Rough tips and other bets...
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Geee dont want to sound full of myself but I am waaaay up in terms of profitability and return from this 'game'. If I was making losses, while I'm sure I would still enjoy the thrill of trying to beat the bookie/other punters (as I get almost as much joy picking a winner or value place runner without placing a bet), I am sure it would be frowned upon at home for the amount of time that I put in.
Even now with good $ returns I do get a bit of pressure at home re the time I spend doing analysis but its probably more on the social side that pisses the wife off. If we are out on a sat arvo or evening she hates that I have to look at the phone for a race (cant handle just looking at results) or when a friend of ours asks if I am on the punt or backed any winners today (without me having the phone out).
Its the regular withdrawals and wifes knowledge that the horse/sport punt (or investment as I call it) has actually allowed us to purchase or do things that we may not have been otherwise able to do, that makes is relatively easy to justify my time.
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@JK i know you are way bigger in to this than me.
If i was putitng money in very month i reckon the wife would be having words. I bought her a fucking ace christmas gift from gambling winnings (actually @Smudge that was down to you mainly that particular one) so she can see the upside.
but i spend little time except for the actual time in front of the races. Quick squiz at the racing pull-out Friday morning, then not much else.
I have been looked at sideways when we have been out and i have pulled up a G1 to watch...
I kicked home Tagaloa in the Blue Diamond in an Uber with her parents on the way to a wedding. That was funny "are you serious...?"
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As someone who provides racing tips for a living (well at least a sideline gig), I know how much time many tipsters put into their selection. In my case, it's not long... but I'm sure there are others who have more time to commit to it.
But as I'm dealing with the same bunch of horses each week, I get to know their formlines pretty well. Best way to find random winners at nice odds in harness at least is to watch the workouts & trials videos and look for those horses having a quiet run at the back and either finding the line well late or never being pulled out by the driver.
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@JK said in [Rough tips and other bets...](/post/428615
I love horses that are fit, especially on heavier tracks or when they are front runners and back in distance (plus blinkers.....magic!)
Larimer street just then at MV was perfect example. Not a heavy track but a track that favours front runners and we had a fit horse back in distance with blinkers on. Too strong!
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The one fucking time I don't bet on Loving Gaby...
Scales of Justice was done in the first 100m. Fucking Moonee Valley
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@Hooroo said in Rough tips and other bets...:
GO POLLY GREY!!!
Her biggest race yet. Group 2 Japan Trophy. Fingers crossed.
We one this with Villifye a few years ago.
I'm on!
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@mariner4life @Hooroo #metoo
Lets go!
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Me today
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@Smudge said in Rough tips and other bets...:
@Smudge said in Rough tips and other bets...:
Oneloveonelife debuting on Saturday for the other syndicate I'm involved with.
Tough ask for him as he's straight into a Group 3 race at Wyndham (R7) and up against some tidy Canterbury types (he's trained in Southland). Best case scenario would be for him to sneak into a placing after being saved for one run. He's at 21s and 3.30 which is entirely fair.
Saved for one run, but they walked up front so he struggled to make any ground in the straight. Wasn't disgraced on debut though, so that's fine.
Bit more disappointing today. Found the trail thanks to some gate speed. Gait looked a little sloppy on the turn but looked to kick 150m out before just stopping and fading to 6th of 6. I suspect we'll have to wait for a few months to see him at the races again (probably as a 3YO).
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What was the plan dip shit? 4 back on the rail? What did you expect?
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So. Two year olds. Who’s going to win the Slipper? I guess I have to bracket 1. Tagaloa and 3. Farnan in my “must have” column, then 9. Dame Giselle, 10. See You Soon and 18. Minhaaj in my “deep plays.” I can never handicap these baby ponies. (1-3-9-10-18)
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First of the G1s at Rosehill The Ranvet Stakes was a great duel, Addeybb and Verry Elleegant drawing away from the peleton before the final turn and battling all the way to the line. Amazing effort by both horses, Addeybb takes it. (Alive into the third leg of this Pick 3 sequence...)
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Ohsweet, I just hit the Pick4 at Sam Houston. Played It small, fave/fave/fave/25-1 shot. Paid $212. Kinda small. I’ll take it.
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This is fucked. I've barely been in a race let alone jagged a result
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G1 George Ryder Stakes is coming up. This is a race Winx owned the last four times. Of course I’d love to see Te Akau Shark win it, but my ticket really-really wants Happy Clapper...
Shit. Dreamforce wins it. Kiwi-bred The Bostonian battled hard for 2nd. Te Akau Shark took an age to fire, came home 3rd.
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Fuck you Castellvechio!! Absolutely fuck you!!!
You've been shit this prep, cost me heaps, I jump off and bang. Fucking....
