Australian Federal Election
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<blockquote class="ipsBlockquote" data-author="antipodean" data-cid="591150" data-time="1466749855">
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<p>Transcript available from 7:30 Report last night: <a data-ipb='nomediaparse' href='http://www.abc.net.au/7.30/content/2016/s4488065.htm'>http://www.abc.net.au/7.30/content/2016/s4488065.htm</a><br>
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Sample:</p>
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<p>FARKING HELL.</p> -
<blockquote class="ipsBlockquote" data-author="ACT Crusader" data-cid="591184" data-time="1466757044">
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<p>Different machine I think Godder. The common path is the union official or political staffer (not back office campaign volunteers). That's why it's been such a big deal when someone hasn't come from that path - Nova Peris, Maxine McKew. And they often don't survive because they don't have a factional base to go into bat for them when the lions start circling.</p>
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<p>That's true of the Libs as well ACTC.</p>
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<p>I worked in politics for a few years, for a Minister in the NSW Lib/Nat Government. Though not a party member myself (and not a 'true believer' by any stretch), I have come into contact with a lot of these staffers looking for higher honours.</p>
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<p>It depresses me a little, because with a lot of these guys (especially the younger ones) they haven't got a solid grasp on why they believe what they do. Why they are on the political right. I know some blokes who champion the monarchy, who champion Brexit without the foggiest fucking idea why they do it. They just mimic the actions of their fellow right-wingers.</p>
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<p>And this isn't a smear on the right at all, because it's the same on the other side. Full of people believing in a cause with no solid ideological foundation to base it on. I actually have a lot of respect for libertarians (some of them) and those on the harder right (like Cory Bernardi, weirdly) because at least they have clearly thought hard about what they believe in, and why they do it. They have a real conviction that they are correct in their views.</p>
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<p>But both major parties are largely filled with these mindless drones who come up through the system without having to formulate a solid view on the world, and have that view challenged. And that's why there is such a dearth of thoughtful, inspirational figures on both sides of the aisle IMO.</p> -
<blockquote class="ipsBlockquote" data-author="ACT Crusader" data-cid="591184" data-time="1466757044">
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<p>Different machine I think Godder. The common path is the union official or political staffer (not back office campaign volunteers). That's why it's been such a big deal when someone hasn't come from that path - Nova Peris, Maxine McKew. And they often don't survive because they don't have a factional base to go into bat for them when the lions start circling.</p>
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<p>Sounds the same, TBH. In NZ, the union officials I've had dealings with (quite a few from various unions) generally started out as delegates somewhere, and become officials from there. Labour parties were generally founded as the political arm of the labour movement, while trade unions were the industrial arm (and often instrumental in the foundation of labour parties, including in NZ), so it's hardly surprising that it's still a major source of people and funding.</p>
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<p>A major source of political staffer here is student politics, because you get people who are interested, have relevant experience, and generally have relevant degrees. As with Unions, it's hardly surprising in that context. Sure, ideally, awesome people would come in from the outside and be given the rocket push, but politics is a tough business, and failure is common in that scenario. John Key is very much an outlier in that respect.</p> -
<blockquote class="ipsBlockquote" data-author="barbarian" data-cid="591247" data-time="1466779646">
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<p> I actually have a lot of respect for libertarians (some of them) and those on the harder right (like Cory Bernardi, weirdly) because at least they have clearly thought hard about what they believe in, and why they do it. They have a real conviction that they are correct in their views.</p>
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<p>Not sure that statement is true about Cory. I strongly suspect he holds his views because Jesus tells him so. No deeper analysis required there.</p> -
<p>And so, we enter the last week, where the rampant negativity begins.</p>
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<p>Watching <em>Insiders</em> today, Chris Uhlmann was very quick to point out that while Mal might try to leverage Brexit as a harbinger of voting for stability, the bigger message for the major parties is that disenfranchised voters will leave establishment parties on the principle of lashing out. Barrie Cassidy seemed pretty convinced that there was going to be a bit of a shock coming for both sides, and the panel was generally in agreement that South Australia is going to be hell for Labor with Xenophon muddying the waters.</p>
