World Test Championship
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@booboo said in World Test Championship:
So, new topic so we can track the path to 70% ...
Firstly, result of Fourth Test Aus v Ind
Great idea! Do we need to add the poms to this as they are in with a shout and trousered Sri Lanka this AM
EDIT. I've just realised you've quoted a tweet and it's not your work. So I'll shut up now.
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@MajorRage said in World Test Championship:
@booboo said in World Test Championship:
Great idea! Do we need to add the poms to this as they are in with a shout and trousered Sri Lanka this AM
EDIT. I've just realised you've quoted a tweet and it's not your work. So I'll shut up now.
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@booboo said in World Test Championship:
@MajorRage said in World Test Championship:
@booboo said in World Test Championship:
So, new topic so we can track the path to 70% ...
Firstly, result of Fourth Test Aus v Ind
Great idea! Do we need to add the poms to this as they are in with a shout and trousered Sri Lanka this AM
EDIT. I've just realised you've quoted a tweet and it's not your work. So I'll shut up now.
But it's worth a separate topic as we've got it it in other topics like 'Blackcaps v Pakistan'.
I think we need to consolidate.
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@booboo said in Black Caps v Pakistan:
Not sure how right this guy is ...
And am assuming his % probabilities are assuming each of the 2,700 odd outcomes have equal chance of occurring, when of course one team is likely to be more favoured over another in any given game, mesding wuth his actual probabilities ...
Or he MAY be full of shit ...
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If my maths is right:
AUSTRALIA
Current points percentage: 73.8
76.7 (322 out of 420)What’s left (max
180150 points):-
India
21 home tests(30pts per win, 10pts per draw) -
South Africa 3 away tests (40pts per win, 13pts per draw)
Also: 2-test series in Bangladesh cancelled (120pts not contested)
What they need to top 70 per cent:
10090 more points (win 3 out of54 against India and South Africa; or drawbothlast against India and win 2 against South Africa)INDIA
Current points percentage: 70.2
72 (390 out of 540)What’s left (max
180150 points):-
Australia
21 away tests(30pts per win, 10pts per draw) -
England 4 home tests (30pts per win, 10pts per draw)
What they need to top 70 per cent:
120110 more points (win 4 out of65 against Australia and England; or win 3 and draw32)ENGLAND
Current points percentage: 65.2
60.8 (292 out of 480)What’s left (max
240180 points):-
Sri Lanka
21 away tests(60pts per win, 20pts per draw) -
ndia 4 away tests (30pts per win, 10pts per draw)
What they need to top 70 per cent:
220160 more points (winbothremaining against Sri Lanka; and win 3 and draw 1 against India) -
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So looks like there are two paths to the final. South Africa winning the series by any margin, or India drops a game against England.
If India win in Brisbane today then they can drop a game vs England and still get through, but those scenarios work for an Aus win or draw.
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@rotated said in World Test Championship:
@Cyclops do you know if a draw is preferable to an Aus win today?
It depends.
A loss means India must sweep England - single draw knocks them out.
But it also gives Australia an extra pathway - a win and two draws in South Africa.
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@MN5 said in World Test Championship:
@Cyclops said in World Test Championship:
So Australia now need two wins and a draw or three wins.
2 wins and 2 draws will be enough for India.
Seems inevitable now that India will be one of the teams at Lords.
How do we get there ?
If Australia don't make it, we do. Pretty much.
Edit: not pretty much. Definitely. It's either India or England, they can't both make it. So if Australia don't make it to SA, or if they lose any over there, we're in.
Don't mind our chances.
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@delicatessen said in World Test Championship:
@MN5 said in World Test Championship:
@Cyclops said in World Test Championship:
So Australia now need two wins and a draw or three wins.
2 wins and 2 draws will be enough for India.
Seems inevitable now that India will be one of the teams at Lords.
How do we get there ?
If Australia don't make it, we do. Pretty much.
Edit: not pretty much. Definitely. It's either India or England, they can't both make it. So if Australia don't make it to SA, or if they lose any over there, we're in.
Don't mind our chances.
They will be hurting after this series. I expect a backlash.
Would be nice if Bangladesh would play a couple of tests here as I'd expect a damn good hiding there.
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@canefan said in World Test Championship:
Is the Aus SA series in SA? What is the covid situation there right now?
Yes it's in SA.
They've got plenty of the COVID, everyone's making the right noises about making it happen atm, but time will tell. -
@delicatessen shaky ground i reckon. They blew off the poms and obviously weren't concerned at losing all that coin.
Meanwhile, good luck England with a Virat Kohli thinking about what the bub made him miss out on😄
He'll be determined as all hell
