do has meant less jobs for people that used to do it manually. AI is already having an impact on jobs, and that's likely to accelerate over the next couple of years. Going to be interesting once the more real-world stuff like self-driving, manual labour etc is ready for widespread use. As that is so much more in your face, e.g. getting picked up by a taxi with no driver, more people will really start taking notice, but it's already happening at a lot of organisations.
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It's also worth noting that Elon has an army of haters that will belittle everything Tesla does at every opportunity and make out that his tech will never work in the real world, just because they are desperate to see him fail. In reality they are constantly iterating on the self-driving cars and they are getting better and better all the time.
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@No-Quarter said in Chat GPT:
there's no doubt the work they do has meant less jobs for people that used to do it manually
It's only the speed that removed typists, then stenographers, then dictation - all taken over by technology. Hell. telephones used to have manual operation.
What is different this time is the speed. Could need to reinvent our taxation and welfare systems - hopfeully with massive improvements in productivity that fund a new class of people idle enough to post on the Fern all day
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Think about city planning, no need for a car park building, your car can go anywhere to park (even home, and recharge) or more optimistically act as a taxi while you work.
Transport planners think self-driving cars will be a congestion nightmare.
Whatever the paradigm shifts ahead are I guarantee they won't be what we expect.