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<p>Shorten has done himself no favours with the Medicare thing this week. He's still plugging it too, as per the vision from the Brisbane "launch" today.</p>
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<p>Get the feeling its going to stay in that "LNP reduced majority" thing. But shit, anything could happen after this last week.</p> -
<p>So, how do we feel about the ALP basically getting free advertising through union funded attack ads on the LNP? I have seen more union advertising than from any other source this election. And they don't appear to be held to account for anything they say. </p>
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<blockquote class="ipsBlockquote" data-author="mariner4life" data-cid="592136" data-time="1466984090"><p>So, how do we feel about the ALP basically getting free advertising through union funded attack ads on the LNP? I have seen more union advertising than from any other source this election. And they don't appear to be held to account for anything they say.</p></blockquote>
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Speaking of advertising, the Gonski posters that you see at some schools and are around are in green. All finding by the AEU (for the ALP) but it looks like Greens advertising. <br><br>
In the seat of Higgins on the weekend and the Greens were really hammering it. It's safe Liberal territory. Peter Costello held it for eons and Kelly O'Dwyer now holds it still with a good margin. But there are some "green" areas like Prahran and parts of Sth Yarra. The Greens candidate is Jason Ball and he has a bit of profile as a footy player and was an advocate for LGBTI related issues. <br><br>
I don't think they win but it's more a long term strategy of setting a platform for next election. <br><br>
Greens likely to win the seat of Batman off ALP. David Feeney will be wondering how a top 10 ALP held seats in terms of 1st preference votes is basically gone because of his stuff up. -
<p>I think Shorten's message on the Libs and 'selling Medicare' is way off base, and smacks of desperation to me. Hope it hurts him at the ballot box, it's a ridiculous claim.</p>
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<p>Think Brexit will help Turnbull, the economic messages will only get louder this week and this plays right into the hands of the Libs.</p> -
I've just watched him get taken to task on his medicare scare campaign. Apparently it's okay to outright lie about the privatisation of medicare if you make your own definition of privatisation.
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Shorten is coming across like a bit of a fluffybunny actually. No real answers, just "that guy is worse" soundbites and lies.
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MEDISCARE<br><br>
Shorten is looking quite desperate. More so than I have ever seen from him before in his political and union life. <br><br>
Turnbull is as well but not so much as Billy. <br><br>
Sure there's a huge amount at stake for both, but I think it's catching up to him. <br><br>
Shorten hates losing anything. He literally will say or promise anything to not lose - duh he's a politician you say. But in my experience not all are like that. Some still stick to their principles and actually can say No, it's not currently a priority etc. -
<p>Interesting comment in an editorial by Joe Hildebrand today (he chaired the facebook debate)</p>
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<p>"Ultimately we have two sensible, centrist leaders who, in an effort to placate the hard edge of their parties, are obliged to pretend to be at war"</p>
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<p>I think there is a lot in that. Left freely to lead their own parties in their own manner, i think the two of them would come up with the same (ish) policies. However given the real power in both parties is not actually held by the leaders, we end up with the shit storm of hyperbolic adversarial waffle we currently have masquerading as an election campaign. </p>
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<p>Can anybody think of what either party actually stands for, other than being in power?</p> -
<p>Mariner's point is valid - its basically a reflection of the fact that all the screaming and shouting on both sides isn't really over anything that serious.</p>
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<p>Its always funny for people to talk about the budget deficit being a thing when we're a nation with a shitload of real estate debt.</p> -
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<blockquote class="ipsBlockquote" data-author="NTA" data-cid="592742" data-time="1467158679">
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<p>In that vein - bit of anarchy arising on FB</p>
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<p><img src="http://www.daimenhutchison.com/rugby/public/style_images/master/attachicon.gif" alt="attachicon.gif"><a data-ipb='nomediaparse' href='http://www.daimenhutchison.com/rugby/index.php?app=core&module=attach§ion=attach&attach_rel_module=post&attach_id=2046'>votebox2.jpg</a></p>
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<p>You'd think if you went to that trouble, you'd know that Federal elections are every three years, not four...</p>