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2019 Rugby World Cup

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2019 Rugby World Cup
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  • RapidoR Offline
    RapidoR Offline
    Rapido
    wrote on last edited by Rapido
    #1059

    Here is some general historical analysis, and NZ-focussed analysis of drop-goals in the RWC knockout stages.

    RWC_DGs.PNG

    • 78% of all dropgoals taken in the RWC knockout stages have been by the winning team in that match
    • Surprisingly, NZ have actually scored 22% of all dropgoals taken in the RWC knockout stages.
      (I'm not sure if this in an outlier or not? NZ have payed in 34% of all the RWC knockout matches)
    • 88% of NZ's dropgoals have resulted in a winning effort (the only one that didn't was Mehrtens' DG in the 1995 final)
    • Only 2 teams have won a RWC without scoring a DG at some stage during their knockout games. South Africa in 2007 and Australia in 1991. (Quite a surprising stat for SAF in 2007 with Morne Steyn at 10 and the style in vogue during those years)

    Out of 56 knockout matches in history. 23 of these matches have involved (at leasat one) dropgoal. 41% chance of seeing a DG, 59% chance of no DG

    (Note: I don't include 3rd v 4th playoff as a knockout)

    rotatedR Billy WebbB 2 Replies Last reply
    6
  • rotatedR Offline
    rotatedR Offline
    rotated
    replied to Rapido on last edited by
    #1060

    @Rapido said in 2019 Rugby World Cup:

    • Only 2 teams have won a RWC without scoring a DG at some stage during their knockout games. South Africa in 2007 and Australia in 1991. (Quite a suriprising stat for SAF in 2007 with Morne Steyn at 10 and the style in vogue during thos years)

    Amazing stats all round - but that 2007 SA stat is mindblowing especially with Frans Steyn going into that tournament dropping goals from 50m+ out semi-regularly.

    1 Reply Last reply
    3
  • mariner4lifeM Offline
    mariner4lifeM Offline
    mariner4life
    wrote on last edited by
    #1061

    I'm more astounded England only kicked 6 in 2003

    RapidoR 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • BovidaeB Offline
    BovidaeB Offline
    Bovidae
    wrote on last edited by
    #1062

    Jannie de Beer in 1999. 🙂

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • RapidoR Offline
    RapidoR Offline
    Rapido
    replied to mariner4life on last edited by
    #1063

    @mariner4life said in 2019 Rugby World Cup:

    I'm more astounded England only kicked 6 in 2003

    In the knockout stages. Jonny also potted 3 more in pool play. 2 v South Africa, and 1 in a very tight game v Samoa.

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • RapidoR Offline
    RapidoR Offline
    Rapido
    wrote on last edited by
    #1064

    There have been 6 drop-goals so far in the 2019 world cup (Pool stages).

    1 by Pollard in loss to NZ
    1 by Biggar in Wales win over Australia
    1 by Patchell also in Wales win over Australia
    1 by Camille Lopez in France clutch win over Argentina
    1 by Hogg in win over Samoa
    1 by Yuri Kushnarev (of Russia)

    So, 4 out of the 6 were in clutch games (Knockout-like games) of the pool stages.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • RapidoR Offline
    RapidoR Offline
    Rapido
    wrote on last edited by
    #1065

    But of course, none of my analysis includes missed drop-goals.

    That would be interesting, but hard to find.

    Some of the more recent wikipedia scorecards include missed DG attempts if the player also scored via that method.
    E.g.

    • in 2007 quarterfinal - Hernandez potted 1 from 4 attempts in a winning effort v Scotland
    • in 2007 semifinal - Wilkinson also potted 1 from 4 attempts in a winning effort v France

    But you won't find 0 from 1 examples like a Trinh-Duc missed DG in 2011 finals very easily.

    rotatedR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • rotatedR Offline
    rotatedR Offline
    rotated
    replied to Rapido on last edited by
    #1066

    @Rapido said in 2019 Rugby World Cup:

    But you won't find 0 from 1 examples like a Trinh-Duc missed DG in 2011 finals very easily.

    As part of the acceptance phase of my therapy I will offer up McAllister 0 from 1 in 2007.

    RapidoR 1 Reply Last reply
    5
  • BovidaeB Offline
    BovidaeB Offline
    Bovidae
    wrote on last edited by Bovidae
    #1067

    Zinny is 1/1 in knock-out games. Class.

    1 Reply Last reply
    3
  • antipodeanA Offline
    antipodeanA Offline
    antipodean
    wrote on last edited by
    #1068

    TOKYO, 15 Oct - World Rugby has announced the match officials for the quarter-finals of Rugby World Cup 2019 following a full review of performances over the 37 pool matches.

