Super Rugby 2025
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Things have really changed again this week. By beating the Reds, the Brumbies have realistically designated a very clear top four which is unlikely to change. By beating the Chiefs, the Waratahs have also greatly increased their chances.
Looking at things currently, the mark to nab 6th is likely to be between 31-33 points, so for the Canes and Blues, that almost definitely requires winning 4/6. The Landers extra BP at this stage means three wins (including one over the Canes) and three bonus points (most likely losing ones) would get them there.
This is of course dependent on how many points the Tahs and Force get to… Tahs fixtures are tougher, but they are the better of the two, hence why 31-33 could be the mark. There is a world where the Reds get dragged into this, although it feels improbable they would lose 6 straight, and even then with bonus points and a home game against the Drua to finish they should be fine.
Moana’s loss makes it tricky for them, though if they account for the Landers, Canes & Blues + the Drua/Brumbies, they might sneak in.
The next 2-3 weeks will probably clear a lot of this up, because the Canes have two games in Aussie, the Force play the Canes and the Blues, and the Highlanders play the Chiefs and Crusaders.
Canes and Landers will be all but done if they can’t win one of the next two, the Blues would be clinging on, and would be up struggle street if they fail to pick up bonus points.
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Gideon Wrampling avoids a citing… is there an example this season where someone received a red, but then had it mitigated down by the citing commission/received a yellow, then had it upgraded to a red?
Feels a bit like they are simply supporting the referees.
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@frugby said in Super Rugby 2025:
is there an example this season where someone received a red, but then had it mitigated down by the citing commission/received a yellow, then had it upgraded to a red?
Hunter Paisami for Reds earlier this year. Yellow - off field review - stayed yellow. Cited - multiple week ban
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@KiwiMurph said in Super Rugby 2025:
@frugby said in Super Rugby 2025:
is there an example this season where someone received a red, but then had it mitigated down by the citing commission/received a yellow, then had it upgraded to a red?
Hunter Paisami for Reds earlier this year. Yellow - off field review - stayed yellow. Cited - multiple week ban
That fucking TMO deserved a few weeks off too
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Super Rugby Pacific
A tight race at the top for #SuperRugbyPacific Player of the Year 😤 Read more 👉 https://super.rugby/superrugby/news/super-rugby-pacific-player-of-the-year-round-9/
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Table at the end of that round.
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@frugby One of the Hurricanes or the Blues might still edge out the Waratahs.
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Force have a pretty tough run home: Chiefs (a), Blues (a), Brumbies (h), Drua (a), Waratahs (h). Can see them dropping all five of those games - but they most likely win one or two.
I think the Waratahs, Force, Hurricanes and Blues all have pretty even chances of making the finals. The Force and Canes have tougher runs home (but have better PD at the moment).
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@frugby said in Super Rugby 2025:
Looking more and more likely that there will be four Aussie teams in the playoffs - and that is absolutely a good thing for the competition.
Maybe I am on my own here, but fuck the 'competition'. I want the Kiwi sides to dominate.
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@Crazy-Horse yes generally I prefer that too, although I am intrigued by the Force doing well this year. Kiwi outcasts
Moli, Ekuasi, Tomkinson & Prinsep. 1 of the best rising players in the game Tizzano mixed in with cult figures Harry Potter, Robertson and Dolly -
@sparky said in Super Rugby 2025:
@frugby One of the Hurricanes or the Blues might still edge out the Waratahs.
On evidence of the way the Blues and Canes are playing I just don’t see it. The way the comp is going, I think the Tahs/Force get two more wins each, and that might be enough.
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This is quite interesting - the Brumbies and Hurricanes have introduced a new trophy between the two sides to be played annually over ANZAC weekend. Named the Captain Shout Cup (named after Alfred Shout) this will go on the line for the first time when the two teams clash on Saturday night in Canberra. I hope this means we can finally host the Brumbies in NZ after playing what feels like our last 5 or so games in Canberra.
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@frugby said in Super Rugby 2025:
@sparky said in Super Rugby 2025:
@frugby One of the Hurricanes or the Blues might still edge out the Waratahs.
On evidence of the way the Blues and Canes are playing I just don’t see it. The way the comp is going, I think the Tahs/Force get two more wins each, and that might be enough.
I still think mid 30s will get you into the playoffs. It's going to be a shit fight for 5th and 6th in my view.
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@Canes4life said in Super Rugby 2025:
This is quite interesting - the Brumbies and Hurricanes have introduced a new trophy between the two sides to be played annually over ANZAC weekend. Named the Captain Shout Cup (named after Alfred Shout) this will go on the line for the first time when the two teams clash on Saturday night in Canberra. I hope this means we can finally host the Brumbies in NZ after playing what feels like our last 5 or so games in Canberra.
No points for us this weekend then
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@canefan said in Super Rugby 2025:
@Canes4life said in Super Rugby 2025:
This is quite interesting - the Brumbies and Hurricanes have introduced a new trophy between the two sides to be played annually over ANZAC weekend. Named the Captain Shout Cup (named after Alfred Shout) this will go on the line for the first time when the two teams clash on Saturday night in Canberra. I hope this means we can finally host the Brumbies in NZ after playing what feels like our last 5 or so games in Canberra.
No points for us this weekend then
It's a graveyard for us so highly doubt it.
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