Rough tips and other bets...
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Started with $25 and parlayed that into $330 at Flemington and Rosehill backing kiwibreds in exotics. Wagered all of the winnings on the seven Breeders Cup races at Santa Anita, so I was down to $4 in my account. Did not cash a single ticket for the first six races, that was five hours of torture turtled in a fetal position, before two bets in the last race (The Classic) netted me $650, so that felt good. I wish I could roll $25 into $650 every weekend. Trust me, it rarely-if-ever does. I’m going to bank $500 and spend $150 at Flemington for Tuesday, likely save $100 to wager on The Cup.
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I always struggle with the MC as a serious betting race but love to play a few exotics as you know if you hit them it will be big money.
Yet to have a serious look but will be working around Mustajeer along with CrossCounter (surely can win two in a row though right?), Mer De Glace (concern is it may not quite see out the distance) and Surprise Baby
Any of the NZ locals heading out to Ellerslie on Tuesday?
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@JK said in Rough tips and other bets...:
I always struggle with the MC as a serious betting race but love to play a few exotics as you know if you hit them it will be big money.
Yet to have a serious look but will be working around Mustajeer along with CrossCounter (surely can win two in a row though right?), Mer De Glace (concern is it may not quite see out the distance) and Surprise Baby
Any of the NZ locals heading out to Ellerslie on Tuesday?
I drew Surprise Baby in the Calcutta so will be cheering that on. Maroney was over our way and he is really happy with his $100 shot, Sound. Have backed that too
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@JK said in Rough tips and other bets...:
I always struggle with the MC as a serious betting race but love to play a few exotics as you know if you hit them it will be big money.
Yet to have a serious look but will be working around Mustajeer along with CrossCounter (surely can win two in a row though right?), Mer De Glace (concern is it may not quite see out the distance) and Surprise Baby
Any of the NZ locals heading out to Ellerslie on Tuesday?
Big question marks on Mer de Glace whether can stay the distance, but if you’re playing the multis you cannot leave out. There were q’s in the Caulfield too, answered with an exclamation mark.
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I just heard a track comm at Ballarat talking-up Rostropovich and I checked the form and it’s morning-line is 80/1. Hasn’t done sweet diddily-squat since a 5th place in the last Cup, and I’m thinking, do I hafta keep it safe...?
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Crikey, of the 24 starters fully 11 of them are from Ireland, and only two (the bottom-weights) are native-born Okkers.
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Yeah had a wee bit more time to look at it and now I also have Southern France and Il paradiso in my numbers. Could end up boxing half the field at this rate!
If the track stays soft tomorrow then also makes it a bit hard for Mer De Glace to see out the run.
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@JK said in Rough tips and other bets...:
Yeah had a wee bit more time to look at it and now I also have Southern France and Il paradiso in my numbers. Could end up boxing half the field at this rate!
If the track stays soft tomorrow then also makes it a bit hard for Mer De Glace to see out the run.
I've got earlies on Southern France and Il Paradiso!
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@JK said in Rough tips and other bets...:
@taniwharugby said in Rough tips and other bets...:
@bayimports yep my day sucked too, culminating in taking SA 1-12
At 15 or so to go they were up 12-6 and England were looking desperate. 13+ was $9 so grabbed $100 worth of that which in the end turned to gold
WTF, that had to be a site error. They would have been < $5 to win by 13+ pre-game, it's absurd that this could blow out to $9 when they just needed a single score to cover.
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Looks like half the field could win this one...
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@taniwharugby said in Rough tips and other bets...:
Looks like half the field could win this one...
Twas ever thus
I've seen some expert's quaddie picks and they have half the fucking field in the first leg
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@mariner4life will see who I get in the office sweep, have had 2 winners and a place last 3 years...something in that I reckon
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@taniwharugby said in Rough tips and other bets...:
Looks like half the field could win this one...
real even this one with some no hopers and the rest have some argument in their favour, likely to be soft for sure.. Im currently leaning on frankie detorri to finally get his moby dick
could change by race time ha ha
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Yeah its a funny race. I tried to do speed map before and ended up with magic wand probably crossing from the widest gate to lead and then possibly dawdle along unless rostropovich or finche decide to cart it up.
Didnt realise mer de glace was drawn gate 2. I think its a bit shite for it so either has to push forward (which her wont do naturally) or get stuck down near the back. If there is a lack of pace and it ends up being a walk walk sprint sort of race then dont think it will work out too well for it and could suit a horse like constantinople or vow n declare
In short....no idea. Might just buy a few easybets
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@JK Glad to hear you were sensible enough to lay it off mate. I did warn you
@Billy-Webb said in Rough tips and other bets...:
Fark me. That is one helluva bet coming in there!
But the Boks are going to win. So make your call accordingly
Congrats on the cash!
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@Billy-Webb said in Rough tips and other bets...:
@JK Glad to hear you were sensible enough to lay it off mate. I did warn you
@Billy-Webb said in Rough tips and other bets...:
Fark me. That is one helluva bet coming in there!
But the Boks are going to win. So make your call accordingly
Congrats on the cash!
Congrats on the Win!
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The course is likely going to be chewed after the first six races, I don’t think I’ll want anything at the rail coming ‘round the turn, I’m leaning towards a closer like Raymond Tuck coming 6-or-7 wide and using the best part of the straight. I’ll be doing most of my handicapping closer to race time and tossing a few balls in the air. I’ll play a WPS on a single horse; single the same horse on top of a $2-or-$4 trifecta; and probably play a smaller $1 trifecta using two or three horses on top. Probably throwing a hundred bucks away, but if you hit there should be a nice little jackpot.