    Jérôme Garcès (France), Nigel Owens (Wales), Jaco Peyper (South Africa) and Wayne Barnes (England) will take charge of the four matches in Tokyo and Oita over the weekend of 19-20 October.

    In a selection that reflects the officiating team’s blend of experience and younger talent, Garcès will take charge of his second Rugby World Cup quarter-final as England face Australia in Oita on Saturday (16:15 JST) and Owens will take charge of world champions New Zealand versus Ireland at Tokyo Stadium on the same day (19:15 JST).

    Sunday’s matches will see Peyper take charge of his 50th test (and his first quarter-final) with Wales versus France in Oita (16:15), while Barnes, pictured, will round-off the weekend’s action by refereeing hosts Japan against South Africa at Tokyo Stadium (19:15).

    TimT 1 Reply Last reply
    3
  • TimT Away
    TimT Away
    Tim
    replied to antipodean on last edited by
    #1069

    @antipodean Well that’s a relief.

    antipodeanA 1 Reply Last reply
    4
  • antipodeanA Offline
    antipodeanA Offline
    antipodean
    replied to Tim on last edited by
    #1070

    @Tim said in 2019 Rugby World Cup:

    @antipodean Well that’s a relief.

    Agreed - I think he prefers our way of playing too.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Billy TellB Offline
    Billy TellB Offline
    Billy Tell
    wrote on last edited by Billy Tell
    #1071

    Owens. Sweet bro as.

    I write that like I’ve been away from NZ too long. Something’s not right.

    1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • RapidoR Offline
    RapidoR Offline
    Rapido
    replied to rotated on last edited by Rapido
    #1072

    @rotated said in 2019 Rugby World Cup:

    @Rapido said in 2019 Rugby World Cup:

    But you won't find 0 from 1 examples like a Trinh-Duc missed DG in 2011 finals very easily.

    As part of the acceptance phase of my therapy I will offer up McAllister 0 from 1 in 2007.

    Mehrtens 1 from 3 in 1995 final.

    Jannie de Beer 1 from 5 in 1999 semifinal trying to repeat his quarterfinal heroics.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • BovidaeB Offline
    BovidaeB Offline
    Bovidae
    wrote on last edited by
    #1073

    What we all want to know is, which game Skeen is involved in.

    Screen Shot 2019-10-15 at 17.11.03.png

    canefanC boobooB 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • canefanC Offline
    canefanC Offline
    canefan
    replied to Bovidae on last edited by
    #1074

    @Bovidae is that official? So we have Owens?

    BovidaeB 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • BovidaeB Offline
    BovidaeB Offline
    Bovidae
    replied to canefan on last edited by
    #1075

    @canefan Yes, from the WR website.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • boobooB Do not disturb
    boobooB Do not disturb
    booboo
    replied to Bovidae on last edited by
    #1076

    @Bovidae said in 2019 Rugby World Cup:

    What we all want to know is, which game Skeen is involved in.

    Screen Shot 2019-10-15 at 17.11.03.png

    Oh good god.

    Garces, two Frog touchies and Skeenie.

    Heaven help England and Aus.

    BovidaeB SiamS 2 Replies Last reply
    2
  • BovidaeB Offline
    BovidaeB Offline
    Bovidae
    replied to booboo on last edited by
    #1077

    @booboo The phrase "lost in translation" comes to mind.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Billy WebbB Offline
    Billy WebbB Offline
    Billy Webb
    replied to Rapido on last edited by
    #1078

    @Rapido said in 2019 Rugby World Cup:

    Here is some general historical analysis, and NZ-focussed analysis of drop-goals in the RWC knockout stages.

    • 78% of all dropgoals taken in the RWC knockout stages have been by the winning team in that match
    • Surprisingly, NZ have actually scored 22% of all dropgoals taken in the RWC knockout stages.
      (I'm not sure if this in an outlier or not? NZ have payed in 34% of all the RWC knockout matches)
    • 88% of NZ's dropgoals have resulted in a winning effort (the only one that didn't was Mehrtens' DG in the 1995 final)
    • Only 2 teams have won a RWC without scoring a DG at some stage during their knockout games. South Africa in 2007 and Australia in 1991. (Quite a surprising stat for SAF in 2007 with Morne Steyn at 10 and the style in vogue during those years)

    Out of 56 knockout matches in history. 23 of these matches have involved (at leasat one) dropgoal. 41% chance of seeing a DG, 59% chance of no DG

    Butch James was the preferred flyhalf in 2007.
    Known for a lot of things, but drop goals definitely wasn't one of them.

    BovidaeB 1 Reply Last reply
    0

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